Penguins vs. Flyers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Flyers NHL game on April 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Penguins
4
2
Xfinity Mobile Arena
Flyers
Xfinity Mobile Arena
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 1 2 4
Flyers
0 1 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    100%
  • Flyers
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 1 2 4
Flyers
0 1 1 2
P3 19:54 Shot on goal by Porter Martone saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 19:49 Matvei Michkov shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:31 Matvei Michkov shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:03 Goal scored by Connor Dewar assisted by Blake Lizotte and Noel Acciari (Empty Net)
P3 18:53 Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
P3 18:26 Ryan Shea shot blocked by Porter Martone
P3 15:56 Rasmus Ristolainen shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 15:31 Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Dan Vladar
P3 14:42 Shot missed by Porter Martone
P3 13:51 Shot missed by Egor Chinakhov
P3 12:56 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Dan Vladar
P3 12:45 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 12:07 Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Dan Vladar
P3 11:06 Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 10:00 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 09:08 Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 08:26 Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 07:03 Goal scored by Travis Konecny assisted by Christian Dvorak and Travis Sanheim
P3 05:16 Shot missed by Rasmus Ristolainen
P3 05:16 Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Arturs Silovs
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Porter Martone saved by Arturs Silovs
  3. P3 19:49
    SHOT
    Matvei Michkov shot blocked by teammate
  4. P3 19:31
    SHOT
    Matvei Michkov shot blocked by teammate
  5. P3 19:03
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
  6. P3 19:03
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Connor Dewar assisted by Blake Lizotte and Noel Acciari (Empty Net)
    4-2
  7. P3 18:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
  8. P3 18:26
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Porter Martone
  9. P3 17:52
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  10. P3 15:56
    SHOT
    Rasmus Ristolainen shot blocked by Thomas Novak
  11. P3 15:52
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  12. P3 15:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  13. P3 15:44
    Penguins won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  14. P3 15:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Dan Vladar
  15. P3 15:30
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in offensive zone
  16. P3 15:30
    Stoppage - Icing
  17. P3 15:09
    Penguins won faceoff against Flyers in defensive zone
  18. P3 15:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  19. P3 14:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Porter Martone
  20. P3 14:02
    Penguins won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  21. P3 13:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Egor Chinakhov
  22. P3 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Dan Vladar
  23. P3 12:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  24. P3 12:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Dan Vladar
  25. P3 11:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Arturs Silovs
  26. P3 10:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  27. P3 09:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  28. P3 08:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Arturs Silovs
  29. P3 07:03
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  30. P3 07:03
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Travis Konecny assisted by Christian Dvorak and Travis Sanheim
    3-2
  31. P3 05:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Ristolainen
  32. P3 05:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Arturs Silovs
  33. P3 04:27
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
  34. P3 04:12
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Cam York
  35. P3 03:45
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  36. P3 03:45
    Penalty to Garnet Hathaway 2 minutes for Misconduct
  37. P3 03:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  38. P3 02:40
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Noah Cates
  39. P3 01:03
    Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  40. P3 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone
  41. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  42. P2 18:39
    Takeaway by Travis Konecny in offensive zone
  43. P2 18:13
    Giveaway by Elmer Soderblom in offensive zone
  44. P2 18:05
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  45. P2 18:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  46. P2 17:24
    Penguins won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  47. P2 15:16
    SHOT
    Luke Glendening shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
  48. P2 15:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Couturier saved by Arturs Silovs
  49. P2 14:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Ben Kindel shot blocked by Nick Seeler
  50. P2 14:07
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Sean Couturier in defensive zone
  51. P2 13:56
    Power play - Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  52. P2 12:53
    Shorthanded - Sean Couturier won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  53. P2 12:53
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  54. P2 12:48
    Shorthanded - Sean Couturier won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  55. P2 12:45
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Sean Couturier
  56. P2 12:36
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  57. P2 12:36
    Stoppage
  58. P2 12:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Dan Vladar
  59. P2 11:39
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
  60. P2 10:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Dan Vladar
  61. P2 09:56
    SHOT
    Tyson Foerster shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  62. P2 09:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Dan Vladar
  63. P2 09:21
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  64. P2 09:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  65. P2 08:43
    Egor Chinakhov credited with hit on Jamie Drysdale in offensive zone
  66. P2 08:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Egor Chinakhov
  67. P2 08:36
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by teammate
