Northern Ireland vs. Italy Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Northern Ireland vs. Italy prediction for the World Cup qualifying play-off match on March 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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WORLD CUP
Northern Ireland
0
2
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia (Bergamo)
Italy
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia (Bergamo)
ItalyITA
Score Summary
Northern IrelandNIR
S. Tonali (56')
Soccer ball icon
M. Kean (80')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Italy
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Northern Ireland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Italy: G. Raspadori replaces M. Kean
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Italy: N. Pisilli replaces S. Tonali
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Italy: M. Palestra replaces M. Politano
  4. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Italy by M. Kean, assisted by S. Tonali
    0-2
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Northern Ireland: J. Reid replaces B. Spencer
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Northern Ireland: J. Magennis replaces J. Donley
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Northern Ireland: P. Smyth replaces T. Devlin
  8. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Italy: F. Esposito replaces M. Retegui
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Italy: F. Gatti replaces A. Bastoni
  10. 58'
    Yellow Card
    A. Bastoni (Italy) cautioned
  11. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Italy by S. Tonali
    0-1

Northern Ireland vs. Italy: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Northern Ireland vs. Italy prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Northern Ireland vs. Italy
  • Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
  • Time: 3:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup qualifying play-offs

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Northern Ireland +1400, Italy -325, draw +480
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Northern Ireland: 7.9%
  • Italy: 75.5%
  • Draw: 16.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Northern Ireland 0-2 Italy (15.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Northern Ireland vs. Italy? Prediction & correct score

Italy is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 75.5%.

The most likely correct score is Northern Ireland 0-2 Italy.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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