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Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL game on January 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Canadiens
3
5
Jan 16, 12AM KeyBank Center
Sabres
Jan 16, 12AM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Canadiens
2 1 0 3
Sabres
2 1 2 5
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
CanadiensMTL
Win %
0%
100%
SabresBUF
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canadiens
2 1 0 3
Sabres
2 1 2 5
P3 19:55 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Colten Ellis
P3 18:20 Goal scored by Tage Thompson
P3 17:31 Shot missed by Josh Anderson
P3 13:50 Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Colten Ellis
P3 13:15 Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 12:11 Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
P3 11:33 Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
P3 11:31 Cole Caufield shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 11:04 Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Jason Zucker
P3 10:01 Power play - Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Phillip Danault
P3 09:47 Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 09:03 Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 07:18 Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 03:58 Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Colten Ellis
P3 03:35 Shot missed by Tyson Kozak
P3 03:26 Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 01:04 Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 00:22 Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Colten Ellis
P2 18:05 Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P2 16:57 Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jacob Fowler
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Colten Ellis
P3 19:16
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P3 18:20
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P3 18:20
GOAL
Goal scored by Tage Thompson
3-5
P3 17:53
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P3 17:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
P3 15:27
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P3 15:27
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P3 13:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Colten Ellis
P3 13:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 12:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
P3 11:48
Stoppage - Icing
P3 11:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
P3 11:31
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 11:04
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Jason Zucker
P3 10:43
Giveaway by Colten Ellis in defensive zone
P3 10:01
SHOT
Power play - Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Phillip Danault
P3 09:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 09:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 08:39
Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
P3 08:30
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
P3 07:58
Takeaway by Owen Power in defensive zone
P3 07:18
SHOT
Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 07:08
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 07:08
Penalty to Jordan Greenway 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Brendan Gallagher)
P3 07:08
Arber Xhekaj won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P3 05:12
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P3 03:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Colten Ellis
P3 03:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyson Kozak
P3 03:26
SHOT
Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 02:14
Power play - Giveaway by Jason Zucker in offensive zone
P3 01:42
Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
P3 01:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:06
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
P3 01:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 00:37
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P3 00:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Colten Ellis
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:22
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 18:45
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P2 18:24
Giveaway by Cole Caufield in offensive zone
P2 18:07
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P2 18:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P2 16:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jacob Fowler
P2 16:05
Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
P2 15:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Colten Ellis
P2 14:53
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P2 13:57
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P2 11:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jacob Fowler
P2 11:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Colten Ellis
P2 11:32
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P2 11:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Colten Ellis
P2 10:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P2 10:20
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 10:20
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 10:20
Penalty to Mike Matheson 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Bowen Byram)
P2 09:59
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Doan in offensive zone
P2 09:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:43
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 08:55
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
P2 08:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P2 08:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jacob Fowler
P2 08:00
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
P2 08:00
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:40
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P2 06:22
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P2 06:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jacob Fowler
P2 05:34
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P2 04:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
P2 04:34
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
P2 03:35
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P2 03:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyson Kozak saved by Jacob Fowler
P2 03:05
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nick Suzuki
3-2
P2 03:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Colten Ellis
P2 02:32
Penalty to Jacob Bryson 2 minutes for Holding
P2 01:20
Ryan McLeod credited with hit on Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
P2 01:15
Giveaway by Jack Quinn in offensive zone
P2 00:38
Giveaway by Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P2 00:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Colten Ellis
P2 00:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:59
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
P1 18:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:45
Stoppage - Icing
P1 18:08
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P1 17:57
Stoppage - Icing
P1 17:31
SHOT
Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P1 16:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jacob Fowler
P1 15:39
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P1 14:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lane Hutson
P1 14:20
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P1 13:46
Penalty to Bowen Byram 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 12:50
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
P1 12:50
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 12:50
Penalty to Zach Benson 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Brendan Gallagher)
P1 12:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Colten Ellis
P1 11:14
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
P1 11:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Colten Ellis
P1 10:30
Cole Caufield won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P1 10:30
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Josh Doan
1-2
P1 09:55
SHOT
Power play - Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
P1 09:21
Shorthanded - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 09:21
Penalty to Kaiden Guhle 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 08:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jacob Fowler
P1 07:41
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P1 07:39
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P1 07:21
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by Phillip Danault
P1 07:14
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
P1 07:10
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P1 07:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jacob Fowler
P1 06:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
P1 05:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Bryson
P1 05:35
Zachary Bolduc won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P1 05:31
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
P1 05:23
SHOT
Zach Metsa shot blocked by Joseph Veleno
P1 04:24
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P1 04:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Colten Ellis
P1 03:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P1 03:46
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
P1 03:11
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 02:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P1 02:32
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 01:30
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P1 01:00
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jacob Fowler
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Sabres
23Shots on Goal27
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
12Penalty Infraction Mins10
26Hits21
18Shots Blocked6
14Giveaways15
CanadiensMTL
SabresBUF
23Shots on Goal27
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
12Penalty Infraction Mins10
26Hits21
18Shots Blocked6
14Giveaways15

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Canadiens vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Sabres
  • Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens -117, Sabres +105

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 50%
  • Sabres: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 50%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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