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Kings vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Kings vs. Spurs NBA game on November 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
110
123
Nov 16, 9PM Frost Bank Center
Nov 16, 9PM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kings | 24 | 35 | 26 | 25 | 110 |
Spurs | 36 | 31 | 28 | 28 | 123 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kings | 24 | 35 | 26 | 25 | 110 |
Spurs | 36 | 31 | 28 | 28 | 123 |
Q4 00:36 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:44 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Kings makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:02 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:14 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:22 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:50 Kings makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Spurs turnover
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Kings offensive rebound
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
110-123
Kings misses three point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Kings challenge timeout
Kings 60 second timeout
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
110-120
Spurs personal foul
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
107-120
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-117
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-118
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
107-116
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
104-116
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
104-114
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
102-114
Kings misses two point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Domantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Kings offensive rebound
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-112
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
101-112
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
101-110
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
101-107
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
98-107
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
98-105
Spurs turnover
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
96-105
Spurs 60 second timeout
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
94-105
Kings personal foul
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-104
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-105
Kings turnover
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Kelly Olynyk, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan)
Kings turnover
Spurs turnover
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
92-103
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Kings personal foul
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-103
Luke Kornet misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Domantas Sabonis, Malik Monk, Russell Westbrook, DeMar DeRozan)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
90-102
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
87-102
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
87-100
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Kings turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
85-100
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
85-98
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
85-95
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Kings personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Spurs personal foul
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes technical free throw 1 of 1
83-93
+1
Malik Monk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-93
+1
Malik Monk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-93
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
82-93
Spurs turnover
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Drew Eubanks, Russell Westbrook, DeMar DeRozan)
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Jeremy Sochan)
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
79-93
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
76-93
Kings 60 second timeout
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Drew Eubanks, Precious Achiuwa, Zach LaVine)
Kings turnover
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kings misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs turnover
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
75-91
Spurs personal foul
+1
Zach LaVine makes regular free throw 1 of 1
76-91
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan)
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Domantas Sabonis, Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, Zach LaVine)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Kings defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
72-91
Kings offensive rebound
+1
Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-89
Spurs personal foul
+1
Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-89
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
71-89
Spurs personal foul
+1
Malik Monk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-87
+1
Malik Monk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-87
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan)
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Domantas Sabonis, Nique Clifford, Malik Monk, DeMar DeRozan)
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan)
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
69-87
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
69-84
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
67-84
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Kings personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan)
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Domantas Sabonis, Malik Monk, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan)
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
67-82
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
67-80
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-80
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
65-78
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-78
Kings personal foul
Domantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
63-76
Kings 60 second timeout
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-73
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
63-71
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
61-71
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
61-69
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
61-67
Zach LaVine defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Kings lineup change (Domantas Sabonis, Keon Ellis, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
59-67
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
57-67
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
57-65
Spurs turnover
Kings personal foul
Domantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-65
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-65
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-65
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Kings personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-65
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
52-64
Spurs turnover
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
50-64
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
48-64
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
48-61
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
45-61
Kings turnover
Kings personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-58
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-59
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
45-57
Kings personal foul
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-56
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Domantas Sabonis, Malik Monk, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Kelly Olynyk, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan)
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-57
Kings turnover
Kings personal foul
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-54
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan)
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-55
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
43-53
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
43-51
Spurs turnover
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
40-51
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
38-51
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
35-51
DeMar DeRozan offensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
35-49
Spurs 60 second timeout
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Domantas Sabonis, Nique Clifford, Russell Westbrook, DeMar DeRozan)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell)
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
33-49
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
33-47
Kings turnover
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-45
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Domantas Sabonis, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan)
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-45
Keon Ellis defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
31-45
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
29-45
Kings 60 second timeout
Kings lineup change (Domantas Sabonis, Keon Ellis, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan)
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
29-43
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
29-41
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
26-40
Kings personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Jeremy Sochan)
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Domantas Sabonis, Keon Ellis, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan)
+1
Jeremy Sochan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
26-41
Kings turnover
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
26-38
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
24-38
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
24-36
Spurs turnover
End of 1st Quarter.
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Drew Eubanks, Keon Ellis, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
21-36
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
21-33
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
21-31
Spurs personal foul
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
20-29
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 1
21-29
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Nique Clifford, Malik Monk, Drew Eubanks, DeMar DeRozan)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
18-29
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
18-26
Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Precious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Jeremy Sochan)
Kings offensive rebound
+1
Precious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-23
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Jeremy Sochan)
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Bismack Biyombo)
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Nique Clifford, Malik Monk, Drew Eubanks, Zach LaVine)
Kings personal foul
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
17-23
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Nique Clifford, Malik Monk, Drew Eubanks, Precious Achiuwa)
Kings misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
17-22
Spurs turnover
Kings turnover
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Domantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)
Kings lineup change (Domantas Sabonis, Nique Clifford, Malik Monk, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Bismack Biyombo, Devin Vassell)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
15-22
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings misses two point jump shot
Zach LaVine defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
15-20
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
13-20
Kings personal foul
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
13-18
Kings 60 second timeout
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
11-18
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
10-15
Spurs personal foul
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
11-15
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
8-15
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Kings personal foul
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-12
Harrison Barnes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
8-11
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
6-11
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
6-8
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
4-8
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
4-5
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
4-2
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
2-0
Spurs turnover
Kings turnover
Start of 1st Quarter
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell)
Kings lineup change (Domantas Sabonis, Keon Ellis, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan)
(Russell Westbrook gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | M. Monk | 16 | 2 | 1 |
| C | 11 | D. Sabonis | 17 | 13 | 5 |
| G | 17 | D. Schroder | 22 | 6 | 5 |
| F | 10 | D. DeRozan | 27 | 2 | 4 |
| G | 18 | R. Westbrook | 14 | 9 | 7 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-G | 3 | K. Johnson | 14 | 12 | 1 |
| F | 24 | D. Vassell | 16 | 3 | 7 |
| G | 4 | D. Fox | 28 | 2 | 11 |
| C | 7 | L. Kornet | 13 | 11 | 1 |
| F | 40 | H. Barnes | 20 | 2 | 3 |
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Kings vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Kings vs. Spurs
- Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -7
- Total (Over/Under): 242.5
- Moneyline Odds: Kings +210, Spurs -238
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Kings: 30%
- Spurs: 70%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Kings 118-123 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 30%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Kings vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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