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Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Thunder NBA game on December 22, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Grizzlies
99
113
Dec 23, 2:30AM Paycom Center
Thunder
Dec 23, 2:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Grizzlies
28 26 19 26 99
Thunder
31 36 17 29 113
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
GrizzliesMEM
Win %
<1%
>99%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Grizzlies
28 26 19 26 99
Thunder
31 36 17 29 113
Q4 00:14 GG Jackson misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:35 Christian Koloko blocks Cason Wallace's two point putback layup
Q4 00:40 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Cedric Coward makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Chris Youngblood misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:12
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Q4 00:14
GG Jackson misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 00:32
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q4 00:35
Christian Koloko blocks Cason Wallace's two point putback layup
Q4 00:35
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q4 00:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:50
Jaren Jackson Jr. personal foul
Q4 00:50
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jahmai Mashack, Jaylen Wells, Christian Koloko, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Q4 00:57
+2
Cedric Coward makes two point jump shot
99-113
Q4 00:57
Cedric Coward offensive rebound
Q4 1:00
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:09
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Q4 1:09
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-113
Q4 1:13
Chris Youngblood misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:21
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q4 1:25
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-113
Q4 1:44
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
99-113
Q4 1:51
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 1:51
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Q4 1:51
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer)
Q4 1:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-113
Q4 2:04
Grizzlies turnover
Q4 2:08
Thunder turnover
Q4 2:23
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q4 2:25
Cam Spencer misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 2:46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-113
Q4 2:56
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 2:58
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:18
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-113
Q4 3:33
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 3:33
Instant replay (Challenge)
Q4 3:33
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 3:33
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Q4 3:41
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q4 3:44
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:03
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-109
Q4 4:19
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
99-109
Q4 4:37
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 4:37
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 4:38
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
99-109
Q4 4:55
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 4:57
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:17
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
97-104
Q4 5:39
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
99-109
Q4 5:46
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Q4 5:49
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:58
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 6:02
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:12
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q4 6:12
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:12
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Christian Koloko, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Q4 6:13
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:18
Thunder turnover
Q4 6:29
Thunder personal foul
Q4 6:29
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 3
97-107
Q4 6:29
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 3
99-109
Q4 6:29
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Christian Koloko, Cam Spencer)
Q4 6:29
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 3 of 3
99-109
Q4 6:29
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 6:42
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-104
Q4 7:02
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
91-99
Q4 7:17
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
88-99
Q4 7:30
+3
GG Jackson makes three point jump shot (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)
88-96
Q4 7:40
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Q4 7:45
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:57
+3
Cedric Coward makes three point jump shot
84-96
Q4 7:57
Isaiah Joe personal foul (Away from play) (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 7:57
Instant replay (Request)
Q4 7:57
Isaiah Joe turnover
Q4 7:57
Instant replay
Q4 7:57
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 7:57
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
85-96
Q4 7:57
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Q4 8:07
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
81-96
Q4 8:13
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 8:17
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:22
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q4 8:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:36
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:36
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-93
Q4 8:36
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-93
Q4 8:36
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson)
Q4 8:39
Thunder turnover
Q4 8:55
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Cedric Coward draws the foul)
Q4 8:55
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-93
Q4 8:55
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson)
Q4 8:55
Cedric Coward offensive rebound
Q4 8:55
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-93
Q4 8:58
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:05
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Q4 9:07
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 9:19
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
77-93
Q4 9:31
Cam Spencer offensive rebound
Q4 9:34
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:36
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Q4 9:42
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:53
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q4 9:56
Thunder personal foul
Q4 9:56
Cedric Coward misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 9:56
Cedric Coward misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 9:56
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q4 10:04
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
75-93
Q4 10:23
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
75-90
Q4 10:40
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 10:42
+2
Ajay Mitchell makes two point jump shot
73-90
Q4 10:48
Grizzlies turnover
Q4 10:48
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 11:02
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
73-88
Q4 11:13
Cam Spencer personal foul
Q4 11:16
Grizzlies turnover
Q4 11:34
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
73-86
Q4 11:42
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 11:46
Cedric Coward misses two point pullup jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Q3 00:01
Christian Koloko defensive rebound
Q3 00:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:08
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
73-86
Q3 00:32
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving dunk
71-84
Q3 00:47
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q3 00:50
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:07
Ajay Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q3 1:21
Olivier-Maxence Prosper turnover
Q3 1:21
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Christian Koloko, Cam Spencer)
Q3 1:39
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-84
Q3 1:56
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q3 1:59
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-84
Q3 2:25
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
71-84
Q3 2:33
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Q3 2:33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-84
Q3 2:39
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:58
+3
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes three point jump shot
71-84
Q3 3:03
Thunder turnover
Q3 3:04
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q3 3:10
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-82
Q3 3:26
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Q3 3:28
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:45
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
65-74
Q3 3:45
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 3:45
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer)
Q3 3:50
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q3 3:52
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:18
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
63-74
Q3 4:25
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q3 4:26
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:34
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 4:37
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:42
+2
Luguentz Dort makes two point putback layup
60-74
Q3 4:43
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q3 4:45
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point running layup
Q3 4:51
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 4:59
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q3 5:02
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:16
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:17
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 5:17
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q3 5:29
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Q3 5:33
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:44
Jaylen Wells personal foul
Q3 5:44
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-71
Q3 5:44
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Christian Koloko, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Q3 5:44
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 5:44
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-72
Q3 5:51
Jock Landale turnover (bad pass) (Luguentz Dort steals)
Q3 5:54
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Q3 5:57
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:11
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Q3 6:14
Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 6:24
Santi Aldama turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q3 6:29
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Q3 6:32
Luguentz Dort blocks Cam Spencer's two point jump shot
Q3 6:39
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q3 6:42
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Q3 7:00
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
60-70
Q3 7:00
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 7:14
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q3 7:14
Thunder personal foul
Q3 7:18
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:25
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Jock Landale draws the foul)
Q3 7:25
Jock Landale misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 7:25
+1
Jock Landale makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-70
Q3 7:25
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q3 7:37
Thunder turnover
Q3 7:37
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Q3 7:40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 7:42
