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Mavericks vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Heat NBA game on November 24, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
102
106
Nov 25, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Nov 25, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 19 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 102 |
Heat | 20 | 32 | 28 | 26 | 106 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
20%
80%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 19 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 102 |
Heat | 20 | 32 | 28 | 26 | 106 |
Q4 00:05 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:27 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Tyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
Q4 00:51 Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:26 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:45 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:08 Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Klay Thompson misses heave shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Caleb Martin personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-106
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-106
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Klay Thompson personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Heat 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson)
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
102-104
P.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Ryan Nembhard)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-106
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-106
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Heat turnover
Mavericks turnover
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
102-106
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-106
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
98-100
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot
102-106
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-106
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point dunk
102-106
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks personal foul
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-106
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
94-95
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-106
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
102-104
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
102-106
Heat misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg personal foul (Loose ball) (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
Cooper Flagg turnover
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point alley-oop dunk
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-106
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat violation
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Ryan Nembhard)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
102-106
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
102-106
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses three point jump shot
+2
Simone Fontecchio makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
84-90
Dwight Powell shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 1
102-106
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
84-90
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot
102-106
Klay Thompson personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes technical free throw 1 of 1
102-106
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
102-106
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-106
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
102-106
Simone Fontecchio personal foul
Simone Fontecchio turnover (offensive foul)
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Ryan Nembhard assists)
102-104
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson)
Heat 60 second timeout
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot
102-106
Max Christie defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
102-106
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot
102-106
Heat personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 1
102-106
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive foul (Dru Smith draws the foul)
P.J. Washington turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
65-78
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Ryan Nembhard assists)
65-78
Heat turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
102-106
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Simone Fontecchio)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point turnaround jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
+2
Simone Fontecchio makes two point driving finger roll layup
65-78
Instant replay (Challenge)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat personal foul
Naji Marshall misses two point running layup
Mavericks offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Simone Fontecchio)
Naji Marshall turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Heat 60 second timeout
Kel'el Ware turnover
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point cutting layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
65-78
Heat violation
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford misses two point putback layup
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Naji Marshall)
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Simone Fontecchio)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-95
Cooper Flagg turnover
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-95
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Ryan Nembhard, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, Naji Marshall)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-95
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-95
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
94-95
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot
65-78
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Instant replay (Request: Stands)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams)
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Heat 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-78
Kel'el Ware personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-78
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
P.J. Washington blocks Bam Adebayo's two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
76-83
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
65-78
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
65-78
Tyler Herro shooting foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-83
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-83
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
65-78
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot
55-60
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
52-60
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point tip dunk
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
52-58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
65-78
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot
65-78
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
65-78
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
65-78
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point dunk
65-78
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot
Heat personal foul
Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams)
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-52
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Simone Fontecchio)
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Heat violation
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
43-52
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-50
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
43-48
Brandon Williams offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-48
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-46
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
40-44
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
38-44
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
38-42
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
38-40
Max Christie defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
36-40
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
34-40
Heat personal foul
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
32-40
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, D'Angelo Russell, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
32-37
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 1
32-38
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Mavericks turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
32-35
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware misses two point tip layup
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
D'Angelo Russell defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Keshad Johnson, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, D'Angelo Russell, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, D'Angelo Russell, Caleb Martin, Jaden Hardy)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
32-32
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
29-32
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Jaden Hardy, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
29-30
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 3
29-26
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 3
29-27
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Jaden Hardy, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams)
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 3 of 3
29-28
Mavericks technical foul (Defensive three second)
Moussa Cisse turnover (3-second violation)
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-25
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
28-24
Heat personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 1
29-24
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-23
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-24
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Moussa Cisse, Jaden Hardy, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
26-22
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
24-22
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
32-32
Mavericks personal foul
Daniel Gafford turnover
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
24-20
Heat turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
21-20
Heat personal foul
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 1
22-20
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
19-20
End of 1st Quarter.
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Naji Marshall turnover (offensive foul)
Heat turnover
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Jump ball. (Jaime Jaquez Jr. gains possession)
Mavericks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-20
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
16-18
Heat turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat personal foul
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
13-18
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-18
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Simone Fontecchio)
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
12-18
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, D'Angelo Russell, Klay Thompson, Naji Marshall)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-18
Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-16
Keshad Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Mavericks personal foul
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Simone Fontecchio)
Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
10-14
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, D'Angelo Russell, Moussa Cisse, Klay Thompson, Naji Marshall)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Keshad Johnson, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-11
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
10-9
Heat personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, D'Angelo Russell, Moussa Cisse, Klay Thompson, Naji Marshall)
Max Christie defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-9
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Simone Fontecchio)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-7
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Moussa Cisse, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-5
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
7-3
Heat personal foul
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball)
Heat personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-3
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-3
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
3-5
Heat violation
Kel'el Ware turnover (offensive goaltending)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
3-3
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
3-2
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-1
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
0-2
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kel'el Ware turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Start of 1st Quarter
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams)
Kel'el Ware (Davion Mitchell gains possession)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Mavericks vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Heat
- Date: Monday, November 24, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 240.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +230, Heat -260
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 29%
- Heat: 71%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 117-123 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 29%, while the Heat have a win probability of 71%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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