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Pistons vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Pacers NBA game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
133
121
Apr 12, 10PM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Apr 12, 10PM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 40 | 41 | 27 | 25 | 133 |
Pacers | 27 | 36 | 26 | 32 | 121 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 40 | 41 | 27 | 25 | 133 |
Pacers | 27 | 36 | 26 | 32 | 121 |
Q4 1:23 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:36 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:04 Ronald Holland II misses three point running jump shot
Q4 11:43 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q3 3:25 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:40 Ethan Thompson makes three point pullup jump shot
Q3 5:37 Ethan Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 8:33 Tobias Harris makes two point driving finger roll layup (Cade Cunningham assists)
Q3 9:48 Ethan Thompson misses two point driving layup
Q3 10:26 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Tolu Smith offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Kobe Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons turnover
Micah Potter personal foul (Isaac Jones draws the foul)
Ronald Holland II misses three point running jump shot
Instant replay (Request)
Vitaly Potapenko technical foul (Double)
Jim Boylen technical foul (Double)
Jalen Slawson personal foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)
Pacers personal foul
Pistons personal foul
Jim Boylen technical foul (Double)
Vitaly Potapenko technical foul (Double)
Ethan Thompson turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Huerter steals)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
108-91
Daniss Jenkins turnover
Pacers personal foul
+1
Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-107
Instant replay
Jay Huff offensive foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)
Instant replay (Request: Stands)
Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Kam Jones, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Jalen Slawson)
Instant replay
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Ethan Thompson makes three point pullup jump shot
101-78
Daniss Jenkins personal foul
Pistons defensive rebound
Ethan Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-107
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-107
Pistons personal foul
+2
Tobias Harris makes two point driving finger roll layup (Cade Cunningham assists)
90-66
Ethan Thompson misses two point driving layup
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
84-66
Pistons turnover
Pacers personal foul
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Paul Reed blocks Ethan Thompson's three point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Pacers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
120-107
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-86
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pacers turnover
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
End of 1st Half.
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
81-63
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-62
Pistons personal foul
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-93
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
111-93
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
111-93
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
111-93
Pacers turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
111-93
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
111-93
Pistons turnover
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
111-93
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Obi Toppin, Jalen Slawson, Taelon Peter, Kobe Brown)
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Taelon Peter, Kobe Brown)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
101-78
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Jalen Slawson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
Jalen Slawson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Taelon Peter, Kobe Brown)
+2
Paul Reed makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
67-55
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
81-63
Pistons turnover
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
81-63
Pistons turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
81-63
+2
Cade Cunningham makes two point driving hook shot
81-63
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
+2
Duncan Robinson makes two point running layup (Paul Reed assists)
81-63
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Pacers personal foul
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-78
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Jalen Slawson, Taelon Peter)
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-78
Pacers turnover
Tobias Harris offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
101-78
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (Cade Cunningham gains possession)
Kam Jones turnover (lost ball)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
57-47
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
78-62
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson)
Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Kam Jones, Obi Toppin, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
67-55
Ethan Thompson offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Caris LeVert turnover
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
67-55
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
67-55
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
67-55
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
67-55
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
67-55
Pistons personal foul
+1
Ethan Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-55
+1
Ethan Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-55
Pacers lineup change (Kam Jones, Micah Potter, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
Pistons turnover
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Kevin Huerter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-55
+1
Kevin Huerter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-55
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
Ethan Thompson offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
67-55
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Isaiah Stewart personal foul (Jay Huff draws the foul)
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
67-55
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
67-55
Pistons turnover
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
57-47
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
46-32
Pacers personal foul
Instant replay
Caris LeVert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-32
Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
Pacers turnover
End of 1st Quarter.
+3
Quenton Jackson makes three point running jump shot (Ethan Thompson assists)
46-32
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
40-24
Kobe Brown offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
37-24
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Jalen Slawson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jay Huff makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-21
Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
+1
Jay Huff makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-22
Jay Huff offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Taelon Peter defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Kam Jones offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
37-20
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
35-20
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
32-20
Pacers turnover
Pacers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Caris LeVert, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
30-20
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
28-20
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
28-17
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
26-17
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
26-14
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
24-14
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
21-14
Kam Jones misses three point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-11
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-11
Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Kam Jones, Obi Toppin, Jalen Slawson, Taelon Peter)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Kobe Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
Kobe Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 3
19-10
Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Kam Jones, Obi Toppin, Taelon Peter, Kobe Brown)
+1
Kobe Brown makes regular free throw 3 of 3
19-11
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
19-9
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
17-9
Pistons personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
17-6
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Pacers personal foul
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-6
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-6
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
Pacers turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
13-6
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
11-6
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
11-4
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
9-4
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
6-4
Pistons turnover
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
6-2
Pacers violation
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers turnover
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Micah Potter offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
4-2
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
2-0
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Paul Reed vs. Micah Potter (Tobias Harris gains possession)
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
Start of 1st Quarter
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Pistons vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Pacers
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pistons favored at -15.5
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons -953, Pacers +964
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 88%
- Pacers: 12%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 122-108 Pacers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 88%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 12%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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