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Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Thunder NBA game on December 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Spurs
117
102
Dec 25, 7:30PM Paycom Center
Thunder
Dec 25, 7:30PM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Spurs
41 28 26 22 117
Thunder
36 24 19 23 102
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
SpursSAS
Win %
>99%
<1%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Spurs
41 28 26 22 117
Thunder
36 24 19 23 102
Q4 00:27 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:35 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:45 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:57 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:15 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:28 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:03
Spurs turnover
Q4 00:23
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Q4 00:27
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:32
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q4 00:35
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
117-102
Q4 00:47
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Q4 00:50
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:00
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
117-100
Q4 1:12
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q4 1:12
Spurs lineup change (Jordan McLaughlin, Jeremy Sochan, Lindy Waters III, Kelly Olynyk, Carter Bryant)
Q4 1:23
Thunder turnover
Q4 1:42
Thunder personal foul
Q4 1:42
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-100
Q4 1:42
Thunder lineup change (Brooks Barnhizer, Aaron Wiggins, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Chris Youngblood)
Q4 1:42
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-100
Q4 1:59
Spurs personal foul
Q4 1:59
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-99
Q4 1:59
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-100
Q4 2:14
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 2:16
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:41
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Q4 2:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:57
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
112-98
Q4 3:13
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Q4 3:15
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:26
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 3:28
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:39
Thunder personal foul
Q4 3:49
Spurs defensive rebound
Q4 3:49
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 3:50
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:09
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
110-98
Q4 4:18
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q4 4:18
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Q4 4:29
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Q4 4:31
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:36
Spurs turnover
Q4 4:50
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
108-98
Q4 4:59
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q4 5:02
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:17
Stoppage (Other)
Q4 5:19
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
108-96
Q4 5:35
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Q4 5:35
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:35
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-93
Q4 5:35
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-93
Q4 5:38
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:00
Spurs personal foul
Q4 6:00
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-92
Q4 6:00
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-93
Q4 6:07
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
106-91
Q4 6:07
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 6:07
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper)
Q4 6:07
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
Q4 6:28
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q4 6:31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:48
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
104-91
Q4 6:57
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Q4 7:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:05
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 7:08
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:31
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
102-91
Q4 7:45
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
102-88
Q4 7:55
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q4 7:59
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:10
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:10
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 8:10
Instant replay
Q4 8:10
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)
Q4 8:10
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-88
Q4 8:10
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-88
Q4 8:34
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
97-88
Q4 8:50
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 8:53
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:05
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Q4 9:08
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:25
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
97-85
Q4 9:46
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q4 9:46
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Q4 9:47
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-85
Q4 9:54
Spurs turnover
Q4 10:10
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
95-83
Q4 10:12
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q4 10:15
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:21
Spurs personal foul
Q4 10:21
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Q4 10:26
Spurs turnover
Q4 10:33
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Q4 10:36
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:43
Spurs turnover
Q4 10:54
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Q4 10:56
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 10:56
Spurs personal foul
Q4 10:56
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-80
Q4 10:56
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 10:59
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:12
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 11:14
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:36
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:36
Spurs defensive rebound
Q4 11:36
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 00:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Q3 00:12
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Q3 00:12
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
95-79
Q3 00:13
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:32
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Q3 00:35
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:47
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
93-79
Q3 1:09
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
91-79
Q3 1:12
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q3 1:16
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:30
Spurs turnover
Q3 1:30
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q3 1:30
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Q3 1:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-76
Q3 1:57
Spurs violation
Q3 1:58
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
91-74
Q3 2:04
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Q3 2:05
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:18
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q3 2:18
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
89-74
Q3 2:21
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:31
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:31
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-72
Q3 2:31
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-72
Q3 2:32
Jump ball. Aaron Wiggins (Victor Wembanyama gains possession)
Q3 2:51
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Q3 2:54
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:03
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 3:07
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:17
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q3 3:19
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:29
Spurs turnover
Q3 3:36
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q3 3:36
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
Q3 3:36
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Q3 3:42
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Q3 3:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:52
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 3:54
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:11
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Q3 4:15
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:24
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 4:27
