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Almeria vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Almeria vs. Rayo Vallecano at the La Liga on August 11, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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Aug 11, 5:30PM Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería)
Aug 11, 5:30PM Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
I. Palazon (pen.) (20')
R. Nteka (pen.) (28')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Chavarria replaces A. Garcia
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: D. Mendez replaces O. Valentin
Substitution for Almeria: M. Milovanovic replaces L. Ramazani
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Falcao replaces R. Nteka
Substitution for Almeria: D. Lopy replaces L. Robertone
Substitution for Almeria: G. Melero replaces I. Baba
Substitution for Almeria: M. Pubill replaces A. Pozo
O. Valentin (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
L. Ramazani (Almeria) cautioned
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: S. Sanchez replaces O. Trejo
A. Garcia (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Ciss replaces U. Lopez
Substitution for Almeria: S. Arribas replaces Lazaro
U. Lopez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by R. Nteka (pen.)
2-0
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by I. Palazon (pen.)
1-0
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Almeria vs. Rayo Vallecano: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Almeria vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Almeria vs. Rayo Vallecano
- Date: Friday, August 11, 2023
- Time: 1:30 PM ET
- Venue: Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Almeria +175, Rayo Vallecano +180, draw +210
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+125/-146)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Almeria: 39.0%
- Rayo Vallecano: 33.9%
- Draw: 27.1%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Almeria 1-1 Rayo Vallecano, with a probability of 13%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Almeria is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 39.0% probability, while Rayo Vallecano sits at 33.9%, with the draw at 27.1%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Almeria vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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