Alabama State vs. Troy prediction: Why Troy is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 91.8% win probability for Troy at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL).

Troy and Alabama State will clash in Week 2 college football action at Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Troy as the most likely winner in this Alabama State vs. Troy prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Alabama State vs. Troy prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model gives Troy a 91.8% chance of beating Alabama State. Our predicted final score has Troy winning 36-15. According to our model, Alabama State (+23.5) has a 56.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 50.8% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Alabama State +23.5 (-105) / Troy -23.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Alabama State +1100, Troy -1700
- Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Alabama State +23.5 @ -105 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Alabama State @ +1100 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 51.5 @ -110 via bet365
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alabama State +23.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between Troy and Alabama State at Veterans Memorial Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Alabama State vs. Troy
- Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium
College football Week 2 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Alabama State vs. Troy predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offfer below
Conclusion
We predict Troy, with a 91.8% win probability, will likely beat Alabama State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.




