Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction for the World Cup qualifying play-off match on March 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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World Cup
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WORLD CUP
Italy
1
:
1
Mar 31, 2:45 PM ET Bilino Polje
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Mar 31, 2:45 PM ET Bilino Polje
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBIH
Score Summary
ItalyITA
H. Tabakovic (79')
Soccer ball icon
M. Kean (15')
Soccer ball icon
A. Bastoni (41')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Italy
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
120'
Yellow Card
D. Frattesi (Italy) cautioned
115'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: A. Hadziahmetovic replaces E. Demirovic
114'
Yellow Card
N. Katic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
102'
Yellow Card
T. Muharemovic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
91'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: L. Spinazzola replaces F. Dimarco
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: D. Frattesi replaces N. Barella
81'
Yellow Card
G. Donnarumma (Italy) cautioned
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Bosnia & Herzegovina by H. Tabakovic
1-1
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: F. Esposito replaces M. Kean
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: B. Cristante replaces M. Locatelli
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: D. Burnic replaces A. Memic
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: H. Tabakovic replaces I. Basic
54'
Yellow Card
B. Tahirovic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: K. Alajbegovic replaces S. Kolasinac
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: B. Tahirovic replaces I. Sunjic
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: M. Palestra replaces M. Politano
44'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: F. Gatti replaces M. Retegui
41'
Red Card
A. Bastoni (Italy) sent off with a straight red card
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Italy by M. Kean, assisted by N. Barella
1-0

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Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Bilino Polje
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup qualifying play-offs

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Italy -180, Bosnia and Herzegovina +650, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-142)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Italy: 64.6%
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina: 13.8%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Italy 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina (14.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina? Prediction & correct score

Italy is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 64.6%.

The most likely correct score is Italy 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.