Matteo Arnaldi vs. Andrey Rublev Prediction, Picks and Odds

Matteo Arnaldi faces Andrey Rublev in the 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles on January 18, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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TENNIS
Matteo Arnaldi
Round of 128
0
3
Jan 18, 9:00 PM ET 2026 Australian Open, Men Singles
Andrey Rublev
Jan 18, 9:00 PM ET 2026 Australian Open, Men Singles
M. Arnaldi
0 4 2 3
A. Rublev
3 6 6 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Arnaldi
    <1%
  • Rublev
    >99%
Win Probability

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Matteo Arnaldi vs. Andrey Rublev: Detailed Breakdown

Match Overview

  • Who: Matteo Arnaldi vs. Andrey Rublev
  • Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Matteo Arnaldi +340, Andrey Rublev -380
  • First Set Odds: Matteo Arnaldi +220, Andrey Rublev -278

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Matteo Arnaldi: 19.5%
  • Andrey Rublev: 80.5%

Dimers' predictive model provides an unbiased view of each player's winning chances after simulating the outcome of the match 10,000 times.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Matteo Arnaldi a win probability of 19%, while Andrey Rublev has a win probability of 81%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Andrey Rublev is more likely to beat Matteo Arnaldi at the 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles on Monday.

Our Matteo Arnaldi vs. Andrey Rublev predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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