Toledo vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds
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Toledo vs. Arkansas State prediction & analysis
Game overview: Men's college basketball Monday
- Teams: Toledo vs. Arkansas State
- Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
- Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
- Venue: First National Bank Arena
Current betting odds
- Spread: Toledo (+2.5, -103), Arkansas State (-2.5, -125)
- Total (Over/Under): 162.5 points (-109/-105)
- Moneyline: Toledo +136, Arkansas State -162
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Toledo: 39.1%
- Arkansas State: 60.9%
Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Toledo 78 and Arkansas State 81.
This is a margin of 3 points against a spread of 2.5, and a projected total of 159 points against a market line of 162.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Toledo a win probability of 39.1%, while Arkansas State has a win probability of 60.9%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Arkansas State is more likely to beat Toledo in the men's college basketball game at First National Bank Arena on Monday.
Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Toledo vs. Arkansas State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.