Villareal vs. Sevilla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Villareal vs. Sevilla La Liga match on May 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Sevilla
2
3
May 11, 10:15 AM ET Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal)
Villareal
May 11, 10:15 AM ET Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal)
VillarealVIL
Score Summary
SevillaSEV
A. Sorloth (30')
Soccer ball icon
Y. Mosquera (84')
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A. Sorloth (90')
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Y. En Nesyri (pen.) (26')
Soccer ball icon
Y. En Nesyri (44')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Villareal
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sevilla
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
90'
Yellow Card
L. Agoume (Sevilla) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth, assisted by A. Baena
2-3
90'
Yellow Card
S. Ramos (Sevilla) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
K. Salas (Sevilla) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
E. Bailly (Villarreal) cautioned
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by Y. Mosquera, assisted by R. Terrats
2-2
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: E. Capoue replaces J. Cuenca
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: J. L. Morales replaces G. Guedes
76'
Yellow Card
P. Reina (Villarreal) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: D. Lukebakio replaces L. Ocampos
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. Jordan replaces Suso
70'
Yellow Card
L. Ocampos (Sevilla) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: B. Traore replaces I. Akhomach
63'
Yellow Card
J. Cuenca (Villarreal) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Pedrosa replaces M. Acuna
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: R. Terrats replaces F. Coquelin
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by Y. En Nesyri, assisted by J. Navas
2-1
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth, assisted by J. Cuenca
1-1
26'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by Y. En Nesyri (pen.)
1-0
17'
Yellow Card
T. Nianzou (Sevilla) cautioned

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Villareal vs. Sevilla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Villareal vs. Sevilla
  • Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de la Cerámica

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Villareal -105, Sevilla +270, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-164/+134)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Villareal: 46.8%
  • Sevilla: 29.4%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Villareal 1-1 Sevilla (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Villareal vs. Sevilla? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.8%.

The most likely correct score is Villareal 1-1 Sevilla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Villareal vs. Sevilla, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.