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Penguins vs. Bruins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Bruins NHL game on January 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
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NHL
Penguins
0
1
Jan 11, 10PM TD Garden
Bruins
Jan 11, 10PM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 0 0 0
Bruins
1 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
0%
100%
BruinsBOS
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 0 0 0
Bruins
1 0 0 1
P3 19:06 Shot missed by Nikita Zadorov
P3 17:12 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
P3 16:23 Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 16:05 Thomas Novak shot blocked by Jonathan Aspirot
P3 14:39 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 13:57 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 12:18 Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
P3 12:18 Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 11:20 Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 09:18 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 08:24 Shot missed by Connor Clifton
P3 08:12 Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 06:03 Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 04:13 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 03:20 Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 01:57 Power play - David Pastrnak shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 00:43 Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P2 19:52 Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P2 19:43 Thomas Novak shot blocked by Nikita Zadorov
P2 18:56 Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:35
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 19:35
Stoppage - High Stick
P3 19:10
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
P3 19:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Zadorov
P3 18:36
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
P3 18:36
Stoppage - Offside - Visitor Timeout
P3 17:12
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
P3 16:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 16:05
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Jonathan Aspirot
P3 15:19
Giveaway by Nikita Zadorov in defensive zone
P3 15:01
Kris Letang credited with hit on Viktor Arvidsson in neutral zone
P3 14:56
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P3 14:56
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 14:41
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 14:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 13:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 13:02
Giveaway by Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
P3 12:55
Penguins won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P3 12:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
P3 12:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 11:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 10:27
Alex Steeves credited with hit on Thomas Novak in offensive zone
P3 09:31
Jonathan Aspirot credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
P3 09:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 09:15
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P3 08:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Clifton
P3 08:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 07:30
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
P3 06:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 05:38
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
P3 04:13
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 03:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 02:23
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 01:57
SHOT
Power play - David Pastrnak shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 01:48
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
P3 00:46
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P3 00:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P2 19:43
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Nikita Zadorov
P2 18:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
P2 18:36
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 18:29
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
P2 18:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
P2 18:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P2 17:46
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
P2 17:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P2 17:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Steeves saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 17:10
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
P2 16:42
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P2 16:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 15:56
Giveaway by Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P2 15:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Elias Lindholm
P2 15:42
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P2 15:42
Stoppage - Player Injury
P2 15:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
P2 14:44
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
P2 14:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P2 14:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P2 13:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
P2 13:06
Shorthanded - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P2 13:06
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 12:19
Shorthanded - Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 11:36
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P2 11:36
Penalty to Mark Kastelic 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Stuart Skinner)
P2 11:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Sean Kuraly
P2 11:32
SHOT
Henri Jokiharju shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
P2 11:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 10:48
Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 10:48
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
P2 10:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
P2 09:02
SHOT
Power play - Casey Mittelstadt shot blocked by teammate
P2 08:35
Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
P2 08:35
Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 08:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Mason Lohrei
P2 08:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
P2 07:37
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P2 07:37
Stoppage - Player Injury
P2 07:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 06:14
Power play - Giveaway by Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P2 06:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
P2 05:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Charlie McAvoy
P2 05:51
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P2 05:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Steeves saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 05:37
SHOT
Power play - Mason Lohrei shot blocked by teammate
P2 05:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
P2 04:29
Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 04:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 04:25
Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P2 04:25
Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Mark Kastelic)
P2 04:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
P2 03:45
Giveaway by Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P2 03:19
Giveaway by Marat Khusnutdinov in offensive zone
P2 03:09
Giveaway by David Pastrnak in neutral zone
P2 03:04
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
P2 03:00
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P2 03:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P2 02:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
P2 02:03
Takeaway by Connor Clifton in defensive zone
P2 01:57
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
P2 01:57
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:30
Giveaway by Sean Kuraly in neutral zone
P2 01:23
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Tanner Jeannot
P2 01:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P2 00:44
Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 00:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P2 00:00
Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:34
Shorthanded - Erik Karlsson credited with hit on Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
P1 18:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Pavel Zacha
P1 18:23
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P1 17:59
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
P1 17:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 17:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P1 17:33
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
P1 17:33
Stoppage - Offside
P1 17:03
Giveaway by Nikita Zadorov in defensive zone
P1 16:43
SHOT
Sean Kuraly shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
P1 16:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 16:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 16:22
SHOT
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P1 15:48
Giveaway by Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P1 15:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P1 15:23
SHOT
Fraser Minten shot blocked by Ben Kindel
P1 14:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P1 14:53
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Fraser Minten in offensive zone
P1 14:53
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 14:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P1 14:16
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
P1 13:39
Casey Mittelstadt credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
P1 13:37
Giveaway by Charlie McAvoy in defensive zone
P1 13:33
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
P1 13:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 13:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P1 12:29
Yegor Chinakhov won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P1 12:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P1 12:23
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P1 12:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P1 11:59
Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P1 11:59
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P1 11:26
Anthony Mantha credited with hit on Alex Steeves in neutral zone
P1 11:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
P1 10:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
P1 10:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Henri Jokiharju saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 10:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P1 10:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P1 09:34
SHOT
Jonathan Aspirot shot blocked by Kevin Hayes
P1 09:18
SHOT
Elias Lindholm shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P1 09:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Elias Lindholm
P1 09:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P1 09:04
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P1 09:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P1 08:33
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in defensive zone
P1 08:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 08:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Steeves saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 07:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 06:38
SHOT
Power play - David Pastrnak shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
P1 06:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
P1 06:07
Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 06:07
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 06:04
SHOT
Power play - David Pastrnak shot blocked by Connor Dewar
P1 06:02
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P1 06:02
Penalty to Justin Brazeau 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 05:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P1 05:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P1 05:36
Giveaway by David Pastrnak in neutral zone
P1 05:30
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P1 05:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P1 05:24
Takeaway by Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
P1 05:02
Kevin Hayes credited with hit on Nikita Zadorov in neutral zone
P1 04:57
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Yegor Chinakhov in neutral zone
P1 04:57
GOAL
Goal scored by Tanner Jeannot assisted by Mark Kastelic and Nikita Zadorov
0-1
P1 04:52
SHOT
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
P1 04:35
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
P1 04:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P1 02:50
SHOT
Power play - Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by teammate
P1 02:21
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P1 02:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P1 01:12
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P1 01:12
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:03
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
P1 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Bruins
27Shots on Goal18
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/0
12Penalty Infraction Mins4
18Hits15
17Shots Blocked18
16Giveaways16
PenguinsPIT
BruinsBOS
27Shots on Goal18
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/0
12Penalty Infraction Mins4
18Hits15
17Shots Blocked18
16Giveaways16

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Penguins vs. Bruins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Bruins
  • Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TD Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins -110, Bruins +100

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 50%
  • Bruins: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 50%, while the Bruins have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Bruins in the NHL game at TD Garden on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Bruins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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