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:00
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
56-70
Q3 8:15
Grizzlies turnover (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
Q3 8:22
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q3 8:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:33
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 8:36
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:54
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Q3 8:57
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:03
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 9:06
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:19
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Q3 9:21
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:30
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 9:36
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 9:38
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:49
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:49
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q3 9:49
Thunder personal foul
Q3 9:56
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Q3 10:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:10
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 10:31
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Q3 10:33
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:53
Thunder personal foul
Q3 10:53
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-67
Q3 10:53
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-67
Q3 10:57
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 11:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-84
Q3 11:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:09
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 11:19
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 11:19
Thunder turnover
Q3 11:24
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:38
Thunder turnover
Q2 00:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Q2 00:04
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
54-67
Q2 00:20
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Q2 00:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:29
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Q2 00:33
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:41
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 00:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
51-67
Q2 1:02
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
51-65
Q2 1:22
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q2 1:24
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 1:24
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-65
Q2 1:24
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer)
Q2 1:24
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 1:24
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 1:34
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
49-64
Q2 1:42
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-64
Q2 1:49
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 2:09
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Q2 2:09
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:11
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:20
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q2 2:22
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:33
Thunder personal foul
Q2 2:45
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
47-62
Q2 2:54
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 3:12
+2
Luguentz Dort makes two point jump shot
47-59
Q2 3:12
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q2 3:12
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer)
Q2 3:15
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)
Q2 3:17
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 3:29
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot
47-57
Q2 3:41
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q2 3:45
Santi Aldama misses two point floating jump shot
Q2 4:07
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Q2 4:09
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:29
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 4:37
Jaylen Wells personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Q2 4:37
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-53
Q2 4:37
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-54
Q2 4:37
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 4:50
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
47-54
Q2 5:09
+3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point pullup jump shot
45-52
Q2 5:15
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 5:15
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 5:15
Grizzlies lineup change (Jahmai Mashack, Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Q2 5:31
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
45-49
Q2 5:31
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound
Q2 5:37
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:51
Isaiah Joe turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q2 5:51
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Q2 5:55
Santi Aldama turnover (Kenrich Williams steals)
Q2 6:07
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point driving layup
42-49
Q2 6:23
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
42-47
Q2 6:35
Thunder personal foul
Q2 6:38
Thunder personal foul
Q2 6:38
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Q2 6:38
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 6:43
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q2 6:43
Thunder turnover
Q2 6:47
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:53
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 6:56
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
39-47
Q2 7:14
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
Q2 7:17
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:22
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 7:24
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:24
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Q2 7:27
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:47
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
39-45
Q2 8:05
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 8:14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
39-42
Q2 8:14
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q2 8:20
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 8:25
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:37
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Q2 8:37
Thunder personal foul
Q2 8:39
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:41
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q2 8:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:52
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:52
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 8:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 8:52
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson)
Q2 9:01
Cedric Coward offensive rebound
Q2 9:01
+2
Cedric Coward makes two point jump shot
39-40
Q2 9:04
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:24
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
37-40
Q2 9:26
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Q2 9:27
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:50
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
37-37
Q2 10:02
Thunder turnover
Q2 10:13
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 10:15
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:30
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 10:30
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-36
Q2 10:30
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-37
Q2 10:40
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
34-35
Q2 10:58
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
31-35
Q2 11:06
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 11:20
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 11:22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:35
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
31-33
Q2 11:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-33
Q1 00:00
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson)
Q2 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Q1 00:02
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Q1 00:20
Santi Aldama offensive rebound
Q1 00:20
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
28-29
Q1 00:22
Thunder personal foul
Q1 00:22
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
25-29
Q1 00:22
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
26-29
Q1 00:22
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Q1 00:22
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chris Youngblood, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson)
Q1 00:22
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Q1 00:35
Olivier-Maxence Prosper personal foul
Q1 00:35
Ajay Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 00:35
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 00:35
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-29
Q1 00:35
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer)
Q1 00:35
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer)
Q1 00:36
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 00:44
Thunder defensive rebound
Q1 00:44
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 00:44
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-27
Q1 00:44
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-28
Q1 00:47
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:52
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q1 00:54
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:06
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 1:07
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:23
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 1:23
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-25
Q1 1:23
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-26
Q1 1:33
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
24-24
Q1 1:35
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Q1 1:38
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:45
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q1 1:49
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:53
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Q1 1:56
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:13
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
21-24
Q1 2:25
Kenrich Williams personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Q1 2:37
+3
Kenrich Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
19-24
Q1 2:50
Jaylen Wells offensive foul (Charge) (Kenrich Williams draws the foul)
Q1 2:50
Jaylen Wells turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 2:50
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Q1 2:51
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q1 2:54
Ajay Mitchell misses two point driving layup
Q1 2:54
Ajay Mitchell turnover (lost ball)
Q1 3:05
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Q1 3:07
Santi Aldama misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q1 3:27
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Kenrich Williams assists)
19-21
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
Thunder
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast

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Grizzlies vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Grizzlies vs. Thunder
  • Date: Monday, December 22, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -15
  • Total (Over/Under): 234
  • Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +800, Thunder -1115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Grizzlies: 13%
  • Thunder: 87%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 110-123 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 13%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 87%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Grizzlies vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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