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Lakers vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Thunder NBA game on November 12, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
92
121
Nov 13, 2:30AM Paycom Center
Nov 13, 2:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 18 | 62 | 12 | 0 | 92 |
Thunder | 30 | 82 | 9 | 0 | 121 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 18 | 62 | 12 | 0 | 92 |
Thunder | 30 | 82 | 9 | 0 | 121 |
Q4 1:00 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Jake LaRavia makes three point jump shot (Dalton Knecht assists)
Q4 1:34 Bronny James misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Maxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Bronny James assists)
Q4 2:22 Brooks Barnhizer makes two point jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
Q4 2:51 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:12 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:31 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:57 Dalton Knecht makes three point running jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-121
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-121
Jarred Vanderbilt shooting foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-120
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-121
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
90-119
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-119
+3
Jake LaRavia makes three point jump shot (Dalton Knecht assists)
88-117
Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
Bronny James misses two point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 3
92-121
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 3
92-121
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 3 of 3
92-121
+3
Maxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Bronny James assists)
85-114
+2
Brooks Barnhizer makes two point jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
92-121
Lakers turnover
Jarred Vanderbilt personal foul
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
92-121
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Chris Youngblood personal foul (Loose ball) (Bronny James draws the foul)
Chris Youngblood turnover
Ousmane Dieng turnover (bad pass)
+3
Dalton Knecht makes three point running jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)
92-121
Ousmane Dieng turnover (Bronny James steals)
+1
Jarred Vanderbilt makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-112
Branden Carlson shooting foul (Jake LaRavia draws the foul)
Jarred Vanderbilt misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
76-112
+3
Dalton Knecht makes three point running jump shot (Jarred Vanderbilt assists)
90-121
Maxi Kleber defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Maxi Kleber defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Bronny James defensive rebound
Branden Carlson misses three point jump shot
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Maxi Kleber misses two point jump shot
Maxi Kleber offensive rebound
Jake LaRavia misses three point jump shot
Maxi Kleber offensive rebound
Jake LaRavia misses three point jump shot
Bronny James defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt turnover (Brooks Barnhizer steals)
+2
Ousmane Dieng makes two point pullup jump shot (Branden Carlson assists)
92-121
Chris Youngblood offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt misses three point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Dalton Knecht misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
Dalton Knecht misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses two point pullup jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Bronny James, Jarred Vanderbilt, Dalton Knecht, Maxi Kleber, Jake LaRavia)
Thunder lineup change (Brooks Barnhizer, Branden Carlson, Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Joe, Chris Youngblood)
Lakers 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
92-121
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses three point jump shot
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
73-105
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Dalton Knecht misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams turnover (traveling)
Jump ball. (Jaylin Williams gains possession)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
92-121
Thunder 60 second timeout
Ajay Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Rui Hachimura steals)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
92-121
Dalton Knecht defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
92-121
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
92-121
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
92-121
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Deandre Ayton, Dalton Knecht, Marcus Smart)
Lakers offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
92-121
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
64-97
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Branden Carlson misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
92-121
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
92-121
+3
Jarred Vanderbilt makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
92-121
Dalton Knecht personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-121
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-121
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
92-121
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Dalton Knecht makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
57-91
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
80-112
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
92-121
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Jarred Vanderbilt, Dalton Knecht, Jake LaRavia)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving reverse layup (Jaylin Williams assists)
80-112
Thunder personal foul
Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-112
Lakers offensive rebound
Austin Reaves personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-121
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-121
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Luka Doncic technical foul
Thunder offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jaxson Hayes shooting foul (Cason Wallace draws the foul)
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-78
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-121
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Dalton Knecht)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
Jaxson Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
Lakers personal foul
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point cutting dunk (Jaylin Williams assists)
80-112
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Lakers personal foul
Deandre Ayton turnover (offensive foul)
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart)
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
92-121
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-121
Isaiah Joe personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-121
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover (Ajay Mitchell steals)
Isaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Loose ball) (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lakers defensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
80-112
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-112
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-121
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Chet Holmgren personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Austin Reaves turnover (lost ball) (Chet Holmgren steals)
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
45-76
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Austin Reaves personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-121
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-121
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses three point jump shot
+2
Ajay Mitchell makes two point jump shot
92-121
Lakers turnover
Thunder turnover
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
42-72
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point running pullup jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (Luka Doncic steals)
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Rui Hachimura misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
92-121
Chet Holmgren personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-121
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-121
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Deandre Ayton blocks Isaiah Hartenstein's two point alley-oop dunk
Ajay Mitchell turnover (bad pass)
End of 1st Half.
