Golden Knights vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Capitals NHL game on February 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Golden Knights
2
3
Capital One Arena
Capitals
Capital One Arena
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 0 2 2
Capitals
0 3 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Golden Knights
    0%
  • Capitals
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 0 2 2
Capitals
0 3 0 3
P3 19:42 Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P3 19:21 Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Logan Thompson
P3 19:09 Mitch Marner shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 18:38 Jack Eichel shot blocked by Tom Wilson
P3 18:20 Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Logan Thompson
P3 17:15 Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 16:44 Power play - Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Akira Schmid
P3 16:24 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:02 Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 15:51 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:25 Shot missed by Mark Stone
P3 13:47 Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:19 Shot missed by Brandon Saad
P3 12:14 Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 11:16 Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
P3 10:06 Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
P3 07:33 Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:12 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 03:17 Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P3 03:09 Justin Sourdif shot blocked by teammate
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  4. P3 19:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Logan Thompson
  5. P3 19:09
    SHOT
    Mitch Marner shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  6. P3 18:38
    SHOT
    Jack Eichel shot blocked by Tom Wilson
  7. P3 18:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Logan Thompson
  8. P3 17:58
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
  9. P3 17:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
  10. P3 17:00
    Shorthanded - Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Ethen Frank in defensive zone
  11. P3 16:46
    Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  12. P3 16:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Akira Schmid
  13. P3 16:29
    Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  14. P3 16:24
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Logan Thompson
  15. P3 16:07
    Shorthanded - Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
  16. P3 16:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  17. P3 15:51
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Logan Thompson
  18. P3 15:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mark Stone
  19. P3 15:05
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  20. P3 15:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  21. P3 13:47
    SHOT
    Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by teammate
  22. P3 13:16
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  23. P3 12:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Saad
  24. P3 12:14
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  25. P3 11:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
  26. P3 10:06
    SHOT
    Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  27. P3 09:57
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Brandon Duhaime in offensive zone
  28. P3 09:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  29. P3 09:26
    Colton Sissons credited with hit on Declan Chisholm in offensive zone
  30. P3 09:15
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ivan Barbashev in neutral zone
  31. P3 08:15
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  32. P3 07:37
    Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in defensive zone
  33. P3 07:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
  34. P3 05:26
    Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  35. P3 05:26
    Penalty to Kaedan Korczak 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Justin Sourdif)
  36. P3 04:15
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
  37. P3 04:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  38. P3 04:04
    Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
  39. P3 03:35
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  40. P3 03:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  41. P3 03:33
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  42. P3 03:33
    Stoppage
  43. P3 03:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  44. P3 03:09
    SHOT
    Justin Sourdif shot blocked by teammate
  45. P3 02:43
    SHOT
    Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Tomas Hertl
  46. P3 02:27
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  47. P3 01:57
    Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Brandon Duhaime in defensive zone
  48. P3 01:14
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  49. P3 01:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Reilly Smith
  50. P3 00:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
  51. P3 00:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Akira Schmid
  52. P3 00:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Akira Schmid
  53. P3 00:00
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  54. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  55. P2 19:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Saad
  56. P2 19:22
    SHOT
    Brandon Saad shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  57. P2 18:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by teammate
  58. P2 17:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Logan Thompson
  59. P2 16:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Logan Thompson
  60. P2 16:44
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  61. P2 16:24
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  62. P2 16:24
    Stoppage - Offside
  63. P2 15:34
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  64. P2 15:28
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  65. P2 15:28
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  66. P2 15:26
    SHOT
    Reilly Smith shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  67. P2 14:59
    Takeaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
  68. P2 14:54
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  69. P2 14:54
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jakob Chychrun
    0-3
  70. P2 13:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nic Dowd
  71. P2 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Akira Schmid
  72. P2 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Capitals
  73. P2 12:28
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  74. P2 12:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  75. P2 12:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
  76. P2 12:06
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  77. P2 12:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Golden Knights
  78. P2 11:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  79. P2 10:47
    SHOT
    Jeremy Lauzon shot blocked by Alex Ovechkin
  80. P2 09:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  81. P2 09:20
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Pavel Dorofeyev
  82. P2 08:39
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
  83. P2 08:12
    Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Keegan Kolesar in defensive zone
  84. P2 08:09
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Matt Roy
  85. P2 07:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Akira Schmid
  86. P2 06:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  87. P2 05:58
    Shorthanded - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  88. P2 05:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  89. P2 05:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  90. P2 05:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  91. P2 05:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  92. P2 04:53
    Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  93. P2 04:53
    Stoppage - Offside
  94. P2 04:46
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Akira Schmid in defensive zone
  95. P2 04:41
    Penalty to Braeden Bowman 2 minutes for Hooking
  96. P2 04:39
    SHOT
    Tom Wilson shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  97. P2 04:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Logan Thompson
  98. P2 04:09
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  99. P2 03:51
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  100. P2 03:23
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  101. P2 03:23
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Pierre-Luc Dubois assisted by Aliaksei Protas
    0-2
  102. P2 03:11
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  103. P2 02:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Logan Thompson
  104. P2 01:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kaedan Korczak
  105. P2 01:20
    Giveaway by Ethen Frank in offensive zone
  106. P2 00:49
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  107. P2 00:00
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  108. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  109. P1 19:21
    SHOT
    Jack Eichel shot blocked by Matt Roy
  110. P1 18:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  111. P1 17:36
    Giveaway by Shea Theodore in defensive zone
  112. P1 17:23
    Shorthanded - Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Braeden Bowman in defensive zone
  113. P1 17:10
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Colton Sissons in defensive zone
  114. P1 17:10
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  115. P1 17:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  116. P1 16:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Jack Eichel shot blocked by teammate
  117. P1 15:19
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  118. P1 15:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  119. P1 14:49
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  120. P1 14:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  121. P1 14:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Logan Thompson
  122. P1 14:38
    Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  123. P1 14:38
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  124. P1 14:20
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  125. P1 13:23
    Power play - Giveaway by Ryan Leonard in neutral zone
  126. P1 13:19
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
  127. P1 12:47
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  128. P1 12:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mitch Marner
  129. P1 12:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Logan Thompson
  130. P1 11:47
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
  131. P1 11:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  132. P1 11:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Akira Schmid
  133. P1 11:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McMichael
  134. P1 10:08
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  135. P1 10:08
    Stoppage
  136. P1 10:06
    SHOT
    Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  137. P1 08:15
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  138. P1 08:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  139. P1 08:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colton Sissons saved by Logan Thompson
  140. P1 07:44
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  141. P1 07:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  142. P1 06:44
    Matt Roy credited with hit on Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  143. P1 06:20
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  144. P1 06:20
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  145. P1 06:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Akira Schmid
  146. P1 05:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  147. P1 05:34
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  148. P1 05:34
    Stoppage - Icing
  149. P1 05:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
  150. P1 04:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Logan Thompson
  151. P1 03:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Akira Schmid
  152. P1 03:31
    Takeaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
  153. P1 02:46
    Takeaway by Brandon Saad in offensive zone
  154. P1 02:41
    Declan Chisholm credited with hit on Alexander Holtz in defensive zone
  155. P1 01:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Akira Schmid
  156. P1 01:46
    Giveaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  157. P1 00:41
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  158. P1 00:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  159. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Capitals
26Shots on Goal30
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits17
12 Shots Blocked 17
20Giveaways19
Golden KnightsVGK
CapitalsWSH
26Shots on Goal30
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits17
12 Shots Blocked 17
20Giveaways19

Golden Knights vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Capitals
  • Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights +100, Capitals -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 50%
  • Capitals: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 50%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Golden Knights in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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