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Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Lightning NHL game on March 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
1
Mar 31, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Mar 31, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
P3 18:54 Goal scored by Nick Suzuki
P3 17:35 Power play - Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 16:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 16:20 Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 15:26 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:37 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
P3 14:04 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 12:15 Shot missed by Lightning
P3 11:57 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:44 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 10:29 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:43 Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 07:40 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:11 Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P3 07:02 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 06:39 Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:45 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 05:14 Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Jayden Struble
P3 04:33 Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:21 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Penalty to Scott Sabourin 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Arber Xhekaj)
Nick Paul credited with hit on Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nick Suzuki
4-1
Kaiden Guhle credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Corey Perry
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jakub Dobes
Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
Takeaway by Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on J.J. Moser in neutral zone
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
Brayden Point won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jakub Dobes
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Corey Perry in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Jayden Struble
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Zachary Bolduc 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Phillip Danault shot blocked by teammate
Nick Paul won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Cole Caufield)
Ivan Demidov credited with hit on Brayden Point in offensive zone
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Power play - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Jake Evans
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Penalty to Alex Newhook 2 minutes for Hooking
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
Nick Paul won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Alex Newhook
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Jayden Struble
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Stoppage - Icing
Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jakub Dobes
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Lane Hutson
Nick Paul won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lane Hutson
Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Lane Hutson)
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Hooking
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Jake Evans
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Scott Sabourin credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
Brendan Gallagher credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in neutral zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Corey Perry in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jakub Dobes
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
Penalty to Jayden Struble 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Pontus Holmberg)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Jayden Struble in defensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 37 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/0 | |||
| 32 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 30 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 9 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 37 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/0 | |||
| 32 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 30 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 9 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Canadiens vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Lightning
- Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +155, Lightning -153
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 40%
- Lightning: 60%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 40%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
