Chelsea vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Brighton Premier League match on August 30, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.

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FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

Brighton

Aug 30, 9:00 AM ET Stamford Bridge

Chelsea

Aug 30, 9:00 AM ET Stamford Bridge

ChelseaCFC

Score Summary

BrightonBHA

R. Lavia (4')

P. Neto (14')

Joao Pedro (32')

C. Palmer (74')

M. Yalcouye (35')

Joao Pedro (o.g.) (63')

P. Gross (90')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Chelsea
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Brighton
0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'
Costinha (Brighton) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Brighton by P. Gross
3-4
89'
O. Boscagli (Brighton) cautioned
82'
Substitution for Chelsea: V. Barco replaces M. Caicedo
81'
Substitution for Brighton: P. David replaces C. Kostoulas
81'
Substitution for Brighton: Costinha replaces M. Wieffer
74'
Substitution for Brighton: I. Osman replaces M. Yalcouye
74'
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer, assisted by Joao Pedro
2-4
72'
Substitution for Chelsea: P. Chavarria replaces L. Colwill
70'
L. Dunk (Brighton) cautioned
68'
Substitution for Chelsea: R. James replaces R. Lavia
68'
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Acheampong replaces W. Fofana
68'
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Caicedo replaces P. Neto
63'
Goal scored for Brighton by Joao Pedro (o.g.)
2-3
55'
W. Fofana (Chelsea) cautioned
35'
Goal scored for Brighton by M. Yalcouye
1-3
32'
Goal scored for Chelsea by Joao Pedro, assisted by J. Hato
0-3
14'
Goal scored for Chelsea by P. Neto, assisted by M. Rogers
0-2
4'
Goal scored for Chelsea by R. Lavia
0-1

Chelsea vs. Brighton: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Chelsea vs. Brighton
Date: Sunday, August 30, 2026
Time: 9:00 AM ET
Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Chelsea -113, Brighton +317, draw +300
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-156/+150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Chelsea: 54.1%
Brighton: 23.5%
Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chelsea 1-1 Brighton (10.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Chelsea vs. Brighton? Prediction & correct score

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.1%.

The most likely correct score is Chelsea 1-1 Brighton.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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