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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Game 5 of 2026 Finals
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Bucks vs. Nets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Nets NBA game on April 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
90
96
Apr 7, 11:30PM Barclays Center
Apr 7, 11:30PM Barclays Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 29 | 14 | 29 | 18 | 90 |
Nets | 30 | 19 | 34 | 13 | 96 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 29 | 14 | 29 | 18 | 90 |
Nets | 30 | 19 | 34 | 13 | 96 |
Q4 00:05 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:10 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:33 Bucks makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Nets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Nets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Nets misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Ben Saraf defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nets defensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
+1
Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-96
Bucks lineup change (Jericho Sims, Gary Harris, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng)
+1
Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-96
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng)
Bucks personal foul
+1
Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-96
+1
Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-96
Bucks lineup change (Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance)
Nets 60 second timeout
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
90-96
AJ Green defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Cormac Ryan turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
90-96
Bucks 60 second timeout
Tyson Etienne defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
90-96
Tyson Etienne defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
AJ Green defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
90-96
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Ben Saraf defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
90-96
Bucks 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Tyson Etienne, Drake Powell, Malachi Smith)
Bucks violation
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
90-96
Taurean Prince offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Jericho Sims personal foul (Jalen Wilson draws the foul)
Jalen Wilson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nets offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Wilson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-96
Nets lineup change (Trevon Scott, Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Drake Powell, Malachi Smith)
Ben Saraf defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
82-85
Bucks 60 second timeout
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
82-85
Tyson Etienne defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nets turnover
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
82-85
Nets turnover
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
82-85
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
82-85
Nets personal foul
Nets 60 second timeout
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Drake Powell)
AJ Green defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
AJ Green personal foul (Malachi Smith draws the foul)
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng)
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng turnover (bad pass) (Ben Saraf steals)
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
82-85
+2
Pete Nance makes two point layup (Ousmane Dieng assists)
72-80
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
82-85
Bucks turnover
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
82-85
+3
AJ Green makes three point jump shot
82-85
Cormac Ryan defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Jalen Wilson, Drake Powell, Malachi Smith)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
82-85
Gary Harris offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Trevon Scott makes two point jump shot
64-76
Chaney Johnson personal foul (AJ Green draws the foul)
+1
AJ Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-85
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Jalen Wilson, Nolan Traore, Malachi Smith)
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Gary Harris, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance)
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Jalen Wilson, Nolan Traore, Malachi Smith)
+1
AJ Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-85
Bucks personal foul
+1
Jalen Wilson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-85
+1
Jalen Wilson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-85
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Chaney Johnson offensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Andre Jackson Jr. turnover (traveling)
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
72-83
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Cormac Ryan defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Nolan Traore defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Nolan Traore, Chaney Johnson, Malachi Smith)
Nets turnover
AJ Green turnover
Andre Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Drake Powell draws the foul)
+1
Drake Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-74
+1
Drake Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-76
Jalen Wilson shooting foul (Cormac Ryan draws the foul)
Cormac Ryan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Cormac Ryan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-74
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Nolan Traore, Chaney Johnson, Drake Powell)
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets offensive rebound
Nets turnover
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Andre Jackson Jr., Gary Harris, AJ Green, Pete Nance)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
62-70
Nets turnover
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets lineup change (Trevon Scott, Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Nolan Traore, Drake Powell)
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
62-70
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
62-70
Nets turnover
Nets 60 second timeout
Nets lineup change (Trevon Scott, Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Drake Powell, Malachi Smith)
Bucks turnover
Nets misses three point jump shot
Nets offensive rebound
Nets turnover
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
56-65
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Tyson Etienne misses three point jump shot
+2
Jericho Sims makes two point jump shot (Taurean Prince assists)
53-65
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Tyson Etienne misses three point jump shot
Malachi Smith offensive rebound
Gary Harris blocks Malachi Smith's two point layup
Ben Saraf defensive rebound
Taurean Prince misses three point jump shot
Trevon Scott personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Andre Jackson Jr., Jericho Sims, Gary Harris, Taurean Prince)
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Trevon Scott defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Drake Powell misses three point jump shot
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
51-65
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
49-65
Tyson Etienne defensive rebound
Cormac Ryan misses two point driving finger roll layup
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks offensive rebound
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Tyson Etienne, Drake Powell, Malachi Smith)
Drake Powell personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Jericho Sims, Gary Harris, Taurean Prince, AJ Green)
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
51-65
Ousmane Dieng turnover
Cormac Ryan shooting foul (Malachi Smith draws the foul)
+1
Malachi Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-59
+1
Malachi Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-65
E.J. Liddell defensive rebound
Jericho Sims personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Drake Powell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Drake Powell makes two point driving layup (Malachi Smith assists)
49-59
E.J. Liddell defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Ben Saraf turnover (bad pass) (Pete Nance steals)
+2
Ousmane Dieng makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
49-57
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
49-57
Trevon Scott defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Bucks 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
E.J. Liddell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-54
+1
E.J. Liddell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-55
Drake Powell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
47-53
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
47-51
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
45-51
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
45-49
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets offensive rebound
Nets turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets offensive rebound
Nets turnover
End of 1st Half.
