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Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Lightning NHL game on April 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
2
Apr 29, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Apr 29, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Lightning | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Lightning | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
P3 19:57 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 19:41 Brayden Point shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 19:20 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 19:14 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:35 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:30 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:12 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:46 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:29 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:20 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 16:25 Jake Evans shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
P3 13:21 Lane Hutson shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 11:36 Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
P3 10:54 Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 10:06 Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:09 Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 07:25 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 05:01 Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:53 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
P3 02:10 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
Brayden Point won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jakub Dobes
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Jake Evans shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
Brayden Point won faceoff against Kirby Dach in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jake Evans won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Jayden Struble credited with hit on Conor Geekie in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by teammate
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jake Evans won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alexandre Texier
3-2
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Jake Evans shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Max Crozier
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jake Evans won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
Brayden Point won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
Alex Newhook credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jakub Dobes
Jake Evans won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
Power play - Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Canadiens won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Penalty to Kaiden Guhle 2 minutes for Misconduct
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Josh Anderson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jakub Dobes
Power play - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by Dominic James in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Penalty to Jake Evans 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Texier
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
Penalty to Ryan McDonagh 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Nick Suzuki)
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
Nick Suzuki credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Erik Cernak in neutral zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 40 | |||
| 66% | Faceoff Win % | 34% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 37 | Hits | 23 | |||
| 16 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 40 | |||
| 66% | Faceoff Win % | 34% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 37 | Hits | 23 | |||
| 16 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 18 |
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Canadiens vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Lightning
- Date: Wednesday, April 29, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at undefined
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +147, Lightning -145
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 42%
- Lightning: 58%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 42%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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