Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL game on January 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Canadiens
3
5
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Canadiens
2 1 0 3
Sabres
2 1 2 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canadiens
    0%
  • Sabres
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canadiens
2 1 0 3
Sabres
2 1 2 5
P3 19:55 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Colten Ellis
P3 18:20 Goal scored by Tage Thompson
P3 17:31 Shot missed by Josh Anderson
P3 13:50 Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Colten Ellis
P3 13:15 Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 12:11 Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
P3 11:33 Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
P3 11:31 Cole Caufield shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 11:04 Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Jason Zucker
P3 10:01 Power play - Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Phillip Danault
P3 09:47 Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 09:03 Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 07:18 Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 03:58 Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Colten Ellis
P3 03:35 Shot missed by Tyson Kozak
P3 03:26 Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 01:04 Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 00:22 Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Colten Ellis
P2 18:05 Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P2 16:57 Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jacob Fowler
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Colten Ellis
  3. P3 19:16
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  4. P3 18:20
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:20
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tage Thompson
    3-5
  6. P3 17:53
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  7. P3 17:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Anderson
  8. P3 15:27
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  9. P3 15:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  10. P3 13:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Colten Ellis
  11. P3 13:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  12. P3 12:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
  13. P3 11:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  14. P3 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
  15. P3 11:31
    SHOT
    Cole Caufield shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  16. P3 11:04
    SHOT
    Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Jason Zucker
  17. P3 10:43
    Giveaway by Colten Ellis in defensive zone
  18. P3 10:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Phillip Danault
  19. P3 09:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
  20. P3 09:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  21. P3 08:39
    Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  22. P3 08:30
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
  23. P3 07:58
    Takeaway by Owen Power in defensive zone
  24. P3 07:18
    SHOT
    Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  25. P3 07:08
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  26. P3 07:08
    Penalty to Jordan Greenway 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Brendan Gallagher)
  27. P3 07:08
    Arber Xhekaj won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  28. P3 05:12
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  29. P3 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Colten Ellis
  30. P3 03:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyson Kozak
  31. P3 03:26
    SHOT
    Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  32. P3 02:14
    Power play - Giveaway by Jason Zucker in offensive zone
  33. P3 01:42
    Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  34. P3 01:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  35. P3 01:06
    Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
  36. P3 01:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Jacob Fowler
  37. P3 00:37
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  38. P3 00:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  39. P3 00:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Colten Ellis
  40. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  41. P2 19:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  42. P2 18:45
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  43. P2 18:24
    Giveaway by Cole Caufield in offensive zone
  44. P2 18:07
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  45. P2 18:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
  46. P2 16:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jacob Fowler
  47. P2 16:05
    Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
  48. P2 15:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Colten Ellis
  49. P2 14:53
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  50. P2 13:57
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  51. P2 11:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jacob Fowler
  52. P2 11:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Colten Ellis
  53. P2 11:32
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  54. P2 11:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Colten Ellis
  55. P2 10:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  56. P2 10:20
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  57. P2 10:20
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  58. P2 10:20
    Penalty to Mike Matheson 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Bowen Byram)
  59. P2 09:59
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Doan in offensive zone
  60. P2 09:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  61. P2 09:43
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  62. P2 08:55
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  63. P2 08:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  64. P2 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jacob Fowler
  65. P2 08:00
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
  66. P2 08:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  67. P2 07:40
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  68. P2 06:22
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  69. P2 06:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jacob Fowler
  70. P2 05:34
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  71. P2 04:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  72. P2 04:34
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  73. P2 03:35
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  74. P2 03:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyson Kozak saved by Jacob Fowler
  75. P2 03:05
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Nick Suzuki
    3-2
  76. P2 03:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Colten Ellis
  77. P2 02:32
    Penalty to Jacob Bryson 2 minutes for Holding
  78. P2 01:20
    Ryan McLeod credited with hit on Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  79. P2 01:15
    Giveaway by Jack Quinn in offensive zone
  80. P2 00:38
    Giveaway by Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  81. P2 00:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Colten Ellis
  82. P2 00:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  83. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  84. P1 18:59
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
  85. P1 18:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  86. P1 18:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  87. P1 18:08
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  88. P1 17:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  89. P1 17:31
    SHOT
    Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  90. P1 16:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jacob Fowler
  91. P1 15:39
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  92. P1 14:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  93. P1 14:20
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  94. P1 13:46
    Penalty to Bowen Byram 2 minutes for Misconduct
  95. P1 12:50
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  96. P1 12:50
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  97. P1 12:50
    Penalty to Zach Benson 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Brendan Gallagher)
  98. P1 12:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Colten Ellis
  99. P1 11:14
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
  100. P1 11:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Colten Ellis
  101. P1 10:30
    Cole Caufield won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  102. P1 10:30
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Josh Doan
    1-2
  103. P1 09:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
  104. P1 09:21
    Shorthanded - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  105. P1 09:21
    Penalty to Kaiden Guhle 2 minutes for Misconduct
  106. P1 08:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jacob Fowler
  107. P1 07:41
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  108. P1 07:39
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
  109. P1 07:21
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by Phillip Danault
  110. P1 07:14
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
  111. P1 07:10
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  112. P1 07:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jacob Fowler
  113. P1 06:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  114. P1 05:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Bryson
  115. P1 05:35
    Zachary Bolduc won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  116. P1 05:31
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  117. P1 05:23
    SHOT
    Zach Metsa shot blocked by Joseph Veleno
  118. P1 04:24
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  119. P1 04:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Colten Ellis
  120. P1 03:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
  121. P1 03:46
    Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
  122. P1 03:11
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  123. P1 02:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  124. P1 02:32
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  125. P1 01:30
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  126. P1 01:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  127. P1 00:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jacob Fowler
  128. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Sabres
23Shots on Goal27
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
12Penalty Infraction Mins10
26Hits21
18 Shots Blocked 6
14Giveaways15
CanadiensMTL
SabresBUF
23Shots on Goal27
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
12Penalty Infraction Mins10
26Hits21
18 Shots Blocked 6
14Giveaways15

Canadiens vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Sabres
  • Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens -117, Sabres +105

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 50%
  • Sabres: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 50%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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