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Golden Knights vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Capitals NHL game on February 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Golden Knights
2
3
Feb 28, 12AM Capital One Arena
Capitals
Feb 28, 12AM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 0 2 2
Capitals
0 3 0 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Golden KnightsVGK
Win %
0%
100%
CapitalsWSH
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 0 2 2
Capitals
0 3 0 3
P3 19:42 Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P3 19:21 Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Logan Thompson
P3 19:09 Mitch Marner shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 18:38 Jack Eichel shot blocked by Tom Wilson
P3 18:20 Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Logan Thompson
P3 17:15 Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 16:44 Power play - Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Akira Schmid
P3 16:24 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:02 Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 15:51 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:25 Shot missed by Mark Stone
P3 13:47 Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:19 Shot missed by Brandon Saad
P3 12:14 Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 11:16 Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
P3 10:06 Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
P3 07:33 Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:12 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 03:17 Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P3 03:09 Justin Sourdif shot blocked by teammate
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P3 19:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Logan Thompson
P3 19:09
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 18:38
SHOT
Jack Eichel shot blocked by Tom Wilson
P3 18:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Logan Thompson
P3 17:58
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
P3 17:15
SHOT
Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 17:00
Shorthanded - Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Ethen Frank in defensive zone
P3 16:46
Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
P3 16:44
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Akira Schmid
P3 16:29
Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P3 16:24
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:07
Shorthanded - Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
P3 16:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 15:51
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Stone
P3 15:05
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P3 15:05
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P3 13:47
SHOT
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:16
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P3 12:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Saad
P3 12:14
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 11:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
P3 10:06
SHOT
Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
P3 09:57
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Brandon Duhaime in offensive zone
P3 09:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:26
Colton Sissons credited with hit on Declan Chisholm in offensive zone
P3 09:15
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ivan Barbashev in neutral zone
P3 08:15
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P3 07:37
Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in defensive zone
P3 07:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:26
Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 05:26
Penalty to Kaedan Korczak 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Justin Sourdif)
P3 04:15
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P3 04:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 04:04
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
P3 03:35
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P3 03:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:33
Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P3 03:33
Stoppage
P3 03:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P3 03:09
SHOT
Justin Sourdif shot blocked by teammate
P3 02:43
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Tomas Hertl
P3 02:27
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
P3 01:57
Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Brandon Duhaime in defensive zone
P3 01:14
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P3 01:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Reilly Smith
P3 00:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 00:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Akira Schmid
P3 00:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Akira Schmid
P3 00:00
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Saad
P2 19:22
SHOT
Brandon Saad shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P2 18:31
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by teammate
P2 17:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Logan Thompson
P2 16:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Logan Thompson
P2 16:44
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P2 16:24
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P2 16:24
Stoppage - Offside
P2 15:34
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P2 15:28
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P2 15:28
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 15:26
SHOT
Reilly Smith shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P2 14:59
Takeaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
P2 14:54
Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P2 14:54
GOAL
Goal scored by Jakob Chychrun
0-3
P2 13:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
P2 13:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Akira Schmid
P2 13:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
P2 12:28
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P2 12:28
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
P2 12:06
Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P2 12:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Golden Knights
P2 11:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P2 10:47
SHOT
Jeremy Lauzon shot blocked by Alex Ovechkin
P2 09:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P2 09:20
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Pavel Dorofeyev
P2 08:39
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
P2 08:12
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Keegan Kolesar in defensive zone
P2 08:09
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Matt Roy
P2 07:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Akira Schmid
P2 06:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P2 05:58
Shorthanded - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P2 05:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P2 05:43
SHOT
Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
P2 05:42
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P2 04:53
Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P2 04:53
Stoppage - Offside
P2 04:46
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Akira Schmid in defensive zone
P2 04:41
Penalty to Braeden Bowman 2 minutes for Hooking
P2 04:39
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
P2 04:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Logan Thompson
P2 04:09
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P2 03:51
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
P2 03:23
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
P2 03:23
GOAL
Goal scored by Pierre-Luc Dubois assisted by Aliaksei Protas
0-2
P2 03:11
Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P2 02:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Logan Thompson
P2 01:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaedan Korczak
P2 01:20
Giveaway by Ethen Frank in offensive zone
P2 00:49
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P2 00:00
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:21
SHOT
Jack Eichel shot blocked by Matt Roy
P1 18:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P1 17:36
Giveaway by Shea Theodore in defensive zone
P1 17:23
Shorthanded - Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Braeden Bowman in defensive zone
P1 17:10
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Colton Sissons in defensive zone
P1 17:10
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 17:00
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 16:08
SHOT
Power play - Jack Eichel shot blocked by teammate
P1 15:19
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P1 15:19
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 14:49
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P1 14:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 14:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Logan Thompson
P1 14:38
Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
P1 14:38
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 14:20
Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P1 13:23
Power play - Giveaway by Ryan Leonard in neutral zone
P1 13:19
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
P1 12:47
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P1 12:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P1 12:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Logan Thompson
P1 11:47
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P1 11:47
Stoppage - Icing
P1 11:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Akira Schmid
P1 11:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P1 10:08
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P1 10:08
Stoppage
P1 10:06
SHOT
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Dylan Strome
P1 08:15
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P1 08:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colton Sissons saved by Logan Thompson
P1 07:44
Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P1 07:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 06:44
Matt Roy credited with hit on Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P1 06:20
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P1 06:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Akira Schmid
P1 05:51
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:34
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
P1 05:34
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
P1 04:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Logan Thompson
P1 03:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Akira Schmid
P1 03:31
Takeaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
P1 02:46
Takeaway by Brandon Saad in offensive zone
P1 02:41
Declan Chisholm credited with hit on Alexander Holtz in defensive zone
P1 01:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Akira Schmid
P1 01:46
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P1 00:41
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
P1 00:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Capitals
26Shots on Goal30
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits17
12Shots Blocked17
20Giveaways19
Golden KnightsVGK
CapitalsWSH
26Shots on Goal30
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits17
12Shots Blocked17
20Giveaways19

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Golden Knights vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Capitals
  • Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights +100, Capitals -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 50%
  • Capitals: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 50%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Golden Knights in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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