Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Thunder NBA game on November 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Warriors
94
116
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Thunder
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TEAM1234T
Warriors
25 19 16 34 94
Thunder
34 29 22 31 116
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Warriors
    3%
  • Thunder
    97%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
25 19 16 34 94
Thunder
34 29 22 31 116
Q4 00:00 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:21 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Brooks Barnhizer makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q4
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:00
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  3. Q4 00:00
    Warriors offensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:18
    Gui Santos shooting foul (Ousmane Dieng draws the foul)
  5. Q4 00:18
    +1
    Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-116
  6. Q4 00:18
    +1
    Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-116
  7. Q4 00:29
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:32
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 00:38
    Trayce Jackson-Davis personal foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
  10. Q4 00:38
    Thunder defensive rebound
  11. Q4 00:38
    Thunder offensive rebound
  12. Q4 00:38
    Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  13. Q4 00:38
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-116
  14. Q4 00:40
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  15. Q4 00:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  16. Q4 00:56
    Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
  17. Q4 00:59
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  18. Q4 1:19
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    94-116
  19. Q4 1:33
    Trayce Jackson-Davis shooting foul (Brooks Barnhizer draws the foul)
  20. Q4 1:33
    Brooks Barnhizer misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  21. Q4 1:33
    Thunder offensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:33
    +1
    Brooks Barnhizer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-116
  23. Q4 1:34
    Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
  24. Q4 1:38
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  25. Q4 1:50
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  26. Q4 1:53
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  27. Q4 2:04
    Pat Spencer personal foul (Brooks Barnhizer draws the foul)
  28. Q4 2:04
    Thunder offensive rebound
  29. Q4 2:04
    Brooks Barnhizer misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  30. Q4 2:04
    +1
    Brooks Barnhizer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-116
  31. Q4 2:11
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  32. Q4 2:13
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  33. Q4 2:17
    Pat Spencer offensive rebound
  34. Q4 2:21
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  35. Q4 2:29
    +2
    Brooks Barnhizer makes two point jump shot
    94-116
  36. Q4 2:29
    Brooks Barnhizer offensive rebound
  37. Q4 2:35
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  38. Q4 2:52
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    94-116
  39. Q4 2:55
    Ousmane Dieng turnover
  40. Q4 3:02
    Pat Spencer personal foul (Brooks Barnhizer draws the foul)
  41. Q4 3:10
    +2
    Gary Payton II makes two point reverse layup (Trayce Jackson-Davis assists)
    94-116
  42. Q4 3:29
    +3
    Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Chris Youngblood assists)
    94-116
  43. Q4 3:37
    Chris Youngblood personal foul (Pat Spencer draws the foul)
  44. Q4 3:37
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    94-116
  45. Q4 3:37
    +1
    Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-116
  46. Q4 3:37
    +1
    Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-116
  47. Q4 3:41
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  48. Q4 3:44
    Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
  49. Q4 4:00
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  50. Q4 4:03
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  51. Q4 4:19
    Isaiah Joe turnover (Gary Payton II steals)
  52. Q4 4:27
    Jump ball. Jaylin Williams vs. Trayce Jackson-Davis (Isaiah Joe gains possession)
  53. Q4 4:31
    Warriors personal foul
  54. Q4 4:32
    Instant replay (Request)
  55. Q4 4:32
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  56. Q4 4:32
    Instant replay
  57. Q4 4:32
    Warriors challenge timeout
  58. Q4 4:42
    Warriors turnover
  59. Q4 4:47
    Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
  60. Q4 4:50
    Gary Payton II misses three point jump shot
  61. Q4 5:03
    +2
    Isaiah Joe makes two point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
    94-116
  62. Q4 5:10
    Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
  63. Q4 5:14
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  64. Q4 5:24
    Thunder personal foul
  65. Q4 5:24
    Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
  66. Q4 5:24
    +1
    Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-116
  67. Q4 5:24
    +1
    Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-116
  68. Q4 5:24
    Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Chris Youngblood, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  69. Q4 5:25
    Will Richard misses three point jump shot
  70. Q4 5:40
    Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
  71. Q4 5:43
    Trayce Jackson-Davis shooting foul (Ajay Mitchell draws the foul)
  72. Q4 5:43
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-116
  73. Q4 5:43
    Ajay Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  74. Q4 6:05
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    92-113
  75. Q4 6:16
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  76. Q4 6:18
    Ousmane Dieng misses three point jump shot
  77. Q4 6:43
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    94-116
  78. Q4 6:56
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    94-116
  79. Q4 7:12
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  80. Q4 7:14
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    92-113
  81. Q4 7:17
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  82. Q4 7:18
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  83. Q4 7:34
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  84. Q4 7:37
    Jaylin Williams personal foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
  85. Q4 7:37
    Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  86. Q4 7:37
    Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  87. Q4 7:37
    Warriors offensive rebound
  88. Q4 7:47
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  89. Q4 7:48
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  90. Q4 8:13
    +2
    Gui Santos makes two point turnaround jump shot (Gary Payton II assists)
    84-110
  91. Q4 8:13
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  92. Q4 8:13
    Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Gui Santos, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II)
  93. Q4 8:18
    Warriors offensive rebound
  94. Q4 8:18
    Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
  95. Q4 8:18
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  96. Q4 8:24
    Thunder turnover
  97. Q4 8:37
    Quinten Post turnover (Ajay Mitchell steals)
  98. Q4 8:45
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  99. Q4 8:50
    Ousmane Dieng misses two point jump shot
  100. Q4 8:54
    Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
  101. Q4 8:59
    Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
  102. Q4 9:06
    Will Richard personal foul
  103. Q4 9:14
    +3
    Will Richard makes three point jump shot (Quinten Post assists)
    82-110
  104. Q4 9:31
    Thunder personal foul
  105. Q4 9:31
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  106. Q4 9:31
    Warriors defensive rebound
  107. Q4 9:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    79-110
  108. Q4 10:01
    Thunder turnover
  109. Q4 10:18
    +3
    Quinten Post makes three point jump shot
    82-110
  110. Q4 10:29
    Ousmane Dieng misses two point floating jump shot
  111. Q4 10:30
    Thunder turnover
  112. Q4 10:30
    Thunder offensive rebound
  113. Q4 10:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  114. Q4 10:54
    Thunder defensive rebound
  115. Q4 10:56
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  116. Q4 11:13
    +3
    Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
    82-110
  117. Q4 11:27
    +1
    Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-85
  118. Q4 11:27
    Isaiah Joe shooting foul (Pat Spencer draws the foul)
  119. Q4 11:27
    +1
    Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    82-110
  120. Q4 11:30
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  121. Q4 11:33
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  122. Q4 11:40
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  123. Q4 11:43
    Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
  124. Q3 00:00
    Warriors miss heave shot
  125. Q3 00:00
    Warriors offensive rebound
  126. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  127. Q4 12:00
    Thunder personal foul
  128. Q4 12:00
    +1
    Will Richard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    82-110
  129. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Will Richard, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II)
  130. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Brooks Barnhizer, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  131. Q4 12:00
    Warriors offensive rebound
  132. Q3 00:03
    Warriors personal foul
  133. Q3 00:03
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    60-85
  134. Q3 00:03
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    60-85
  135. Q3 00:03
    Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  136. Q3 00:20
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  137. Q3 00:23
    Moses Moody misses two point jump shot
  138. Q3 00:45
    Thunder turnover
  139. Q3 00:54
    Buddy Hield turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
  140. Q3 1:13
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    60-85
  141. Q3 1:18
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
  142. Q3 1:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  143. Q3 1:38
    Thunder personal foul
  144. Q3 1:38
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-85
  145. Q3 1:38
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-85
  146. Q3 1:44
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  147. Q3 1:57
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    60-85
  148. Q3 2:18
    Ajay Mitchell personal foul (Buddy Hield draws the foul)
  149. Q3 2:18
    Buddy Hield misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  150. Q3 2:18
    Warriors offensive rebound
  151. Q3 2:18
    +1
    Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    60-85
  152. Q3 2:18
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  153. Q3 2:18
    +1
    Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    60-85
  154. Q3 2:18
    Instant replay
  155. Q3 2:18
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  156. Q3 2:18
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  157. Q3 2:28
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running layup
    60-85
  158. Q3 2:33
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  159. Q3 2:36
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  160. Q3 2:51
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  161. Q3 2:54
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  162. Q3 3:04
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    60-85
  163. Q3 3:17
    Trayce Jackson-Davis shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  164. Q3 3:17
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-85
  165. Q3 3:17
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  166. Q3 3:17
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-85
  167. Q3 3:29
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    60-85
  168. Q3 3:42
    +2
    Isaiah Joe makes two point jump shot
    60-85
  169. Q3 3:45
    Thunder offensive rebound
  170. Q3 3:45
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  171. Q3 3:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  172. Q3 3:45
    Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
  173. Q3 3:47
    Moses Moody turnover (bad pass) (Alex Caruso steals)
  174. Q3 4:06
    +3
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
    60-85
  175. Q3 4:21
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    60-85
  176. Q3 4:36
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    60-85
  177. Q3 4:51
    Jonathan Kuminga turnover
  178. Q3 5:12
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-85
  179. Q3 5:12
    Warriors personal foul
  180. Q3 5:12
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-85
  181. Q3 5:16
    Warriors turnover
  182. Q3 5:19
    Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
  183. Q3 5:24
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
  184. Q3 5:32
    Trayce Jackson-Davis turnover
  185. Q3 5:49
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  186. Q3 5:50
