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Grizzlies vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Rockets NBA game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
101
132
Apr 13, 12:30AM Toyota Center
Apr 13, 12:30AM Toyota Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 26 | 19 | 47 | 9 | 101 |
Rockets | 32 | 34 | 61 | 5 | 132 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 26 | 19 | 47 | 9 | 101 |
Rockets | 32 | 34 | 61 | 5 | 132 |
Q4 00:14 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:24 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Rockets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:33 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
101-132
Dariq Whitehead defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Tristen Newton offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
JD Davison defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
101-132
JD Davison defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Lucas Williamson defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
101-132
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Dariq Whitehead, Toby Okani, Rayan Rupert, Lucas Williamson, Javon Small)
+1
JD Davison makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-132
+1
JD Davison makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-132
Rockets personal foul
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+1
Rayan Rupert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-132
+1
Rayan Rupert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-132
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
95-127
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Tristen Newton, JD Davison, Jae'Sean Tate, Jeff Green, Isaiah Crawford)
Grizzlies turnover
Toby Okani defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Rayan Rupert makes two point driving layup
92-127
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-127
Isaiah Crawford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
92-127
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
JD Davison defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Tristen Newton misses two point jump shot
Tristen Newton offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
90-122
Rockets personal foul
+1
Jahmai Mashack makes regular free throw 1 of 1
92-127
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Tristen Newton misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
92-127
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-127
Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lucas Williamson misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Isaiah Crawford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-127
+1
Isaiah Crawford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-127
Isaiah Crawford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Lucas Williamson defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
92-127
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Tristen Newton, JD Davison, Jeff Green, Aaron Holiday, Isaiah Crawford)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Dariq Whitehead defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
92-127
Grizzlies personal foul
Tristen Newton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Tristen Newton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-127
+2
Lucas Williamson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Toby Okani assists)
92-127
+2
Jeff Green makes two point jump shot
78-117
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-127
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies lineup change (Dariq Whitehead, Toby Okani, Rayan Rupert, Lucas Williamson, Jahmai Mashack)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-127
+3
Jahmai Mashack makes three point stepback jump shot
78-113
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-127
Tristen Newton defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Javon Small offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Rayan Rupert offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Lucas Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-127
+1
Lucas Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-127
Lucas Williamson personal foul
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-127
Rockets lineup change (Tristen Newton, JD Davison, Jae'Sean Tate, Jeff Green, Isaiah Crawford)
+1
Tristen Newton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
92-127
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-127
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
92-127
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
92-127
Grizzlies turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
92-127
JD Davison defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Grizzlies lineup change (Rayan Rupert, Lucas Williamson, Jahmai Mashack, Taj Gibson, Javon Small)
Rockets lineup change (Tristen Newton, JD Davison, Dorian Finney-Smith, Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
92-127
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-127
JD Davison defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Crawford defensive rebound
Javon Small misses three point stepback jump shot
Jeff Green turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Jeff Green defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
JD Davison makes two point tip layup
92-127
JD Davison offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Crawford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Javon Small defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
JD Davison defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-127
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
92-127
Rockets personal foul
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Toby Okani, Rayan Rupert, Lucas Williamson, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small)
Rockets turnover
Isaiah Crawford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
78-117
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (JD Davison, Jeff Green, Dorian Finney-Smith, Aaron Holiday, Isaiah Crawford)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-117
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-117
Rockets lineup change (JD Davison, Jeff Green, Dorian Finney-Smith, Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela)
Jeff Green misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
78-117
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-117
Aaron Holiday misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Lucas Williamson misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Clint Capela offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-127
Clint Capela misses two point turnaround hook shot
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
+3
Tari Eason makes three point jump shot
51-75
Rockets personal foul
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Jeff Green, Dorian Finney-Smith, Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela)
Grizzlies lineup change (Dariq Whitehead, Toby Okani, Rayan Rupert, Lucas Williamson, Jahmai Mashack)
+1
Rayan Rupert makes technical free throw 1 of 1
78-113
Josh Okogie misses two point running dunk
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
69-96
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
69-96
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
51-75
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
69-96
Rockets turnover
Josh Okogie offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Toby Okani offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies lineup change (Dariq Whitehead, Toby Okani, Rayan Rupert, Lucas Williamson, Javon Small)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
69-96
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
69-96
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Josh Okogie offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Javon Small makes three point pullup jump shot
51-75
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
69-96
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 1
69-96
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
69-96
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Clint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-96
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
69-96
Rockets turnover
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
69-96
Javon Small defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
69-96
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Dariq Whitehead, Toby Okani, Rayan Rupert, Taj Gibson, Javon Small)
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
67-92
+3
Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot
47-72
Grizzlies personal foul
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
67-92
End of 1st Half.
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate, Clint Capela, Tari Eason)
Taj Gibson personal foul (Reed Sheppard draws the foul)
Reed Sheppard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-66
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Javon Small misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
47-72
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
47-72
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Taj Gibson defensive rebound
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Jeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-72
+1
Jeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-72
Grizzlies lineup change (Dariq Whitehead, Toby Okani, Jahmai Mashack, Taj Gibson, Javon Small)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
47-72
Rockets turnover
Jeff Green offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Jeff Green, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tari Eason)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
47-72
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
47-72
Clint Capela offensive rebound
+2
Clint Capela makes two point putback layup
38-58
Dariq Whitehead personal foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 1
45-65
Grizzlies lineup change (Dariq Whitehead, Rayan Rupert, Jahmai Mashack, Taj Gibson, Javon Small)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Dariq Whitehead misses three point stepback jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Toby Okani personal foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Dariq Whitehead, Toby Okani, Rayan Rupert, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small)
+2
Dariq Whitehead makes two point layup (Jahmai Mashack assists)
38-56
+2
Tari Eason makes two point jump shot
36-56
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Tari Eason makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
36-54
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jae'Sean Tate personal foul (Rayan Rupert draws the foul)
Jae'Sean Tate turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Dorian Finney-Smith, Clint Capela, Tari Eason)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
JD Davison defensive rebound
Toby Okani defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
36-52
Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
JD Davison defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Dariq Whitehead defensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
36-49
Grizzlies personal foul
Jae'Sean Tate misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Grizzlies turnover
Rayan Rupert offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
36-47
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Rockets 60 second timeout
+1
JD Davison makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-45
JD Davison misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
36-44
+2
Clint Capela makes two point jump shot
34-44
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
34-42
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
34-40
Lucas Williamson defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Dariq Whitehead, Toby Okani, Rayan Rupert, Lucas Williamson, Jahmai Mashack)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-40
Grizzlies lineup change (Dariq Whitehead, Toby Okani, Lucas Williamson, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, JD Davison, Jae'Sean Tate, Clint Capela)
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-40
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
30-40
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Toby Okani defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
30-37
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Taj Gibson defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
30-34
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
28-34
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
28-32
Lucas Williamson defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
End of 1st Quarter.
Rockets defensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (JD Davison, Jae'Sean Tate, Dorian Finney-Smith, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason)
Grizzlies lineup change (Dariq Whitehead, Toby Okani, Lucas Williamson, Taj Gibson, Javon Small)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Grizzlies vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Grizzlies vs. Rockets
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -14.5
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5
- Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +953, Rockets -800
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Grizzlies: 14%
- Rockets: 86%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 109-122 Rockets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 14%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 86%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Grizzlies vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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