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World Cup
Sweden vs. Ukraine Prediction, Picks & Odds
Dimers' Sweden vs. Ukraine prediction for the World Cup qualifying play-off match on March 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
FINAL
World Cup
FINAL
WORLD CUP
3
1
Mar 26, 3:45 PM ET Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)
Mar 26, 3:45 PM ET Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
M. Ponomarenko (90')
V. Gyokeres (6')
V. Gyokeres (51')
V. Gyokeres (pen.) (73')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Ukraine by M. Ponomarenko
3-1
Substitution for Sweden: M. Svanberg replaces A. Elanga
Substitution for Ukraine: M. Shaparenko replaces Y. Yarmolyuk
Substitution for Ukraine: M. Ponomarenko replaces G. Sudakov
Substitution for Sweden: D. Svensson replaces G. Gudmundsson
Substitution for Sweden: L. Bergvall replaces Y. Ayari
K. Nordfeldt (Sweden) cautioned
Goal scored for Sweden by V. Gyokeres (pen.)
3-0
A. Trubin (Ukraine) cautioned
Substitution for Ukraine: R. Yaremchuk replaces V. Vanat
Substitution for Ukraine: O. Ocheretko replaces O. Zubkov
Substitution for Ukraine: O. Gutsulyak replaces I. Kaliuzhnyi
O. Tymchyk (Ukraine) cautioned
Goal scored for Sweden by V. Gyokeres, assisted by K. Nordfeldt
2-0
Substitution for Sweden: C. Starfelt replaces I. Hien
Goal scored for Sweden by V. Gyokeres, assisted by B. Nygren
1-0
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Sweden vs. Ukraine: Match prediction & analysis
Dimers' Sweden vs. Ukraine prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.
Match overview
- Teams: Sweden vs. Ukraine
- Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
- Time: 3:45 PM ET
- Venue: Estadi Ciutat de València
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup qualifying play-offs
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Sweden +140, Ukraine +220, draw +225
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-134)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Sweden: 40.3%
- Ukraine: 34.2%
- Draw: 25.5%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Sweden 1-1 Ukraine
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Sweden is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.3%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Sweden vs. Ukraine prediction aims to turn chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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