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Golden Knights vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Sabres NHL game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Golden Knights
2
3
Mar 4, 12AM KeyBank Center
Sabres
Mar 4, 12AM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 2 0 2
Sabres
1 2 0 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Golden KnightsVGK
Win %
0%
100%
SabresBUF
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 2 0 2
Sabres
1 2 0 3
P3 19:40 Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Alex Lyon
P3 18:42 Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 17:27 Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 16:38 Shot missed by Kaedan Korczak
P3 14:53 Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 14:14 Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
P3 13:53 Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 12:05 Shea Theodore shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 08:34 Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
P3 08:10 Reilly Smith shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 07:51 Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
P3 07:12 Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Alex Lyon
P3 05:40 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 05:34 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
P3 03:12 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Akira Schmid
P3 02:52 Shea Theodore shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
P3 02:43 Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Zach Metsa
P3 02:04 Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 00:43 Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P2 19:27 Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Alex Lyon
P3 19:11
Stoppage - Icing - Visitor Timeout
P3 19:11
Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P3 18:56
Tomas Hertl credited with hit on Bowen Byram in offensive zone
P3 18:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 17:27
SHOT
Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 17:14
Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P3 16:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaedan Korczak
P3 15:30
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P3 15:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 15:16
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:58
Giveaway by Bowen Byram in defensive zone
P3 14:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 14:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
P3 13:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 13:19
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
P3 12:50
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
P3 12:14
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
P3 12:05
SHOT
Shea Theodore shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 11:06
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P3 11:00
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P3 11:00
Stoppage - Icing
P3 10:54
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P3 10:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:31
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P3 09:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:34
SHOT
Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
P3 08:32
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 08:15
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 08:10
SHOT
Reilly Smith shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 07:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
P3 07:15
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 07:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Alex Lyon
P3 07:00
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
P3 05:40
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 05:36
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P3 05:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
P3 03:34
Takeaway by Owen Power in defensive zone
P3 03:21
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P3 03:14
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
P3 03:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Akira Schmid
P3 03:08
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P3 03:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:52
SHOT
Shea Theodore shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
P3 02:43
SHOT
Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Zach Metsa
P3 02:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 00:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:39
Josh Norris won faceoff against Colton Sissons in defensive zone
P2 19:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:29
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P2 19:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
P2 18:46
Josh Norris won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
P2 18:46
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 17:41
SHOT
Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Owen Power
P2 17:38
Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P2 17:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
P2 16:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
P2 15:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Alex Lyon
P2 15:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Keegan Kolesar
P2 14:48
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P2 13:58
Giveaway by Reilly Smith in neutral zone
P2 13:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Akira Schmid
P2 13:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Alex Lyon
P2 13:05
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P2 11:36
Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
P2 10:42
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
P2 10:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Akira Schmid
P2 09:36
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P2 08:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Alex Lyon
P2 08:26
GOAL
Goal scored by Pavel Dorofeyev
2-3
P2 07:59
SHOT
Josh Norris shot blocked by teammate
P2 07:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Akira Schmid
P2 06:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P2 06:24
SHOT
Cole Reinhardt shot blocked by Owen Power
P2 06:14
SHOT
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Owen Power
P2 05:52
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
P2 05:44
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P2 05:12
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 05:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
P2 04:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Reilly Smith
P2 04:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Alex Lyon
P2 04:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Akira Schmid
P2 04:15
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P2 04:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Akira Schmid
P2 03:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
P2 03:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Barbashev saved by Alex Lyon
P2 03:14
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 03:13
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 02:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Akira Schmid
P2 02:01
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by teammate
P2 01:41
Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P2 01:41
Stoppage - Offside
P2 00:46
Josh Norris won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
P2 00:44
GOAL
Goal scored by Owen Power
0-2
P2 00:40
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
P2 00:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:55
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Colton Sissons
P1 19:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 19:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Akira Schmid
P1 19:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Akira Schmid
P1 17:50
Giveaway by Alex Lyon in defensive zone
P1 16:52
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Raphael Lavoie in offensive zone
P1 16:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P1 16:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Alex Lyon
P1 16:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:08
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P1 16:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 14:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Alex Lyon
P1 14:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
P1 13:42
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Ivan Barbashev in defensive zone
P1 13:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:26
Giveaway by Josh Norris in offensive zone
P1 11:25
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 11:25
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 10:02
Keegan Kolesar credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
P1 08:47
Shorthanded - Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Ivan Barbashev in neutral zone
P1 08:47
Stoppage - Offside
P1 08:32
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Akira Schmid
P1 07:39
Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P1 07:39
Penalty to Alex Tuch 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 07:30
Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P1 07:30
Stoppage
P1 06:29
Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P1 05:26
SHOT
Tyson Kozak shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
P1 05:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P1 04:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Keegan Kolesar
P1 04:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
P1 04:02
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
P1 04:02
GOAL
Goal scored by Jason Zucker assisted by Ryan McLeod and Rasmus Dahlin
0-1
P1 03:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Akira Schmid
P1 03:51
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
P1 03:46
Colton Sissons credited with hit on Josh Norris in defensive zone
P1 03:36
Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Michael Kesselring in defensive zone
P1 03:30
Stoppage - Offside
P1 02:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P1 01:59
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P1 01:59
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:09
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
P1 01:09
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:46
Giveaway by Josh Doan in defensive zone
P1 00:21
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by teammate
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Sabres
29Shots on Goal28
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
28Hits15
10Shots Blocked10
14Giveaways15
Golden KnightsVGK
SabresBUF
29Shots on Goal28
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
28Hits15
10Shots Blocked10
14Giveaways15

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Golden Knights vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Sabres
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights +123, Sabres -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 45%
  • Sabres: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 45%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Golden Knights in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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