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Rockets vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Lakers NBA game on December 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
119
96
Dec 26, 1AM Crypto.com Arena
Dec 26, 1AM Crypto.com Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 37 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 119 |
Lakers | 25 | 28 | 21 | 22 | 96 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 37 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 119 |
Lakers | 25 | 28 | 21 | 22 | 96 |
Q4 00:11 Clint Capela makes two point tip layup
Q4 00:13 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:14 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:33 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Clint Capela offensive rebound
+2
Clint Capela makes two point tip layup
119-96
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
117-96
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
117-93
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
115-93
Adou Thiero defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Maxi Kleber turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay
Rockets personal foul
Clint Capela offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
115-91
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jeff Green defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Adou Thiero offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
113-91
Maxi Kleber misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
113-89
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (JD Davison, Clint Capela, Jae'Sean Tate, Aaron Holiday, Jeff Green)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
111-89
Lakers 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday)
Lakers lineup change (Bronny James, Adou Thiero, Maxi Kleber, Dalton Knecht, Jake LaRavia)
Lakers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
109-89
Lakers personal foul
Lakers personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes technical free throw 1 of 1
107-89
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-89
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-89
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
104-89
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
104-87
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
102-87
Rockets turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
102-85
Rockets personal foul
Kevin Durant turnover (offensive foul)
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
102-83
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
102-80
Lakers turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
100-80
Steven Adams offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
97-80
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
97-78
Lakers turnover
Lakers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Steven Adams offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
95-78
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
94-76
Lakers personal foul
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 1
95-76
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Rockets offensive rebound
Lakers personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
LeBron James makes two point jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)
92-76
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams, Tari Eason)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-74
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
90-74
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
90-71
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
88-71
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
88-69
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
86-69
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-66
Reed Sheppard misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams, Amen Thompson)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
85-66
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Steven Adams)
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
85-64
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
83-64
Kevin Durant turnover
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
83-62
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Rockets turnover
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Steven Adams, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
83-60
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
81-60
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
81-58
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Lakers personal foul
Lakers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Rockets turnover
Alperen Sengun turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-58
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-58
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
77-58
Lakers violation
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
75-58
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
73-58
Lakers 60 second timeout
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
73-56
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Rui Hachimura misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
70-56
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
67-56
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
67-53
Kevin Durant offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets offensive rebound
Luka Doncic blocks Kevin Durant's two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
65-53
Lakers personal foul
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
63-53
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
63-51
Lakers turnover
Rockets personal foul
Tari Eason turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Lakers violation
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson)
Lakers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
61-51
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-51
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-51
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
Rockets personal foul
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-50
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-51
Lakers personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-49
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-49
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
55-48
Rockets personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
55-49
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
54-46
Lakers personal foul
Lakers 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
55-46
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
52-46
Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
50-46
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
50-44
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
48-44
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
48-41
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
48-38
Lakers turnover
Rockets turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
45-38
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
45-36
Rockets personal foul
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-36
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Tari Eason misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jarred Vanderbilt)
Tari Eason misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
43-35
Rockets turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
43-33
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
43-31
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Lakers turnover
Rockets turnover
Lakers personal foul
Lakers personal foul
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
41-31
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Steven Adams offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
41-28
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
LeBron James defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
39-28
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
39-25
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
37-25
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Lakers personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-23
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-23
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
35-23
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
32-23
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
32-20
Lakers turnover
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
30-20
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
27-20
Rockets personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-19
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-20
Steven Adams offensive rebound
Steven Adams misses two point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
25-18
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Rui Hachimura offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
25-16
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
23-16
Rockets violation
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-14
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
22-14
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
22-12
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
22-10
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
20-10
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
18-10
Lakers 60 second timeout
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
18-8
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
16-8
Lakers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
14-8
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
12-8
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
12-6
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
9-6
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
9-3
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
7-3
Austin Reaves turnover (Tari Eason steals)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-3
LeBron James misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets turnover
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
5-2
Lakers turnover
Rockets turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
3-2
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Tari Eason misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
3-0
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
Start of 1st Quarter
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
(Jabari Smith Jr. gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Rockets vs. Lakers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. Lakers
- Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets -124, Lakers +108
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 54%
- Lakers: 46%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 116-115 Lakers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 54%, while the Lakers have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Crypto.com Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. Lakers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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