Albania vs. Poland Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Albania vs. Poland prediction for the World Cup qualifying play-off match on March 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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WORLD CUP
Albania
1
2
PGE Narodowy (National Stadium) (Warsaw)
Poland
PGE Narodowy (National Stadium) (Warsaw)
PolandPOL
Score Summary
AlbaniaALB
R. Lewandowski (63')
Soccer ball icon
P. Zielinski (73')
Soccer ball icon
A. Hoxha (42')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Poland
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Albania
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Poland: A. Pyrka replaces J. Kaminski
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Poland: B. Slisz replaces R. Lewandowski
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    K. Swiderski (Poland) cautioned
  4. 88'
    Yellow Card
    K. Asllani (Albania) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Yellow Card
    R. Lewandowski (Poland) cautioned
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Albania: E. Muci replaces Q. Laci
  7. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Poland: J. Moder replaces P. Zielinski
  8. 79'
    Yellow Card
    E. Hysaj (Albania) cautioned
  9. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Poland by P. Zielinski, assisted by S. Szymanski
    1-2
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Albania: S. Pilios replaces A. Hoxha
  11. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Albania: A. Broja replaces N. Bajrami
  12. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Poland by R. Lewandowski, assisted by S. Szymanski
    1-1
  13. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Poland: K. Swiderski replaces T. Kedziora
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Poland: O. Pietuszewski replaces F. Rozga
  15. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Albania by A. Hoxha
    1-0
  16. 34'
    Yellow Card
    M. Mitaj (Albania) cautioned
  17. 18'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Albania: A. Ismajli replaces A. Ajeti

Albania vs. Poland: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Albania vs. Poland prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Albania vs. Poland
  • Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
  • Time: 3:45 PM ET
  • Venue: PGE Narodowy
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup qualifying play-offs

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Albania +500, Poland -140, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+140/-172)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Albania: 17.3%
  • Poland: 57.5%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Albania 0-1 Poland (15.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Albania vs. Poland? Prediction & correct score

Poland is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.5%.

The most likely correct score is Albania 0-1 Poland.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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