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:40
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q3 4:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:53
Thunder defensive rebound
Q3 4:53
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 4:54
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:02
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q3 5:05
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:15
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
87-72
Q3 5:39
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 5:39
Spurs personal foul
Q3 5:39
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-71
Q3 5:39
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Q3 5:39
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-72
Q3 5:42
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:50
Spurs personal foul
Q3 5:50
Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Q3 5:50
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 5:50
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 3
85-69
Q3 5:50
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 3 of 3
85-70
Q3 6:04
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
85-68
Q3 6:19
Spurs defensive rebound
Q3 6:19
Thunder personal foul
Q3 6:19
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
Q3 6:21
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:32
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
83-68
Q3 6:44
Thunder personal foul
Q3 6:44
Jalen Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 6:44
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Q3 6:57
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
80-68
Q3 7:07
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
77-68
Q3 7:14
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q3 7:17
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:22
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q3 7:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:34
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 7:37
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:54
Spurs personal foul
Q3 7:54
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q3 7:54
Instant replay
Q3 7:54
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 7:54
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Q3 8:00
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 8:04
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:09
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Q3 8:11
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:26
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
77-66
Q3 8:27
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 8:27
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Q3 8:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
75-66
Q3 8:52
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 8:55
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:58
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Q3 9:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:10
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
75-64
Q3 9:12
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Q3 9:14
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:18
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Q3 9:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:28
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 9:31
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:43
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Q3 9:47
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:06
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
73-64
Q3 10:22
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-64
Q3 10:39
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
71-62
Q3 10:56
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Q3 11:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q3 11:08
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:16
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 11:17
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:28
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
69-62
Q3 11:43
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 11:49
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q2 00:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Q3 12:00
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
Q2 00:02
Harrison Barnes misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:02
Harrison Barnes turnover (lost ball)
Q2 00:26
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
69-60
Q2 00:34
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q2 00:37
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:55
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
69-57
Q2 1:13
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
69-55
Q2 1:26
Spurs personal foul
Q2 1:26
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 1:26
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 1:26
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Q2 1:26
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Q2 1:26
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-55
Q2 1:32
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 1:35
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:42
Thunder personal foul
Q2 1:42
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
Q2 1:46
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q2 1:49
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:04
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
67-54
Q2 2:08
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Q2 2:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:23
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Q2 2:23
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-54
Q2 2:27
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-54
Q2 3:00
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 3:03
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:17
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
63-51
Q2 3:17
Spurs personal foul
Q2 3:17
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Q2 3:17
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-52
Q2 3:17
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 3:18
Spurs turnover
Q2 3:28
Thunder turnover
Q2 3:38
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-49
Q2 3:42
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Q2 3:46
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:54
Spurs personal foul
Q2 3:54
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
61-49
Q2 4:06
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 4:06
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
Q2 4:07
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
61-48
Q2 4:11
Thunder turnover
Q2 4:12
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q2 4:17
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:31
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
58-48
Q2 4:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
55-48
Q2 5:04
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 5:07
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:27
Spurs defensive rebound
Q2 5:27
Thunder personal foul
Q2 5:27
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q2 5:29
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:40
Thunder personal foul
Q2 5:40
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-46
Q2 5:40
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 5:40
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
Q2 5:40
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-46
Q2 5:43
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Q2 5:45
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:03
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
53-46
Q2 6:04
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Q2 6:07
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:23
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Q2 6:25
Spurs personal foul
Q2 6:25
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-46
Q2 6:25
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 6:25
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Q2 6:35
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
51-45
Q2 6:48
Thunder personal foul
Q2 6:59
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
49-45
Q2 7:05
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 7:08
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:21
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q2 7:23
Spurs personal foul
Q2 7:23
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 7:23
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 7:23
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 7:26
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q2 7:28
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:34
Spurs turnover
Q2 7:44
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Q2 7:46
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:52
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:52
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 7:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:52
