Merrimack vs. Appalachian State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 2, 2026

Appalachian State is favored to beat Merrimack at Rock Hill Sports & Event Center on Monday (6:00 AM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Merrimack vs. Appalachian State prediction gives Appalachian State a 62.7% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value is on the over 134.5 points.

This matchup is part of the Field of 68 Opening Day Marathon, featuring eight games between 16 mid-major programs across Rock Hill, South Carolina, and Sioux Falls, South Dakota.

Merrimack vs. Appalachian State key predictions

• Predicted score: Appalachian State 70-67 Merrimack
• Appalachian State win probability: 62.7%
• Merrimack win probability: 37.3%
• Merrimack +3.5 spread: 51.1% cover probability
• Over 134.5 points: 53.9% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Merrimack vs. Appalachian State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Merrimack moneyline: +148 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Appalachian State moneyline: -170 (BetMGM)
• Merrimack +3.5: -106 (FanDuel)
• Appalachian State -3.5: -108 (DraftKings)
• Over 134.5 points: +102 (BetRivers)
• Under 134.5 points: -110 (BetMGM)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Merrimack vs. Appalachian State pick: Over 134.5 (+102)

Our model makes Appalachian State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the over 134.5 total points at +102 on BetRivers.

Those odds give the over an implied probability of 49.5%, while our model puts it at 53.9%.

That's a 4.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Merrimack vs. Appalachian State game details

• Matchup: Merrimack Warriors vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
• Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
• Time: 6:00 AM ET
• Venue: Rock Hill Sports & Event Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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