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Penguins vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Sabres NHL game on February 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Penguins
5
2
Feb 6, 12AM KeyBank Center
Sabres
Feb 6, 12AM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Penguins
2 1 2 5
Sabres
1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
100%
0%
SabresBUF
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
2 1 2 5
Sabres
1 0 1 2
P3 19:46 Shorthanded - Goal scored by Ben Kindel assisted by Connor Dewar (Empty Net)
P3 19:36 Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 18:59 Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P3 18:30 Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 17:57 Shot missed by Isak Rosen
P3 17:51 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 16:19 Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:03 Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P3 15:30 Thomas Novak shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:07 Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Alex Lyon
P3 13:27 Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Alex Lyon
P3 11:11 Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:02 Shot missed by Josh Doan
P3 08:45 Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Alex Lyon
P3 08:16 Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P3 08:06 Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 06:31 Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
P3 04:49 Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Alex Lyon
P3 04:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
P3 04:18 Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Owen Power
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:46
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Ben Kindel assisted by Connor Dewar (Empty Net)
5-2
P3 19:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 18:59
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P3 18:31
Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
P3 18:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 17:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Isak Rosen
P3 17:52
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P3 17:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 16:27
Stoppage - High Stick
P3 16:23
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P3 16:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P3 15:38
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P3 15:30
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:47
Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
P3 14:24
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P3 14:24
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:14
Penguins won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P3 14:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Alex Lyon
P3 13:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Alex Lyon
P3 12:43
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P3 11:48
Power play - Thomas Novak won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 11:11
SHOT
Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:33
Penalty to Connor Clifton 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Peyton Krebs)
P3 10:33
Avery Hayes won faceoff against Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
P3 09:19
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 09:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
P3 08:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Alex Lyon
P3 08:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P3 08:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 07:31
Stoppage - Offside
P3 06:53
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P3 06:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
P3 06:21
Penguins won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P3 06:21
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater - TV timeout
P3 05:21
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 05:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Alex Lyon
P3 04:38
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P3 04:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
P3 04:18
SHOT
Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 04:13
Penalty to Michael Kesselring 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Bryan Rust)
P3 02:55
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P3 02:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Alex Lyon
P3 01:55
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P3 01:55
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Tage Thompson assisted by Jack Quinn and Rasmus Dahlin
3-2
P3 01:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
P3 00:36
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:05
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Alex Lyon
P2 19:10
Penguins won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P2 19:05
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Noah Ostlund
P2 18:17
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
P2 17:03
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P2 16:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P2 16:35
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
P2 16:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 16:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:08
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P2 15:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P2 15:27
Penguins won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P2 14:52
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
P2 14:50
Stoppage - Icing
P2 14:20
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P2 13:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P2 12:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P2 11:30
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P2 11:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 10:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P2 10:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 10:03
Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
P2 10:03
Penalty to Sidney Crosby 2 minutes for Cross Checking
P2 08:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 08:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyson Kozak saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 07:44
Penguins won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P2 07:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P2 07:34
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:28
Stoppage - Icing
P2 06:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P2 06:06
Stoppage - Icing
P2 05:59
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 05:28
SHOT
Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P2 05:20
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 03:53
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in neutral zone
P2 03:47
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Alex Tuch in neutral zone
P2 03:47
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 02:31
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P2 02:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P2 02:03
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
P2 02:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 01:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 01:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P2 00:30
Shorthanded - Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Josh Doan in defensive zone
P2 00:00
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Connor Dewar in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:43
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P1 19:03
Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 18:59
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
P1 18:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Avery Hayes
P1 17:42
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P1 16:10
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P1 15:54
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
P1 14:59
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P1 14:57
SHOT
Ilya Solovyov shot blocked by Owen Power
P1 13:49
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 13:49
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 12:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Alex Lyon
P1 11:57
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P1 11:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 10:30
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
P1 10:23
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 10:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 10:06
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P1 10:06
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 09:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:18
GOAL
Goal scored by Avery Hayes assisted by Ilya Solovyov
1-1
P1 09:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:04
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 08:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 07:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P1 06:48
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P1 06:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:36
SHOT
Michael Kesselring shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
P1 05:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 05:20
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 05:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
P1 04:52
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
P1 04:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Alex Lyon
P1 04:40
Giveaway by Justin Brazeau in neutral zone
P1 04:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:13
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
P1 04:11
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P1 02:32
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P1 02:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:46
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P1 01:45
GOAL
Goal scored by Jason Zucker
0-1
P1 01:13
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Sabres
32Shots on Goal28
46% Faceoff Win % 55%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
15Penalty Infraction Mins11
20Hits16
8Shots Blocked10
17Giveaways15
PenguinsPIT
SabresBUF
32Shots on Goal28
46% Faceoff Win % 55%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
15Penalty Infraction Mins11
20Hits16
8Shots Blocked10
17Giveaways15

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Penguins vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Sabres
  • Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +110, Sabres -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 46%
  • Sabres: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 46%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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