Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State prediction: Why Alcorn State is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 75.2% win probability for Alcorn State at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium.

Alcorn State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff will meet in Week 2 college football action at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Alcorn State as the most likely winner in this Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives Alcorn State a 75.2% chance of beating Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Our predicted final score has Alcorn State winning 29-21. According to our model, Arkansas-Pine Bluff (+8.5) has a 51.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49.5 points has a 52.8% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Arkansas-Pine Bluff +8.5 (-107) / Alcorn State -8.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Arkansas-Pine Bluff +261, Alcorn State -320
- Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Arkansas-Pine Bluff +8.5 @ -107 via Caesars
- Moneyline: Alcorn State @ -320 via bet365
- Total: Over 49.5 @ -110 via Caesars
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 49.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between Alcorn State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State
- Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
College football Week 2 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offfer below
Conclusion
We predict Alcorn State, with a 75.2% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.