    Warriors defensive rebound
  187. Q3 5:50
    Warriors personal foul
  188. Q3 5:50
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    60-83
  189. Q3 5:50
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
  190. Q3 5:50
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  191. Q3 5:50
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-85
  192. Q3 5:58
    Warriors turnover
  193. Q3 6:04
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  194. Q3 6:07
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  195. Q3 6:24
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    60-83
  196. Q3 6:34
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    58-82
  197. Q3 6:34
    Warriors personal foul
  198. Q3 6:34
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  199. Q3 6:34
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    58-83
  200. Q3 6:40
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  201. Q3 6:42
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  202. Q3 6:52
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    58-79
  203. Q3 6:52
    Warriors personal foul
  204. Q3 6:52
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
  205. Q3 6:52
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    58-80
  206. Q3 6:56
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  207. Q3 6:59
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  208. Q3 7:04
    Thunder turnover
  209. Q3 7:10
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  210. Q3 7:12
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  211. Q3 7:24
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    58-77
  212. Q3 7:35
    Thunder personal foul
  213. Q3 7:35
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry)
  214. Q3 7:45
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    56-77
  215. Q3 7:53
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  216. Q3 7:55
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  217. Q3 8:15
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    56-74
  218. Q3 8:20
    Warriors turnover
  219. Q3 8:40
    Thunder turnover
  220. Q3 8:54
    Thunder personal foul
  221. Q3 8:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    55-72
  222. Q3 8:54
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    56-72
  223. Q3 9:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    53-72
  224. Q3 9:17
    Thunder personal foul
  225. Q3 9:17
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    52-70
  226. Q3 9:17
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    53-70
  227. Q3 9:26
    Thunder turnover
  228. Q3 9:41
    Warriors personal foul
  229. Q3 9:50
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    51-70
  230. Q3 10:06
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    49-70
  231. Q3 10:06
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  232. Q3 10:15
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  233. Q3 10:19
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  234. Q3 10:23
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  235. Q3 10:25
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  236. Q3 10:42
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    49-68
  237. Q3 11:03
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    49-66
  238. Q3 11:17
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    46-66
  239. Q3 11:26
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  240. Q3 11:29
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  241. Q3 11:35
    Warriors personal foul
  242. Q3 11:47
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  243. Q3 11:50
    Thunder personal foul
  244. Q3 11:50
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    45-63
  245. Q3 11:50
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    46-63
  246. Q3 11:50
    Stephen Curry misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  247. Q2 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  248. Q2 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  249. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  250. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  251. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry)
  252. Q3 12:00
    Warriors personal foul
  253. Q3 12:00
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  254. Q3 12:00
    Warriors delay of game violation
  255. Q3 12:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  256. Q3 12:00
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  257. Q3 12:00
    Warriors defensive rebound
  258. Q3 12:00
    Warriors technical foul (Delay of game)
  259. Q3 12:00
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  260. Q3 12:00
    Warriors defensive rebound
  261. Q2 00:19
    Thunder personal foul
  262. Q2 00:19
    Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  263. Q2 00:19
    Warriors offensive rebound
  264. Q2 00:19
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
  265. Q2 00:19
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-63
  266. Q2 00:27
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  267. Q2 00:30
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  268. Q2 00:38
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    43-63
  269. Q2 00:44
    Warriors offensive rebound
  270. Q2 00:44
    Thunder personal foul
  271. Q2 00:44
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  272. Q2 00:47
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  273. Q2 1:16
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    40-63
  274. Q2 1:29
    Warriors turnover
  275. Q2 1:29
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
  276. Q2 1:29
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
  277. Q2 1:35
    Thunder turnover
  278. Q2 1:43
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  279. Q2 1:46
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  280. Q2 1:51
    Thunder turnover
  281. Q2 1:53
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  282. Q2 1:56
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  283. Q2 2:17
    Warriors turnover
  284. Q2 2:29
    Warriors personal foul
  285. Q2 2:29
    Warriors personal foul
  286. Q2 2:29
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    40-59
  287. Q2 2:29
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    40-60
  288. Q2 2:29
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-61
  289. Q2 2:35
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  290. Q2 2:38
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  291. Q2 2:47
    Thunder personal foul
  292. Q2 2:47
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
  293. Q2 3:00
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  294. Q2 3:04
