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Heat vs. Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Pistons NBA game on January 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
118
112
Jan 2, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
Jan 2, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 33 | 30 | 31 | 24 | 118 |
Pistons | 26 | 28 | 27 | 31 | 112 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
83%
17%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 33 | 30 | 31 | 24 | 118 |
Pistons | 26 | 28 | 27 | 31 | 112 |
Q4 00:08 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:46 Pistons makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Pistons makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:25 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:25 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:57 Heat misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-112
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-112
Pistons turnover
Pistons 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-112
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
114-112
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
114-109
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
114-107
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-104
Pistons personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-103
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-103
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
112-105
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
Pistons 60 second timeout
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-102
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-103
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Davion Mitchell turnover (lost ball)
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
112-101
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons turnover
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-99
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-99
Pistons turnover
Heat personal foul
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Jump ball. Kel'el Ware (Davion Mitchell gains possession)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins misses two point tip layup
Heat offensive rebound
Pistons turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
110-99
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
107-99
Heat turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
107-97
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
107-95
Pistons personal foul
Isaiah Stewart turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Marcus Sasser, Ausar Thompson)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-95
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Paul Reed, Marcus Sasser, Ausar Thompson)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-95
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
102-95
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-92
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
100-92
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
98-92
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Paul Reed offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
98-89
Heat 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Paul Reed, Marcus Sasser, Ausar Thompson)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Paul Reed misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-87
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-86
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
96-86
Heat personal foul
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-83
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Heat personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-82
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-83
Heat turnover
Pistons turnover
Heat turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II, Marcus Sasser)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Simone Fontecchio, Andrew Wiggins)
Pistons turnover
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Paul Reed makes two point jump shot
94-81
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
94-79
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
91-79
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
Pistons turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-76
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-77
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-75
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
89-75
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell)
Pistons lineup change (Jaden Ivey, Javonte Green, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II, Marcus Sasser)
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-71
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-72
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II, Marcus Sasser)
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
89-70
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
89-67
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
86-67
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
84-67
Pistons personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-65
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-65
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-65
Cade Cunningham misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
82-64
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
82-62
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Paul Reed turnover (bad pass)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
82-60
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
80-60
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
80-58
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
78-58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
77-56
Pistons personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
78-56
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-56
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-56
Pistons turnover
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
71-56
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
68-56
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
65-56
Heat misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-55
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-56
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
63-54
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-54
Heat personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-53
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-54
Pistons defensive rebound
Jump ball. (Cade Cunningham gains possession)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-52
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
56-52
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
56-50
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
53-50
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
53-48
Heat personal foul
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-47
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-48
Heat turnover
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
50-46
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
50-44
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-44
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
45-44
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
43-44
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Norman Powell)
Pistons lineup change (Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Marcus Sasser, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
Heat personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-41
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-42
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Ausar Thompson)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
43-40
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
43-37
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-35
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
41-35
Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-33
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-33
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-31
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-31
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-31
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
37-31
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-29
Isaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-28
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Marcus Sasser makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-27
+1
Marcus Sasser makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-28
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-26
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Javonte Green offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware turnover (lost ball)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
33-26
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Marcus Sasser)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-24
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Marcus Sasser, Duncan Robinson)
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-24
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Marcus Sasser, Duncan Robinson)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
31-24
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-22
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
29-22
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
29-20
Pistons 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
27-20
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
24-20
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-20
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-20
Pistons personal foul
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II, Marcus Sasser)
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-20
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-20
Pistons personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
15-20
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Ausar Thompson)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
15-18
Pistons turnover
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
13-18
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
13-16
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-13
Norman Powell offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Isaiah Stewart turnover (offensive foul)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Pistons personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-13
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
10-13
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
10-11
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Pistons 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
10-9
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-8
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-9
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
7-7
Pistons turnover
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
4-7
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
4-4
Heat personal foul
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
4-5
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-2
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-0
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
Start of 1st Quarter
(Bam Adebayo gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Heat vs. Pistons: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Pistons
- Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pistons favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +163, Pistons -185
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 37%
- Pistons: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 116-119 Pistons.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 37%, while the Pistons have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Little Caesars Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Pistons predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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