Poland vs. Sweden Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Poland vs. Sweden at the SWC on March 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Poland
2
3
Mar 31, 6:45PM Strawberry Arena
Sweden
Mar 31, 6:45PM Strawberry Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SwedenSWE
Score Summary
PolandPOL
A. Elanga (19')
Soccer ball icon
G. Lagerbielke (44')
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V. Gyokeres (88')
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N. Zalewski (33')
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K. Swiderski (55')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SWE
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
POL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Poland: K. Grosicki replaces M. Cash
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: M. Svanberg replaces Y. Ayari
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Poland: K. Piatek replaces N. Zalewski
90'
Yellow Card
K. Piatek (Poland) cautioned
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sweden by V. Gyokeres
2-3
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: G. Lundgren replaces B. Nygren
76'
Yellow Card
L. Bergvall (Sweden) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: B. Zeneli replaces J. Karlstrom
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: L. Bergvall replaces A. Elanga
65'
Yellow Card
O. Pietuszewski (Poland) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Poland: O. Pietuszewski replaces K. Swiderski
62'
Yellow Card
J. Karlstrom (Sweden) cautioned
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Poland by K. Swiderski, assisted by N. Zalewski
2-2
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sweden by G. Lagerbielke, assisted by B. Nygren
1-2
43'
Yellow Card
J. Kiwior (Poland) cautioned
33'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Poland by N. Zalewski, assisted by P. Zielinski
1-1
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sweden by A. Elanga, assisted by Y. Ayari
0-1

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Poland vs. Sweden: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Poland vs. Sweden prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all SWC matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Poland vs. Sweden
  • Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Strawberry Arena
  • Tournament: SWC

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Poland +300, Sweden +105, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+126/-150)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Poland: 25.7%
  • Sweden: 49.5%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Poland 1-1 Sweden, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Poland is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.7% probability, while Sweden sits at 49.5%, with the draw at 24.8%.

For full access to SWC predictions, probabilities, and tools such as SWC best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Poland vs. Sweden prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the SWC and the latest SWC news.

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