Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul: Detailed Breakdown

Match Overview

• Who: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul
• Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:30 PM ET
• Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles

Current Betting Odds

• Moneyline Odds: Carlos Alcaraz -840, Tommy Paul +700
• First Set Odds: Carlos Alcaraz -400, Tommy Paul +300

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Carlos Alcaraz: 91.2%
• Tommy Paul: 8.8%

Dimers' predictive model provides an unbiased view of each player's winning chances after simulating the outcome of the match 10,000 times.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Carlos Alcaraz a win probability of 91%, while Tommy Paul has a win probability of 9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Carlos Alcaraz is more likely to beat Tommy Paul at the 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles on Sunday.

Our Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

Explore our expert tennis predictions and the best tennis bets today for more insights and betting opportunities. Our in-depth analysis includes tennis news.