Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Lightning NHL game on April 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Canadiens
3
2
Apr 29, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Apr 29, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
TEAM123T
Canadiens
1 1 1 3
Lightning
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
CanadiensMTL
Win %
100%
0%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canadiens
1 1 1 3
Lightning
0 2 0 2
P3 19:57 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 19:41 Brayden Point shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 19:20 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 19:14 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:35 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:30 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:12 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:46 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:29 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:20 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 16:25 Jake Evans shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
P3 13:21 Lane Hutson shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 11:36 Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
P3 10:54 Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 10:06 Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:09 Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 07:25 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 05:01 Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:53 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
P3 02:10 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:57
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 19:41
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 19:20
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 19:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:57
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 18:57
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 18:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:32
Brayden Point won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
P3 18:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:48
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 17:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:27
Stoppage
P3 17:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 16:53
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
P3 16:53
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 16:25
SHOT
Jake Evans shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
P3 15:48
Brayden Point won faceoff against Kirby Dach in offensive zone
P3 15:48
Stoppage - Icing
P3 13:58
Jake Evans won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P3 13:58
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P3 13:21
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 12:01
Jayden Struble credited with hit on Conor Geekie in defensive zone
P3 11:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
P3 10:54
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 10:06
SHOT
Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:46
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
P3 08:37
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P3 08:09
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 07:52
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P3 07:25
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 06:14
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
P3 05:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:56
Jake Evans won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P3 03:53
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:21
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 02:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 01:13
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
P3 01:04
GOAL
Goal scored by Alexandre Texier
3-2
P3 00:24
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P3 00:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 00:20
Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:15
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by teammate
P2 18:48
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
P2 18:24
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P2 18:21
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 18:17
SHOT
Jake Evans shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P2 17:57
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 17:33
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 17:23
Brayden Point won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
P2 17:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 16:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 16:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 15:55
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Max Crozier
P2 15:43
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P2 15:43
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:38
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 13:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:03
Jake Evans won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P2 11:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 10:45
Brayden Point won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
P2 10:36
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
P2 10:31
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
P2 10:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 10:08
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 10:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
P2 08:59
Alex Newhook credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
P2 08:49
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
P2 08:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 08:14
Jake Evans won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P2 08:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 07:46
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 07:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 07:21
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
P2 07:00
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 06:49
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
P2 06:13
Power play - Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
P2 05:41
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 05:41
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 05:08
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 05:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:31
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 04:17
Canadiens won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P2 04:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 03:33
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 03:28
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 03:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:09
SHOT
Power play - J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
P2 01:36
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P2 01:13
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 00:00
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:51
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 18:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:52
Penalty to Kaiden Guhle 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 17:52
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P1 16:07
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Josh Anderson in offensive zone
P1 16:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 15:03
Power play - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
P1 14:42
Power play - Giveaway by Dominic James in neutral zone
P1 14:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 13:40
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P1 13:18
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P1 13:06
Penalty to Jake Evans 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 13:06
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 12:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P1 11:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 09:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mike Matheson
P1 09:19
SHOT
Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Texier
P1 08:33
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
P1 08:22
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P1 07:56
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P1 07:30
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
P1 07:30
Penalty to Ryan McDonagh 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Nick Suzuki)
P1 06:25
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 06:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 06:05
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 04:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 03:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
P1 01:11
Nick Suzuki credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
P1 00:05
Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Erik Cernak in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Lightning
24Shots on Goal40
66% Faceoff Win % 34%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
37Hits23
16Shots Blocked18
11Giveaways18
CanadiensMTL
LightningTB
24Shots on Goal40
66% Faceoff Win % 34%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
37Hits23
16Shots Blocked18
11Giveaways18

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Canadiens vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Lightning
  • Date: Wednesday, April 29, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at undefined
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +147, Lightning -145

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 42%
  • Lightning: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 42%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.