Bucks lineup change (Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance)
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Drake Powell, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith)
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
AJ Green defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets personal foul
Andre Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Andre Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-49
Nets personal foul
Bucks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Tyson Etienne, Drake Powell, Malachi Smith)
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Andre Jackson Jr., Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Pete Nance)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
42-48
Bucks personal foul
+1
E.J. Liddell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
42-49
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets 60 second timeout
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
42-46
Cormac Ryan defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
39-46
Cormac Ryan defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
+1
E.J. Liddell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-45
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Andre Jackson Jr., Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, AJ Green)
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Tyson Etienne, Drake Powell, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith)
+1
E.J. Liddell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-46
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
37-44
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
37-41
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
E.J. Liddell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nets turnover
Nets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
35-41
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
+1
Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-41
Ben Saraf misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Drake Powell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks 60 second timeout
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Drake Powell, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith)
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance)
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
33-40
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
AJ Green offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
33-38
Bucks personal foul
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
33-35
Gary Harris defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
31-35
Gary Harris defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Bucks offensive rebound
Nets personal foul
Nets lineup change (Trevon Scott, Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Drake Powell, Malachi Smith)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
29-35
Bucks turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Tyson Etienne defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nets personal foul
Pete Nance offensive rebound
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Jericho Sims, Gary Harris, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets personal foul
Nets misses two point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
29-33
Bucks personal foul
Tyson Etienne defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
AJ Green offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nets turnover
Bucks turnover
Nets turnover
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Bucks lineup change (Gary Harris, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance)
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Nolan Traore, Chaney Johnson, Drake Powell)
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
29-30
Chaney Johnson defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
29-27
Trevon Scott defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
29-25
Bucks turnover
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Andre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Nets violation
Nets violation
Bucks turnover
Nets misses three point jump shot
Nets personal foul
Bucks turnover
Nets lineup change (Trevon Scott, Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Nolan Traore, Chaney Johnson)
Bucks personal foul
+1
Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-21
+1
Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-22
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
29-20
Nets misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
+1
Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-19
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Andre Jackson Jr., Gary Harris, Taurean Prince, Pete Nance)
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Chaney Johnson)
+1
Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-20
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
26-18
Cormac Ryan defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
E.J. Liddell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Andre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
24-18
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
21-18
Ben Saraf defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
21-16
Nets 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Andre Jackson Jr., Jericho Sims, Gary Harris, AJ Green)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
21-14
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
18-14
Nets turnover
Bucks personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Andre Jackson Jr., Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng)
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Tyson Etienne, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
18-12
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
15-12
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
15-10
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
12-10
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
E.J. Liddell defensive rebound
Nets personal foul
+1
Pete Nance makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-10
Bucks 60 second timeout
Pete Nance misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
9-10
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
7-10
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
7-8
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
5-8
Drake Powell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nets turnover
Bucks turnover
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Trevon Scott offensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
5-6
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
5-3
Nets misses three point jump shot
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
3-3
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
3-0
Nets personal foul
Nets lineup change (Ben Saraf, Trevon Scott, Drake Powell, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith)
Bucks lineup change (Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance)
(Ousmane Dieng gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Bucks vs. Nets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bucks vs. Nets
- Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Barclays Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nets favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5
- Moneyline Odds: Bucks +104, Nets +115
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bucks: 58%
- Nets: 42%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 110-108 Nets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 58%, while the Nets have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Bucks are more likely to beat the Nets in the NBA game at Barclays Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bucks vs. Nets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
