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Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Pelicans NBA game on December 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Timberwolves
81
:
83
Dec 5, 1AM Smoothie King Center
Pelicans
Dec 5, 1AM Smoothie King Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Timberwolves
 35 23 23 0 81
Pelicans
 30 26 27 0 83
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
TimberwolvesMIN
Win %
76%
24%
PelicansNOP
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Timberwolves
 35 23 23 0 81
Pelicans
 30 26 27 0 83
Q3 3:56 Karlo Matkovic blocks Jaylen Clark's two point jump shot
Q3 5:31 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q3 5:37 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:57 Trey Murphy III misses two point running finger roll layup
Q3 6:42 Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
Q3 6:58 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:00 Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:09 Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:17 Bryce McGowens makes two point jump shot
Q3 7:51 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q3 3:54
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Q3 3:56
Karlo Matkovic blocks Jaylen Clark's two point jump shot
Q3 4:49
Mike Conley personal foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)
Q3 5:31
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
78-81
Q3 5:34
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Q3 5:37
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:51
Timberwolves personal foul
Q3 5:55
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Q3 5:57
Trey Murphy III misses two point running finger roll layup
Q3 6:01
Mike Conley turnover (bad pass) (Trey Murphy III steals)
Q3 6:11
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-79
Q3 6:11
Mike Conley personal foul (Derik Queen draws the foul)
Q3 6:26
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-79
Q3 6:26
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels)
Q3 6:26
Derik Queen personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
Q3 6:26
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-83
Q3 6:42
+2
Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
74-79
Q3 6:54
Timberwolves turnover
Q3 6:58
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Q3 6:58
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Q3 6:58
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:58
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 6:58
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Q3 6:58
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
Q3 7:00
Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:06
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Q3 7:09
Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:17
+2
Bryce McGowens makes two point jump shot
74-77
Q3 7:41
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul
Q3 7:41
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-77
Q3 7:41
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-77
Q3 7:41
Pelicans offensive rebound
Q3 7:51
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
74-77
Q3 7:58
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
74-77
Q3 8:17
Timberwolves turnover
Q3 8:34
Rob Dillingham shooting foul (Bryce McGowens draws the foul)
Q3 8:34
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-77
Q3 8:34
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-77
Q3 8:38
Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
Q3 8:40
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:59
Pelicans personal foul
Q3 8:59
Jeremiah Fears turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 9:03
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Q3 9:09
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:19
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-56
Q3 9:19
Timberwolves personal foul
Q3 9:19
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-77
Q3 9:26
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
58-56
Q3 9:36
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
74-77
Q3 9:36
Timberwolves violation
Q3 9:56
Saddiq Bey personal foul
Q3 9:56
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-77
Q3 9:56
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-77
Q3 9:59
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Q3 10:03
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:11
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Q3 10:13
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:23
Pelicans turnover
Q3 10:32
Anthony Edwards turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 10:32
Timberwolves personal foul
Q3 10:32
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Rob Dillingham, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
Q3 10:37
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Q3 10:38
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:59
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point pullup jump shot
58-56
Q3 11:06
Timberwolves personal foul
Q3 11:06
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Q3 11:06
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-77
Q3 11:06
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-77
Q3 11:08
Jeremiah Fears misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:20
Anthony Edwards personal foul (Bryce McGowens draws the foul)
Q3 11:31
+2
Julius Randle makes two point jump shot
58-56
Q3 11:43
+2
Trey Murphy III makes two point jump shot (Derik Queen assists)
58-56
Q3 11:49
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 00:00
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
Julius Randle misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
Q3 12:00
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen)
Q2 00:21
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards)
Q2 00:21
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Q2 00:21
Timberwolves personal foul
Q2 00:21
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-56
Q2 00:21
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Micah Peavy, Trey Alexander, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
Q2 00:21
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-56
Q2 00:25
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:28
Pelicans turnover
Q2 00:30
Timberwolves turnover
Q2 00:48
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
58-56
Q2 00:53
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Q2 00:55
Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:56
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Q2 00:58
Anthony Edwards misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:00
Jaylen Clark offensive rebound
Q2 1:05
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:22
Naz Reid blocks Derik Queen's two point cutting layup
Q2 1:22
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Q2 1:22
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:33
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
58-56
Q2 1:48
+2
Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot (Jeremiah Fears assists)
58-56
Q2 1:50
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:50
Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
Q2 1:50
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:50
Jeremiah Fears technical foul
Q2 1:50
+1
Anthony Edwards makes technical free throw 1 of 1
58-56
Q2 1:50
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Jaylen Clark, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards)
Q2 1:59
Jeremiah Fears personal foul
Q2 1:59
+2
Jaylen Clark makes two point cutting layup (Naz Reid assists)
58-56
Q2 1:59
+1
Jaylen Clark makes regular free throw 1 of 1
58-56
Q2 2:15
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
55-56
Q2 2:20
Anthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Bryce McGowens steals)
Q2 2:26
Anthony Edwards personal foul
Q2 2:26
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Q2 2:26
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
Q2 2:26
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels)
Q2 2:26
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels)
Q2 2:28
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Q2 2:31
Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:31
Anthony Edwards blocks Jeremiah Fears's two point layup
Q2 2:31
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Q2 2:54
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
55-54
Q2 2:54
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Q2 3:07
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Q2 3:10
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:23
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Q2 3:26
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:32
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Q2 3:34
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:58
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
55-52
Q2 4:06
Timberwolves personal foul
Q2 4:17
Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
Q2 4:20
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:37
Timberwolves personal foul
Q2 4:37
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-49
Q2 4:37
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jose Alvarado, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
Q2 4:37
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Jaylen Clark, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels)
Q2 4:37
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-50
Q2 4:37
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen)
Q2 4:38
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Q2 4:41
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:45
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Q2 4:50
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:52
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Q2 4:54