  68. P2 08:31
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Garnet Hathaway
  69. P2 08:26
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
  70. P2 08:23
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Tyson Foerster
  71. P2 07:44
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  72. P2 07:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  73. P2 07:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Travis Konecny shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  74. P2 06:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Christian Dvorak shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  75. P2 06:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Ristolainen
  76. P2 06:23
    Power play - Owen Tippett won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  77. P2 06:07
    Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  78. P2 06:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  79. P2 06:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Arturs Silovs
  80. P2 05:31
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
  81. P2 04:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
  82. P2 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Dan Vladar
  83. P2 04:39
    SHOT
    Jamie Drysdale shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
  84. P2 03:07
    Penguins won faceoff against Flyers in offensive zone
  85. P2 02:15
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
  86. P2 02:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  87. P2 02:13
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Travis Sanheim
  88. P2 02:10
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Luke Glendening shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
  89. P2 01:59
    Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  90. P2 01:59
    Penalty to Garnet Hathaway 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Evgeni Malkin)
  91. P2 01:32
    Luke Glendening won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  92. P2 01:03
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  93. P2 01:03
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Penguins
    2-0
  94. P2 00:22
    Connor Dewar credited with hit on Travis Sanheim in offensive zone
  95. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
  96. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  97. P1 19:00
    Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  98. P1 18:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Arturs Silovs
  99. P1 18:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Arturs Silovs
  100. P1 18:12
    Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
  101. P1 18:12
    Penalty to Blake Lizotte 2 minutes for Misconduct
  102. P1 17:56
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Cam York
  103. P1 17:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Porter Martone saved by Arturs Silovs
  104. P1 16:53
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  105. P1 16:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  106. P1 16:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Egor Chinakhov
  107. P1 16:48
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Noah Cates
  108. P1 15:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Dan Vladar
  109. P1 15:15
    Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  110. P1 15:11
    SHOT
    Rasmus Ristolainen shot blocked by teammate
  111. P1 14:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  112. P1 14:35
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  113. P1 14:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  114. P1 14:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Seeler saved by Arturs Silovs
  115. P1 14:24
    Penguins won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  116. P1 14:19
    Penguins won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  117. P1 13:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Arturs Silovs
  118. P1 12:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Arturs Silovs
  119. P1 12:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  120. P1 12:41
    SHOT
    Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  121. P1 12:25
    Penguins won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  122. P1 09:52
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
  123. P1 09:52
    Penalty to Anthony Mantha 2 minutes for Misconduct
  124. P1 09:41
    SHOT
    Nick Seeler shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  125. P1 08:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  126. P1 08:05
    SHOT
    Noel Acciari shot blocked by Trevor Zegras
  127. P1 07:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  128. P1 06:56
    Luke Glendening won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  129. P1 06:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Dan Vladar
  130. P1 06:08
    SHOT
    Samuel Girard shot blocked by Garnet Hathaway
  131. P1 04:27
    Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  132. P1 03:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Dan Vladar
  133. P1 02:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  134. P1 01:46
    SHOT
    Owen Tippett shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  135. P1 01:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Dan Vladar
  136. P1 01:11
    Rasmus Ristolainen credited with hit on Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  137. P1 01:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  138. P1 00:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
  139. P1 00:34
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  140. P1 00:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  141. P1 00:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Dan Vladar
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Flyers
21Shots on Goal30
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins18
36Hits29
15 Shots Blocked 18
14Giveaways15
PenguinsPIT
FlyersPHI
21Shots on Goal30
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins18
36Hits29
15 Shots Blocked 18
14Giveaways15

Penguins vs. Flyers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Flyers
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Flyers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +115, Flyers 53¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 47%
  • Flyers: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 47%, while the Flyers have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Flyers are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Flyers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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