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Chiefs vs. Raiders Preview and Prediction

Our Chiefs vs. Raiders preview, analysis and predictions for January 4, 2026, are based on 10,000 NFL game simulations. See Dimers Pro for unlimited access.
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NFL
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NFL
Chiefs
Predicted score
21
:
16
Jan 4, 9:25PM Allegiant Stadium
Raiders
Jan 4, 9:25PM Allegiant Stadium
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 1:45AM, Dec 30
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Chiefs KC
Raiders + 5.5
Spread
46%
54%
Raiders LV
Player Props
Anytime Touchdown
First Touchdown
Chiefs
Probability
Kareem Hunt
35.1%
JuJu Smith-Schuster
20.7%
Hollywood Brown
20.6%
Xavier Worthy
Travis Kelce
Raiders
Probability
Ashton Jeanty
40.9%
Tre Tucker
26.4%
Tyler Lockett
21.0%
Michael Mayer
Jack Bech
Projected Player Stats
Chiefs Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
C. Oladokun
Raiders Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
K. Pickett
Chiefs Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
K. Hunt
I. Pacheco
B. Smith
Raiders Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
A. Jeanty
R. Mostert
K. Pickett
Chiefs Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
X. Worthy
T. Kelce
H. Brown
J. Smith-Schuster
N. Gray
Raiders Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
T. Tucker
M. Mayer
T. Lockett
J. Bech
A. Jeanty

Game Prediction Article

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Chiefs vs. Raiders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Chiefs favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 36.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Chiefs -245, Raiders +225

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chiefs: 72%
  • Raiders: 28%

Dimers' predictive NFL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Chiefs 21-16 Raiders.

This prediction is based on each team's average score and player stats following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Chiefs a win probability of 72%, while the Raiders have a win probability of 28%.

Summary

The Chiefs face off against the Raiders in the NFL at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, January 4, 2026. On this page, you'll find our preview, analysis and data-driven projections for the game.

Our Chiefs vs. Raiders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL picks, NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.

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