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Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Thunder NBA game on November 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
94
116
Nov 12, 1AM Paycom Center
Nov 12, 1AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 25 | 19 | 16 | 34 | 94 |
Thunder | 34 | 29 | 22 | 31 | 116 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
3%
97%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 25 | 19 | 16 | 34 | 94 |
Thunder | 34 | 29 | 22 | 31 | 116 |
Q4 00:00 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:21 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Brooks Barnhizer makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Gui Santos shooting foul (Ousmane Dieng draws the foul)
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-116
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-116
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis personal foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
Thunder defensive rebound
Thunder offensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-116
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
94-116
Trayce Jackson-Davis shooting foul (Brooks Barnhizer draws the foul)
Brooks Barnhizer misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Brooks Barnhizer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-116
Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Pat Spencer personal foul (Brooks Barnhizer draws the foul)
Thunder offensive rebound
Brooks Barnhizer misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Brooks Barnhizer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-116
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Brooks Barnhizer makes two point jump shot
94-116
Brooks Barnhizer offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
94-116
Ousmane Dieng turnover
Pat Spencer personal foul (Brooks Barnhizer draws the foul)
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point reverse layup (Trayce Jackson-Davis assists)
94-116
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Chris Youngblood assists)
94-116
Chris Youngblood personal foul (Pat Spencer draws the foul)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
94-116
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-116
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-116
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Joe turnover (Gary Payton II steals)
Jump ball. Jaylin Williams vs. Trayce Jackson-Davis (Isaiah Joe gains possession)
Warriors personal foul
Instant replay (Request)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Warriors challenge timeout
Warriors turnover
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses three point jump shot
+2
Isaiah Joe makes two point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
94-116
Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-116
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-116
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Chris Youngblood, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Will Richard misses three point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Trayce Jackson-Davis shooting foul (Ajay Mitchell draws the foul)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-116
Ajay Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
92-113
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
94-116
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
94-116
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
92-113
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams personal foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Gui Santos makes two point turnaround jump shot (Gary Payton II assists)
84-110
Thunder 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Gui Santos, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II)
Warriors offensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder turnover
Quinten Post turnover (Ajay Mitchell steals)
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Will Richard personal foul
+3
Will Richard makes three point jump shot (Quinten Post assists)
82-110
Thunder personal foul
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
79-110
Thunder turnover
+3
Quinten Post makes three point jump shot
82-110
Ousmane Dieng misses two point floating jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
82-110
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-85
Isaiah Joe shooting foul (Pat Spencer draws the foul)
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-110
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Warriors miss heave shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder personal foul
+1
Will Richard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
82-110
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Will Richard, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II)
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Brooks Barnhizer, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-85
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
60-85
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Moses Moody misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Buddy Hield turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-85
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-85
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-85
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
60-85
Ajay Mitchell personal foul (Buddy Hield draws the foul)
Buddy Hield misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 2 of 3
60-85
Thunder 60 second timeout
+1
Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 3 of 3
60-85
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running layup
60-85
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
60-85
Trayce Jackson-Davis shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-85
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-85
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
60-85
+2
Isaiah Joe makes two point jump shot
60-85
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
Moses Moody turnover (bad pass) (Alex Caruso steals)
+3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
60-85
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
60-85
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-85
Jonathan Kuminga turnover
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-85
Warriors personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-85
Warriors turnover
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis turnover
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
60-83
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-85
Warriors turnover
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
60-83
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-82
Warriors personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
58-83
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-79
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
58-80
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
58-77
Thunder personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
56-77
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-74
Warriors turnover
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
55-72
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
56-72
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
53-72
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-70
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-70
Thunder turnover
Warriors personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
51-70
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
49-70
Warriors 60 second timeout
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
49-68
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
49-66
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
46-66
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 3
45-63
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 3
46-63
Stephen Curry misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry)
Warriors personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Warriors delay of game violation
Thunder offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Warriors defensive rebound
Warriors technical foul (Delay of game)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Warriors defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-63
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
43-63
Warriors offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-63
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
Thunder turnover
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
Warriors personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
40-59
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-60
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-61
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-58
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
40-56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
38-56
Warriors turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
38-54
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II)
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
38-51
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-50
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
35-51
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
35-48
Thunder turnover
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-48
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
32-46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-46
Warriors personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry)
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder violation
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-44
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-44
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-44
Warriors personal foul
Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-41
Warriors 60 second timeout
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-39
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-36
Warriors personal foul
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
28-34
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 3
28-32
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 3
28-33
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 3 of 3
28-34
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
Stephen Curry turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Moses Moody makes three point jump shot
30-44
Warriors turnover (shot clock violation)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-30
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
25-31
Warriors personal foul
Trayce Jackson-Davis turnover
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-28
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-28
Warriors personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-27
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-28
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
23-26
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
23-23
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
23-21
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Thunder turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
21-21
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
18-21
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
19-21
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-21
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-21
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
14-20
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
14-21
Warriors turnover
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Thunder personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
14-18
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
14-15
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
Warriors delay of game violation
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-15
Warriors personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
11-13
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
9-13
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
9-10
Thunder personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
6-10
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
6-7
Thunder turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
4-7
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-7
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-5
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
2-3
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
2-0
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry)
(Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 61 | P. Spencer | 12 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 0 | G. Payton II | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| F | 32 | T. Jackson-Davis | 6 | 6 | 1 |
| F | 15 | G. Santos | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 3 | W. Richard | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 13 | O. Dieng | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 23 | B. Barnhizer | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 11 | I. Joe | 18 | 1 | 1 |
| F | 6 | J. Williams | 12 | 6 | 5 |
| G | 3 | C. Youngblood | 0 | 0 | 1 |
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Warriors vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Thunder
- Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -8
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors +280, Thunder -315
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 27%
- Thunder: 73%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 110-117 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 27%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 73%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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