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Oilers vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Sabres NHL game on November 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Oilers
1
5
Nov 18, 12AM KeyBank Center
Sabres
Nov 18, 12AM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Oilers
0101
Sabres
1225
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
OilersEDM
Win %
0%
100%
SabresBUF
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Oilers
0101
Sabres
1225
P3 19:01 Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 18:45 Adam Henrique shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
P3 18:40 Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Colten Ellis
P3 18:35 Shot on goal by Alec Regula saved by Colten Ellis
P3 18:23 Brett Kulak shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
P3 18:21 Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by Colten Ellis
P3 17:37 Goal scored by Tage Thompson (Empty Net)
P3 17:35 Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Colten Ellis
P3 16:28 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:28 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Colten Ellis
P3 16:10 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Colten Ellis
P3 16:05 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Colten Ellis
P3 15:40 Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
P3 14:48 Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
P3 14:46 Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Colten Ellis
P3 14:41 Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 14:38 Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P3 14:09 Josh Doan shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 14:04 Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 18:45
SHOT
Adam Henrique shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
P3 18:42
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P3 18:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Colten Ellis
P3 18:37
Matt Savoie won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 18:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alec Regula saved by Colten Ellis
P3 18:23
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
P3 18:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by Colten Ellis
P3 17:55
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P3 17:55
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 17:49
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Josh Dunne in neutral zone
P3 17:37
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in neutral zone
P3 17:37
GOAL
Goal scored by Tage Thompson (Empty Net)
1-5
P3 17:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 17:16
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P3 17:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Colten Ellis
P3 17:00
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P3 17:00
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:47
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P3 16:47
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:29
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P3 16:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:28
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Colten Ellis
P3 16:12
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
P3 16:12
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Colten Ellis
P3 16:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Colten Ellis
P3 15:43
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P3 15:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 15:40
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
P3 14:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
P3 14:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Colten Ellis
P3 14:41
SHOT
Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 14:38
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P3 14:09
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 14:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 14:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Sabres
P3 13:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 13:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
P3 13:26
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Alex Tuch in offensive zone
P3 13:26
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 13:24
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 13:19
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P3 13:19
Stoppage - Offside
P3 12:52
SHOT
Tyson Kozak shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 12:30
SHOT
Andrew Mangiapane shot blocked by Noah Ostlund
P3 12:07
Josh Dunne won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P3 12:07
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 12:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Curtis Lazar saved by Colten Ellis
P3 11:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 11:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 11:20
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in defensive zone
P3 11:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 11:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Colten Ellis
P3 10:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 10:31
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in offensive zone
P3 10:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 10:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Colten Ellis
P3 10:00
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P3 10:00
Stoppage - Offside
P3 09:26
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P3 09:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Colten Ellis
P3 09:14
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P3 09:04
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P3 08:47
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P3 08:21
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Jack Quinn
P3 08:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Colten Ellis
P3 07:55
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Matt Savoie in neutral zone
P3 07:55
GOAL
Goal scored by Noah Ostlund
1-4
P3 07:47
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Josh Dunne in defensive zone
P3 07:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 07:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 06:26
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
P3 06:26
Stoppage - Icing
P3 06:14
SHOT
Isak Rosen shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 05:17
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
P3 05:15
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P3 05:15
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 04:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Walman
P3 04:38
Giveaway by Jack Roslovic in offensive zone
P3 04:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 03:40
Conor Timmins credited with hit on Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P3 02:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 02:36
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 02:32
Josh Dunne won faceoff against Noah Philp in offensive zone
P3 02:32
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 02:30
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Trent Frederic
P3 02:20
Trent Frederic credited with hit on Jack Quinn in defensive zone
P3 02:13
Giveaway by Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
P3 02:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 02:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P3 01:28
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Jake Walman
P3 01:01
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P3 01:01
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 00:59
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 00:57
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P3 00:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Colten Ellis
P3 00:37
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 00:22
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P3 00:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Colten Ellis
P3 00:00
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 20:00
Penalty to Peyton Krebs 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Jake Walman)
P2 19:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Walman
P2 19:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Savoie
P2 19:09
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
P2 19:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Colten Ellis
P2 18:52
Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P2 18:52
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 17:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Colten Ellis
P2 17:20
Trent Frederic credited with hit on Isak Rosen in defensive zone
P2 17:11
SHOT
Trent Frederic shot blocked by Jack Quinn
P2 16:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Colten Ellis
