Cal Poly vs. Montana State prediction: Why Montana State is favored to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Cal Poly vs. Montana State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Montana State a 96.4% chance of beating Cal Poly. Our predicted final score has Montana State winning 45-17. According to our model, Montana State (-27.5) has a 50.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 64.5 points has a 52.8% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Cal Poly +27.5 (-115) / Montana State -27.5 (+102)
• Moneyline: Cal Poly +1438, Montana State -1567
• Total: Over/Under 64.5 (-110/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Montana State -27.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Montana State @ 94¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 64.5 @ -110 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Montana State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Montana State and Cal Poly at Bobcat Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Cal Poly vs. Montana State
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00 PM PT
• Venue: Bobcat Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Montana State, with a 96.4% win probability, will likely beat Cal Poly in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.