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Celta Vigo vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Celta Vigo vs. Villareal at the La Liga on May 5, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
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May 5, 2:15PM Abanca-Balaídos (Vigo)
May 5, 2:15PM Abanca-Balaídos (Vigo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
I. Aspas (pen.) (22')
J. S. Larsen (39')
A. Douvikas (82')
A. Moreno (12')
S. Comesana (17')
G. Guedes (65')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
A. Douvikas (Celta Vigo) cautioned
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by A. Douvikas, assisted by I. Aspas
2-3
Substitution for Celta Vigo: A. Douvikas replaces H. Alvarez
Substitution for Celta Vigo: C. Perez replaces F. Beltran
Substitution for Villarreal: E. Capoue replaces D. Parejo
Substitution for Villarreal: J. L. Morales replaces G. Guedes
Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Cervi replaces W. Swedberg
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Guedes, assisted by A. Sorloth
2-2
W. Swedberg (Celta Vigo) cautioned
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Pedraza replaces A. Moreno
Substitution for Villarreal: F. Coquelin replaces I. Akhomach
Substitution for Villarreal: J. Cuenca replaces Y. Mosquera
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Ristic replaces D. Rodriguez
Substitution for Celta Vigo: L. de la Torre replaces J. Manquillo
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by J. S. Larsen, assisted by D. Rodriguez
1-2
D. Rodriguez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
J. Manquillo (Celta Vigo) cautioned
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by I. Aspas (pen.)
1-1
S. Comesana (Villarreal) sent off with a straight red card
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Moreno, assisted by D. Parejo
1-0
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Celta Vigo vs. Villareal: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Celta Vigo vs. Villareal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Celta Vigo vs. Villareal
- Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024
- Time: 10:15 AM ET
- Venue: Abanca-Balaídos
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Celta Vigo +165, Villareal +160, draw +265
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+133)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Celta Vigo: 41.0%
- Villareal: 34.5%
- Draw: 24.4%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Celta Vigo 1-1 Villareal, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 41.0% probability, while Villareal sits at 34.5%, with the draw at 24.4%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Celta Vigo vs. Villareal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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