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Lightning vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Senators NHL game on April 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
6
Apr 7, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
Apr 7, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Senators | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Senators | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
P3 19:20 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 18:07 Shot on goal by Jakob Pelletier saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:44 Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P3 17:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:34 Power play - Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:58 Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 14:09 Shot missed by Ridly Greig
P3 12:50 Power play - Goal scored by Tim Stutzle assisted by Drake Batherson and Brady Tkachuk
P3 12:46 Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 12:35 Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 10:59 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 06:47 Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 06:35 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:18 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Shane Pinto
P3 05:53 Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P3 05:31 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 05:02 Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 04:24 Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by teammate
P3 04:19 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 03:48 Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Jonas Johansson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Takeaway by Dylan Duke in defensive zone
Giveaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Jonas Johansson
Giveaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Pelletier saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Power play - Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Power play - Conor Geekie won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
Brayden Point won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Tim Stutzle assisted by Drake Batherson and Brady Tkachuk
2-4
SHOT
Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Jonas Johansson
Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Holding Stick (Drawn by Lassi Thomson)
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Linus Ullmark
Giveaway by Ridly Greig in neutral zone
Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Shane Pinto
Brayden Point won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Jonas Johansson
Lars Eller won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Fabian Zetterlund
1-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Jonas Johansson
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Linus Ullmark
Brayden Point won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
Brayden Point won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Jonas Johansson
Nick Paul won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Jonas Johansson
Lightning won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
GOAL
Goal scored by Nick Paul assisted by Corey Perry and Nikita Kucherov
1-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Dylan Duke shot blocked by Lassi Thomson
Jakob Pelletier credited with hit on Cameron Crotty in defensive zone
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Jonas Johansson
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jordan Spence assisted by Brady Tkachuk and Tim Stutzle
0-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Spence
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Jonas Johansson
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
Emil Lilleberg won faceoff against Senators in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Jonas Johansson
Stoppage - Icing
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Lightning won faceoff against Artem Zub in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Jonas Johansson
Brayden Point won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Lightning won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Artem Zub
SHOT
Shot missed by Lassi Thomson
SHOT
Shane Pinto shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Shot missed by Warren Foegele
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Lars Eller
Takeaway by Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Oliver Bjorkstrand credited with hit on Fabian Zetterlund in neutral zone
Lightning won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Linus Ullmark
Brayden Point won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
Nick Paul won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Artem Zub
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Artem Zub
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Power play - Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Lightning won faceoff against Senators in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Penalty to Conor Geekie 2 minutes for Misconduct
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Brayden Point won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Lightning won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Corey Perry credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
Lightning won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Artem Zub
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 30 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 30 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 11 |
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Lightning vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Senators
- Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning +135, Senators -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 48%
- Senators: 52%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 48%, while the Senators have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