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart)
Marcus Smart shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-76
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-121
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point layup
45-76
Rui Hachimura offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
80-112
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot
92-121
Austin Reaves personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-56
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-56
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point driving layup
29-56
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot
29-56
Lakers turnover
+2
Alex Caruso makes two point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
29-56
+2
Rui Hachimura makes two point layup
29-56
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
45-76
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cason Wallace personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-112
Deandre Ayton personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart)
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-121
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Rui Hachimura's two point driving layup
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
29-56
+3
Marcus Smart makes three point pullup jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
29-53
Cason Wallace blocks Luka Doncic's two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers offensive rebound
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point cutting dunk (Jaylin Williams assists)
26-53
Marcus Smart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point finger roll layup
26-51
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Deandre Ayton misses two point alley-oop dunk
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point stepback jump shot
Deandre Ayton personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart)
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Jake LaRavia misses three point pullup jump shot
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Isaiah Joe makes two point driving reverse layup (Ajay Mitchell assists)
26-49
Austin Reaves turnover (bad pass) (Ajay Mitchell steals)
+2
Ajay Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
26-47
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-45
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-45
Isaiah Joe shooting foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Jake LaRavia)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point turnaround jump shot
24-45
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses two point pullup jump shot
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Ajay Mitchell misses two point stepback jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-43
Ajay Mitchell shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Luka Doncic offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Alex Caruso makes three point jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
23-43
Austin Reaves turnover (lost ball) (Alex Caruso steals)
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Ajay Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses two point pullup jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Ajay Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart)
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-40
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-40
Ajay Mitchell shooting foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point dunk
21-40
Jump ball. Alex Caruso vs. Jake LaRavia (Ajay Mitchell gains possession)
Jake LaRavia turnover (lost ball) (Alex Caruso steals)
Isaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Deandre Ayton draws the foul)
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Deandre Ayton, Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart)
+2
Ousmane Dieng makes two point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
21-38
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point cutting dunk (Alex Caruso assists)
21-36
Rui Hachimura misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Rui Hachimura makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-34
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)
Lakers offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Deandre Ayton, Dalton Knecht, Marcus Smart)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Jarred Vanderbilt, Deandre Ayton, Dalton Knecht, Marcus Smart)
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-34
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-34
Marcus Smart shooting foul (Ajay Mitchell draws the foul)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
18-34
+3
Ajay Mitchell makes three point running jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)
18-33
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Austin Reaves's two point running layup
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses three point stepback jump shot
Ajay Mitchell misses three point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Alex Caruso misses two point driving layup
Luka Doncic misses heave shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 12 | J. LaRavia | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| F | 4 | D. Knecht | 16 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 14 | M. Kleber | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| G | 9 | B. James | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| F | 2 | J. Vanderbilt | 6 | 9 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 11 | I. Joe | 21 | 2 | 5 |
| G | 23 | B. Barnhizer | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 3 | C. Youngblood | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 13 | O. Dieng | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| C | 15 | B. Carlson | 0 | 5 | 1 |
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Lakers vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lakers vs. Thunder
- Date: Wednesday, November 12, 2025
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -8
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lakers +270, Thunder -315
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lakers: 26%
- Thunder: 74%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 111-118 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 26%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lakers vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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