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Panthers vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Panthers vs. Capitals NHL game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Panthers
5
2
Jan 18, 12AM Capital One Arena
Capitals
Jan 18, 12AM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Panthers
1 2 2 5
Capitals
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PanthersFLA
Win %
100%
0%
CapitalsWSH
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Panthers
1 2 2 5
Capitals
0 2 0 2
P3 19:27 Goal scored by Carter Verhaeghe assisted by Sam Bennett and A.J. Greer (Empty Net)
P3 18:55 Shot on goal by Panthers saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:16 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 14:45 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Anton Lundell
P3 14:25 Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 14:06 Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Logan Thompson
P3 12:31 Ivan Miroshnichenko shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
P3 11:35 Shot missed by Jeff Petry
P3 11:06 Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 10:14 Power play - Shot missed by Sam Bennett
P3 09:45 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 09:27 Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Logan Thompson
P3 07:21 Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Logan Thompson
P3 07:09 Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by teammate
P3 02:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 02:05 Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Uvis Balinskis
P3 00:20 Aaron Ekblad shot blocked by teammate
P2 19:32 Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Ivan Miroshnichenko
P2 19:12 Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Daniil Tarasov
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:27
GOAL
Goal scored by Carter Verhaeghe assisted by Sam Bennett and A.J. Greer (Empty Net)
5-2
P3 19:26
Brett Leason won faceoff against Luke Kunin in neutral zone
P3 18:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Panthers saved by Logan Thompson
P3 18:35
Giveaway by Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P3 17:26
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
P3 17:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 15:37
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
P3 15:37
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:45
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Anton Lundell
P3 14:29
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
P3 14:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 14:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:52
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P3 12:35
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 12:31
SHOT
Ivan Miroshnichenko shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
P3 11:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Petry
P3 11:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 10:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sam Bennett
P3 09:45
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 09:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:30
Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P3 07:54
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
P3 07:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 07:23
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P3 07:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Logan Thompson
P3 07:11
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
P3 07:09
SHOT
Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by teammate
P3 04:16
Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Sandis Vilmanis in neutral zone
P3 04:04
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
P3 04:04
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 03:00
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P3 02:37
Giveaway by Sam Reinhart in defensive zone
P3 02:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 02:05
SHOT
Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Uvis Balinskis
P3 01:33
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 00:23
Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
P3 00:22
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
P3 00:20
SHOT
Aaron Ekblad shot blocked by teammate
P3 00:17
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P3 00:00
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:32
SHOT
Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Ivan Miroshnichenko
P2 19:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Daniil Tarasov
P2 16:35
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
P2 16:28
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Ethen Frank in defensive zone
P2 16:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Daniil Tarasov
P2 15:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
P2 15:16
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
P2 15:15
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Uvis Balinskis
P2 14:31
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P2 13:41
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Uvis Balinskis in offensive zone
P2 13:35
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Sam Bennett
P2 13:32
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
P2 13:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
P2 13:12
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 13:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
P2 12:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P2 11:50
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in neutral zone
P2 11:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Ethen Frank
P2 11:40
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P2 11:38
SHOT
Carter Verhaeghe shot blocked by Dylan Strome
P2 11:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Niko Mikkola
P2 10:46
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
P2 10:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Daniil Tarasov
P2 10:19
SHOT
Sam Bennett shot blocked by teammate
P2 10:04
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P2 09:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Daniil Tarasov
P2 09:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P2 08:42
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P2 08:11
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P2 08:02
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Uvis Balinskis
P2 07:51
Brandon Duhaime won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
P2 07:51
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 06:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Logan Thompson
P2 05:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P2 04:36
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Luke Kunin in defensive zone
P2 04:26
Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P2 03:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Miroshnichenko
P2 03:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Logan Thompson
P2 02:40
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
P2 02:15
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
P2 02:04
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
P2 01:32
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P2 01:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:14
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
P2 01:14
Penalty to Nic Dowd 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Sam Bennett)
P2 01:03
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
P2 01:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:00
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:28
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P1 19:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Ethen Frank
P1 18:54
SHOT
Shot missed by A.J. Greer
P1 18:51
Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P1 18:51
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 18:23
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P1 17:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P1 16:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Luke Kunin saved by Logan Thompson
P1 15:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P1 15:22
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
P1 15:20
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 15:17
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
P1 14:30
Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
P1 14:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Daniil Tarasov
P1 13:23
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
P1 13:22
SHOT
Shot missed by A.J. Greer
P1 13:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Daniil Tarasov
P1 12:48
GOAL
Goal scored by Connor McMichael
0-1
P1 12:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
P1 11:50
Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P1 11:17
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mackie Samoskevich in defensive zone
P1 11:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tobias Bjornfot saved by Logan Thompson
P1 09:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Logan Thompson
P1 09:48
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P1 09:18
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P1 09:18
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P1 07:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Logan Thompson
P1 07:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P1 05:49
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Luke Kunin in offensive zone
P1 05:39
Giveaway by Niko Mikkola in defensive zone
P1 05:18
SHOT
Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Nic Dowd
P1 04:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Niko Mikkola
P1 03:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Eetu Luostarinen
P1 03:38
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P1 03:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:18
Luke Kunin won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
P1 03:18
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:48
Jeff Petry credited with hit on Ivan Miroshnichenko in offensive zone
P1 02:43
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mackie Samoskevich in defensive zone
P1 02:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Bennett
P1 02:33
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
P1 02:04
A.J. Greer credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
P1 01:42
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
P1 01:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
P1 01:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Anton Lundell
P1 00:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Logan Thompson
P1 00:26
Giveaway by Ryan Leonard in offensive zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Panthers
STATS
Capitals
31Shots on Goal24
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
23Hits29
8Shots Blocked18
15Giveaways20
PanthersFLA
CapitalsWSH
31Shots on Goal24
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
23Hits29
8Shots Blocked18
15Giveaways20

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Panthers vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Panthers vs. Capitals
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Panthers +140, Capitals -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Panthers: 45%
  • Capitals: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 45%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Panthers vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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