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:05
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Q2 5:08
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:18
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
55-48
Q2 5:34
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
55-46
Q2 5:54
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:54
Pelicans offensive rebound
Q2 5:54
Pelicans turnover
Q2 5:54
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Rob Dillingham, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels)
Q2 6:07
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
52-46
Q2 6:21
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
50-46
Q2 6:29
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Q2 6:32
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:46
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
50-44
Q2 6:53
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Q2 6:55
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:11
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
50-42
Q2 7:29
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Q2 7:31
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
50-40
Q2 7:36
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Q2 7:38
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:49
Pelicans personal foul
Q2 7:49
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 7:49
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Q2 7:49
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
Q2 7:49
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-40
Q2 7:53
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Q2 7:56
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:16
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
46-40
Q2 8:33
Pelicans personal foul
Q2 8:33
Jose Alvarado turnover
Q2 8:35
Timberwolves personal foul
Q2 8:42
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Q2 8:42
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
43-40
Q2 8:47
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:01
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Q2 9:04
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:14
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Q2 9:14
Pelicans personal foul
Q2 9:14
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-40
Q2 9:14
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Rob Dillingham, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
Q2 9:14
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Micah Peavy, Trey Alexander, Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen)
Q2 9:14
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-40
Q2 9:16
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:22
Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
Q2 9:23
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Q2 9:23
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:26
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:48
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
39-40
Q2 9:51
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Q2 9:51
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:51
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Q2 9:56
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:15
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
39-37
Q2 10:22
Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
Q2 10:24
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:37
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
39-35
Q2 10:46
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 10:46
Timberwolves turnover
Q2 10:49
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:12
Pelicans personal foul
Q2 11:12
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-32
Q2 11:12
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-32
Q2 11:16
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Q2 11:19
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:29
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
37-32
Q2 11:47
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
35-32
Q1 00:00
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert)
Q2 12:00
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jose Alvarado, Micah Peavy, Trey Alexander, Derik Queen)
Q1 00:02
Timberwolves personal foul
Q1 00:02
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-29
Q1 00:02
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-30
Q1 00:02
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado, Micah Peavy, Trey Murphy III)
Q1 00:06
Timberwolves personal foul
Q1 00:23
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Q1 00:26
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:42
Pelicans turnover
Q1 1:02
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
35-28
Q1 1:06
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Q1 1:08
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:22
Timberwolves turnover
Q1 1:36
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
32-28
Q1 1:53
Micah Peavy defensive rebound
Q1 1:56
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:03
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Q1 2:05
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:27
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
32-26
Q1 2:44
Pelicans personal foul
Q1 2:44
Karlo Matkovic turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 2:53
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
28-26
Q1 2:53
Pelicans personal foul
Q1 2:53
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Q1 2:53
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaylen Clark, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards)
Q1 2:53
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado, Micah Peavy)
Q1 2:53
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 1
29-26
Q1 2:55
Mike Conley defensive rebound
Q1 2:58
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:11
Micah Peavy defensive rebound
Q1 3:15
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:21
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Q1 3:24
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:28
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Q1 3:30
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:37
Pelicans turnover
Q1 3:41
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Q1 3:43
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:58
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
26-26
Q1 4:07
Pelicans personal foul
Q1 4:07
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-24
Q1 4:07
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-24
Q1 4:07
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears)
Q1 4:20
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Q1 4:22
Timberwolves personal foul
Q1 4:22
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-24
Q1 4:22
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Jaylen Clark, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards)
Q1 4:22
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III)
Q1 4:22
Trey Murphy III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 4:35
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
24-23
Q1 4:50
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
21-23
Q1 5:05
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Q1 5:08
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:14
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
21-21
Q1 5:19
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
20-19
Q1 5:19
Pelicans personal foul
Q1 5:19
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
21-19
Q1 5:34
Timberwolves personal foul
Q1 5:34
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-18
Q1 5:34
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels)
Q1 5:34
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
Q1 5:34
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-19
Q1 5:45
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point layup
18-17
Q1 5:47
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Q1 5:48
Julius Randle misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q1 5:56
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Q1 5:58
Trey Murphy III misses two point driving hook shot
Q1 6:05
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Q1 6:08
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:22
+2
Derik Queen makes two point driving dunk
16-17
Q1 6:34
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point driving layup
16-15
Q1 6:50
+3
Jeremiah Fears makes three point pullup jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
14-15
Q1 6:56
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Q1 6:59
Anthony Edwards misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q1 7:20
+3
Jordan Hawkins makes three point jump shot (Jeremiah Fears assists)
14-12
Q1 7:27
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen)
Q1 7:27
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Q1 11:58
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Timberwolves
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
Pelicans
PosPlayerPtsRebAst

Game Prediction Article

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Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Timberwolves vs. Pelicans
  • Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Timberwolves favored at -11.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves -575, Pelicans +475

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Timberwolves: 80%
  • Pelicans: 20%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 121-111 Pelicans.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 80%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 20%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Timberwolves vs. Pelicans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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