Furman vs. Tennessee prediction: Why Tennessee is favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 99.4% win probability for Tennessee at Neyland Stadium.

Tennessee will square off with Furman in Week 1 college football action at Neyland Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 3:30 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Tennessee as the most likely winner in this Furman vs. Tennessee prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Furman vs. Tennessee prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model gives Tennessee a 99.4% chance of defeating Furman. Our predicted final score has Tennessee winning 57-9.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Furman and Tennessee each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 67.5-point over/under has a 51.2% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Furman +48.5 (-102) / Tennessee -48.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Furman , Tennessee
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Under @ -110 via ESPN BET
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Furman +48.5.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Tennessee and Furman at Neyland Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Furman vs. Tennessee
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Neyland Stadium
College football Week 1 promos
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Conclusion
We predict Tennessee, with a 99.4% win probability, will likely beat Furman in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




