Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina at the SWC on March 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Italy
1
:
1
Mar 31, 6:45PM Bilino Polje
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Mar 31, 6:45PM Bilino Polje
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBIH
Score Summary
ItalyITA
H. Tabakovic (79')
Soccer ball icon
M. Kean (15')
Soccer ball icon
A. Bastoni (41')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BIH
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ITA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
120'
Yellow Card
D. Frattesi (Italy) cautioned
115'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: A. Hadziahmetovic replaces E. Demirovic
114'
Yellow Card
N. Katic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
102'
Yellow Card
T. Muharemovic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
91'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: L. Spinazzola replaces F. Dimarco
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: D. Frattesi replaces N. Barella
81'
Yellow Card
G. Donnarumma (Italy) cautioned
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Bosnia & Herzegovina by H. Tabakovic
1-1
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: F. Esposito replaces M. Kean
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: B. Cristante replaces M. Locatelli
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: D. Burnic replaces A. Memic
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: H. Tabakovic replaces I. Basic
54'
Yellow Card
B. Tahirovic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: K. Alajbegovic replaces S. Kolasinac
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: B. Tahirovic replaces I. Sunjic
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: M. Palestra replaces M. Politano
44'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: F. Gatti replaces M. Retegui
41'
Red Card
A. Bastoni (Italy) sent off with a straight red card
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Italy by M. Kean, assisted by N. Barella
1-0

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Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all SWC matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Bilino Polje
  • Tournament: SWC

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Italy -180, Bosnia and Herzegovina +650, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-142)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Italy: 64.6%
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina: 13.8%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Italy 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Italy is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 64.6% probability, while Bosnia and Herzegovina sits at 13.8%, with the draw at 21.6%.

For full access to SWC predictions, probabilities, and tools such as SWC best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the SWC and the latest SWC news.

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