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Northern Ireland vs. Italy Prediction, Picks & Odds
Dimers' Northern Ireland vs. Italy prediction for the World Cup qualifying play-off match on March 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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World Cup
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Mar 26, 7:45PM Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia (Bergamo)
Mar 26, 7:45PM Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia (Bergamo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
S. Tonali (56')
M. Kean (80')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Italy: G. Raspadori replaces M. Kean
Substitution for Italy: N. Pisilli replaces S. Tonali
Substitution for Italy: M. Palestra replaces M. Politano
Goal scored for Italy by M. Kean, assisted by S. Tonali
0-2
Substitution for Northern Ireland: J. Reid replaces B. Spencer
Substitution for Northern Ireland: J. Magennis replaces J. Donley
Substitution for Northern Ireland: P. Smyth replaces T. Devlin
Substitution for Italy: F. Esposito replaces M. Retegui
Substitution for Italy: F. Gatti replaces A. Bastoni
A. Bastoni (Italy) cautioned
Goal scored for Italy by S. Tonali
0-1
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Northern Ireland vs. Italy: Match prediction & analysis
Dimers' Northern Ireland vs. Italy prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.
Match overview
- Teams: Northern Ireland vs. Italy
- Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
- Time: 3:45 PM ET
- Venue: Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup qualifying play-offs
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Northern Ireland +1400, Italy -325, draw +480
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+106)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Northern Ireland: 7.9%
- Italy: 75.5%
- Draw: 16.6%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Northern Ireland 0-2 Italy.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Italy is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 75.5%.
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Summary
Dimers' Northern Ireland vs. Italy prediction aims to turn chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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