Alabama State vs. Troy prediction: Why Troy is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 92.3% win probability for Troy at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL).

Alabama State takes on Troy in College Football action.
Alabama State vs. Troy college football gameday prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026.

Troy and Alabama State will lock horns in Week 2 college football action at Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 4:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced college football model projects Troy as the most likely winner in this Alabama State vs. Troy prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.

Alabama State vs. Troy prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Alabama State vs. Troy, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Troy a 92.3% chance of beating Alabama State. Our predicted final score has Troy winning 36-15. According to our model, Alabama State (+24.5) has a 60.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 52.5 points has a 50.4% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Alabama State +24.5 (-125) / Troy -24.5 (-106)
  • Moneyline: Alabama State +1100, Troy -1700
  • Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-108/-107)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Alabama State +24.5 @ -125 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Alabama State @ +1100 via DraftKings
  • Total: Over 52.5 @ -108 via BetRivers

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Alabama State +24.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Troy and Alabama State at Veterans Memorial Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Alabama State vs. Troy
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
  • Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Alabama State vs. Troy predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:


Conclusion

We predict Troy, with a 92.3% win probability, will likely beat Alabama State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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