P2 16:41
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 16:41
Stoppage - Icing
P2 16:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Colten Ellis
P2 16:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
P2 16:25
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P2 16:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Colten Ellis
P2 15:58
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P2 15:33
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
P2 15:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Colten Ellis
P2 15:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 15:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P2 14:54
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P2 14:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 13:48
Noah Philp won faceoff against Josh Dunne in defensive zone
P2 13:48
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:10
Andrew Mangiapane credited with hit on Josh Doan in neutral zone
P2 12:44
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
P2 12:44
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 12:37
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P2 12:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Hyman
P2 11:42
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
P2 11:39
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P2 11:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:35
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Owen Power
P2 11:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Colten Ellis
P2 11:08
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Matt Savoie in neutral zone
P2 11:08
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P2 09:43
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P2 09:43
GOAL
Goal scored by Beck Malenstyn assisted by Rasmus Dahlin
1-3
P2 09:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P2 08:41
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
P2 08:41
GOAL
Goal scored by Bowen Byram assisted by Tyson Kozak
1-2
P2 08:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyson Kozak saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 08:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyson Kozak
P2 07:45
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P2 07:45
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 07:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 06:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 06:27
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P2 06:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 06:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 05:12
Noah Philp won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P2 05:12
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
P2 05:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Colten Ellis
P2 04:29
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P2 04:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
P2 03:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P2 03:33
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Alex Tuch in defensive zone
P2 03:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 03:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 02:51
Giveaway by Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P2 02:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 02:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 02:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 01:42
Josh Dunne won faceoff against Noah Philp in defensive zone
P2 01:42
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 01:41
SHOT
Adam Henrique shot blocked by Jacob Bryson
P2 01:02
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P2 00:28
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P2 00:28
Stoppage - Offside
P2 00:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Colten Ellis
P2 00:07
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P2 00:07
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 00:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P1 19:03
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P1 19:03
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Noah Ostlund assisted by Isak Rosen and Rasmus Dahlin
0-1
P1 18:36
Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 18:36
Penalty to Connor McDavid 2 minutes for High Sticking
P1 18:22
Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Mattias Ekholm in defensive zone
P1 17:45
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P1 17:45
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 17:43
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
P1 17:41
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P1 17:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:39
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P1 17:28
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 17:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Colten Ellis
P1 16:58
SHOT
Adam Henrique shot blocked by Isak Rosen
P1 16:44
SHOT
Ryan McLeod shot blocked by teammate
P1 16:27
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P1 16:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 15:18
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P1 15:18
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P1 15:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P1 14:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Colten Ellis
P1 14:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P1 14:20
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P1 14:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 14:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 13:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 13:36
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
P1 13:36
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 12:41
Shorthanded - Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P1 12:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Colten Ellis
P1 11:49
Shorthanded - Alex Tuch credited with hit on Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P1 11:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P1 10:53
SHOT
Power play - Connor McDavid shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P1 10:50
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P1 10:50
Penalty to Josh Doan 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 10:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 10:33
Noah Philp won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 10:33
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 10:18
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Noah Ostlund
P1 09:47
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 09:47
Stoppage - Icing
P1 09:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P1 09:02
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Adam Henrique
P1 08:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Owen Power
P1 08:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P1 07:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 07:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P1 06:58
Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 06:58
Penalty to Mattias Ekholm 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 06:41
SHOT
Zach Hyman shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P1 05:46
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Owen Power
P1 04:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alec Regula saved by Colten Ellis
P1 03:22
Giveaway by Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P1 02:51
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Noah Philp in offensive zone
P1 02:51
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 02:29
Giveaway by Stuart Skinner in defensive zone
P1 01:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P1 00:31
SHOT
Oilers shot blocked by teammate
P1 00:27
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by teammate
P1 00:08
Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
P1 00:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Colten Ellis
P1 00:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Oilers
 STATS
Sabres
33Shots on Goal28
55%Faceoff Win %46%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
9Penalty Infraction Mins7
20Hits13
16Shots Blocked20
17Giveaways14
OilersEDM
SabresBUF
33Shots on Goal28
55%Faceoff Win %46%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
9Penalty Infraction Mins7
20Hits13
16Shots Blocked20
17Giveaways14

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Oilers vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Sabres
  • Date: Monday, November 17, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers -155, Sabres +135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 56%
  • Sabres: 44%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 56%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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