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Q2 8:08
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q2 8:11
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:13
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Q2 8:15
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:21
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Q2 8:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:43
Spurs personal foul
Q2 8:43
Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 8:43
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Q2 8:43
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Q2 8:45
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q2 8:47
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:53
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q2 8:57
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:18
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 9:21
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:31
Thunder turnover
Q2 9:44
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Q2 9:44
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
49-43
Q2 9:47
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:04
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
47-43
Q2 10:06
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 10:06
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 10:19
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:19
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 10:19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 10:19
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Q2 10:34
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
47-40
Q2 10:51
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
45-40
Q2 11:10
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
45-38
Q2 11:28
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:28
Spurs personal foul
Q2 11:28
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-37
Q2 11:28
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-38
Q2 11:44
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
43-36
Q1 00:00
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Q1 00:02
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:07
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
41-36
Q1 00:08
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:08
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Q1 00:23
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Q1 00:26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:34
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
39-36
Q1 00:47
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Q1 00:48
Spurs personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Q1 00:48
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 00:48
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 00:48
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 00:48
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Q1 1:06
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
37-36
Q1 1:22
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Q1 1:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:40
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Q1 1:40
Thunder personal foul
Q1 1:40
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-36
Q1 1:40
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-36
Q1 1:42
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:56
Thunder personal foul
Q1 1:56
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
33-36
Q1 1:58
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
32-36
Q1 2:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-36
Q1 2:37
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
30-34
Q1 2:41
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Q1 2:46
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:57
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 3:00
Thunder personal foul
Q1 3:00
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 3:00
Spurs offensive rebound
Q1 3:00
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 3:00
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Q1 3:18
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-34
Q1 3:31
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q1 3:33
Thunder personal foul
Q1 3:33
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-32
Q1 3:33
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 3:33
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Q1 3:33
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 3:39
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q1 3:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:59
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
27-32
Q1 4:12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-32
Q1 4:15
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 4:19
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-30
Q1 4:41
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q1 4:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:57
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 4:57
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Q1 4:57
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)
Q1 4:59
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
24-28
Q1 5:08
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Q1 5:09
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:23
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 5:26
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:34
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-28
Q1 5:48
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
21-26
Q1 5:53
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Q1 5:57
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:06
Spurs turnover
Q1 6:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
19-26
Q1 6:43
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
19-24
Q1 6:58
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
17-24
Q1 6:59
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q1 7:03
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:15
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
17-21
Q1 7:35
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
14-21
Q1 7:36
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q1 7:38
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:52
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 7:54
Thunder personal foul
Q1 7:54
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 3
13-18
Q1 7:54
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
14-18
Q1 7:54
Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Q1 8:10
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q1 8:11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
12-18
Q1 8:25
Spurs personal foul
Q1 8:25
Luke Kornet turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 8:32
Spurs personal foul
Q1 8:32
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-15
Q1 8:32
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-16
Q1 8:40
Spurs personal foul
Q1 8:47
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 8:49
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:01
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
12-14
Q1 9:09
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
12-11
Q1 9:10
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Q1 9:13
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:25
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
10-11
Q1 9:38
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
10-8
Q1 9:51
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-8
Q1 10:05
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
7-6
Q1 10:10
Thunder turnover
Q1 10:30
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
5-6
Q1 10:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-6
Q1 11:00
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 11:02
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
2-4
Q1 11:02
Thunder personal foul
Q1 11:02
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q1 11:14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
0-4
Q1 11:22
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 11:26
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
0-2
Q1 12:00
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Q1 12:00
(Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Spurs
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
Thunder
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast

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Spurs vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Spurs vs. Thunder
  • Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Spurs +335, Thunder -400

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Spurs: 23%
  • Thunder: 77%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 113-121 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 23%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 77%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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