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  295. Q2 3:09
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  296. Q2 3:11
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  297. Q2 3:22
    Thunder personal foul
  298. Q2 3:22
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II)
  299. Q2 3:35
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    40-58
  300. Q2 3:49
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  301. Q2 3:49
    Thunder defensive rebound
  302. Q2 3:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  303. Q2 3:49
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  304. Q2 4:02
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  305. Q2 4:06
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  306. Q2 4:22
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    40-56
  307. Q2 4:50
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    38-56
  308. Q2 5:10
    Warriors turnover
  309. Q2 5:24
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    38-54
  310. Q2 5:24
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  311. Q2 5:24
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II)
  312. Q2 5:24
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II)
  313. Q2 5:38
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    38-51
  314. Q2 5:52
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    35-50
  315. Q2 5:52
    Warriors personal foul
  316. Q2 5:52
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    35-51
  317. Q2 5:56
    Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  318. Q2 5:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  319. Q2 6:07
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    35-48
  320. Q2 6:10
    Thunder turnover
  321. Q2 6:29
    Thunder defensive rebound
  322. Q2 6:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  323. Q2 6:29
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry)
  324. Q2 6:31
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  325. Q2 6:37
    Thunder turnover
  326. Q2 6:38
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  327. Q2 6:41
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  328. Q2 7:00
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    32-48
  329. Q2 7:12
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    32-46
  330. Q2 7:38
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    30-46
  331. Q2 7:46
    Warriors personal foul
  332. Q2 7:46
    Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  333. Q2 7:46
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry)
  334. Q2 7:52
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  335. Q2 7:55
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  336. Q2 7:58
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  337. Q2 8:01
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  338. Q2 8:12
    Warriors turnover
  339. Q2 8:28
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  340. Q2 8:31
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  341. Q2 8:49
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  342. Q2 8:49
    Thunder personal foul
  343. Q2 8:49
    Thunder violation
  344. Q2 8:49
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    29-44
  345. Q2 8:49
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    30-44
  346. Q2 8:49
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
  347. Q2 8:51
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  348. Q2 8:54
    Warriors turnover
  349. Q2 9:01
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-44
  350. Q2 9:20
    Warriors personal foul
  351. Q2 9:20
    Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
  352. Q2 9:35
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-41
  353. Q2 9:35
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  354. Q2 9:42
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  355. Q2 9:47
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  356. Q2 10:00
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-39
  357. Q2 10:05
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  358. Q2 10:07
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  359. Q2 10:23
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  360. Q2 10:27
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  361. Q2 10:33
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  362. Q2 10:35
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  363. Q2 10:47
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-36
  364. Q2 10:55
    Warriors personal foul
  365. Q2 11:00
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  366. Q2 11:04
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  367. Q2 11:27
    Thunder turnover
  368. Q2 11:36
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    28-34
  369. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  370. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  371. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
  372. Q1 00:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  373. Q1 00:01
    Warriors personal foul
  374. Q1 00:01
    Instant replay
  375. Q1 00:01
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    28-32
  376. Q1 00:01
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    28-33
  377. Q1 00:01
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    28-34
  378. Q1 00:01
    Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
  379. Q1 00:01
    Stephen Curry turnover (offensive foul)
  380. Q1 00:07
    +3
    Moses Moody makes three point jump shot
    30-44
  381. Q1 00:08
    Warriors turnover (shot clock violation)
  382. Q1 00:32
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    25-30
  383. Q1 00:32
    Warriors personal foul
  384. Q1 00:32
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry)
  385. Q1 00:32
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  386. Q1 00:32
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    25-31
  387. Q1 00:36
    Warriors personal foul
  388. Q1 00:36
    Trayce Jackson-Davis turnover
  389. Q1 00:50
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  390. Q1 00:51
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  391. Q1 00:56
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  392. Q1 1:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  393. Q1 1:03
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  394. Q1 1:08
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  395. Q1 1:23
    Thunder personal foul
  396. Q1 1:23
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    24-28
  397. Q1 1:23
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  398. Q1 1:23
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    25-28
  399. Q1 1:45
    Warriors personal foul
  400. Q1 1:45
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    23-27
  401. Q1 1:45
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-28
  402. Q1 1:53
    Warriors personal foul
  403. Q1 1:53
    Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
  404. Q1 2:08
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  405. Q1 2:10
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  406. Q1 2:12
    Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
  407. Q1 2:15
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  408. Q1 2:27
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    23-26
  409. Q1 2:37
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  410. Q1 2:41
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  411. Q1 3:05
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    23-23
  412. Q1 3:21
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    23-21
  413. Q1 3:22
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  414. Q1 3:22
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  415. Q1 3:31
    Thunder turnover
  416. Q1 3:42
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    21-21
  417. Q1 3:59
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  418. Q1 4:03
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  419. Q1 4:17
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    18-21
  420. Q1 4:17
    Thunder personal foul
  421. Q1 4:17
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    19-21
  422. Q1 4:18
    Thunder turnover
  423. Q1 4:30
    Thunder personal foul
  424. Q1 4:30
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    15-21
  425. Q1 4:30
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    16-21
  426. Q1 4:33
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  427. Q1 4:38
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  428. Q1 4:43
    Warriors turnover
  429. Q1 4:59
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    14-20
  430. Q1 4:59
    Warriors personal foul
  431. Q1 4:59
    Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
  432. Q1 4:59
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  433. Q1 4:59
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    14-21
  434. Q1 5:05
    Warriors turnover
  435. Q1 5:10
    Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
  436. Q1 5:13
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  437. Q1 5:19
    Warriors turnover
  438. Q1 5:21
    Thunder personal foul
  439. Q1 5:21
    Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
  440. Q1 5:21
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  441. Q1 5:37
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    14-18
  442. Q1 5:40
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  443. Q1 5:44
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  444. Q1 6:05
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  445. Q1 6:05
    Warriors defensive rebound
  446. Q1 6:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  447. Q1 6:05
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
  448. Q1 6:08
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  449. Q1 6:11
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  450. Q1 6:20
    Thunder turnover
  451. Q1 6:26
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  452. Q1 6:28
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  453. Q1 6:34
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  454. Q1 6:38
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  455. Q1 6:48
    Warriors turnover
  456. Q1 6:48
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
  457. Q1 6:57
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  458. Q1 6:59
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  459. Q1 7:05
    Warriors personal foul
  460. Q1 7:19
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    14-15
  461. Q1 7:33
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  462. Q1 7:33
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
  463. Q1 7:33
    Warriors delay of game violation
  464. Q1 7:34
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    11-15
  465. Q1 7:41
    Warriors personal foul
  466. Q1 7:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    11-13
  467. Q1 8:05
    Thunder turnover
  468. Q1 8:17
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  469. Q1 8:19
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  470. Q1 8:38
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    9-13
  471. Q1 8:54
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    9-10
  472. Q1 9:00
    Thunder personal foul
  473. Q1 9:09
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    6-10
  474. Q1 9:22
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    6-7
  475. Q1 9:27
    Thunder turnover
  476. Q1 9:40
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    4-7
  477. Q1 9:51
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    2-7
  478. Q1 10:04
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  479. Q1 10:06
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  480. Q1 10:23
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    2-5
  481. Q1 10:36
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  482. Q1 10:39
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  483. Q1 10:46
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  484. Q1 10:49
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  485. Q1 10:55
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  486. Q1 10:59
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  487. Q1 11:17
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    2-3
  488. Q1 11:29
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    2-0
  489. Q1 11:45
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  490. Q1 11:49
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  491. Q1 11:58
    Thunder turnover
  492. Q1 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry)
  493. Q1 12:00
    (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
  494. Q1 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  495. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Warriors
PosPlayerPts
Thunder
PosPlayerPts

Warriors vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Thunder
  • Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -8
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors +280, Thunder -315

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 27%
  • Thunder: 73%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 110-117 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 27%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 73%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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