Sunderland vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sunderland vs. Chelsea Premier League match on May 24, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
1
2
Stadium of Light
Sunderland
Stadium of Light
SunderlandSUN
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
T. Hume (25')
Soccer ball icon
M. Gusto (o.g.) (50')
Soccer ball icon
C. Palmer (56')
Soccer ball icon
W. Fofana (62')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sunderland
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chelsea
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Joao Pedro (Chelsea) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: C. Rigg replaces E. Le Fee
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Palmer (Chelsea) cautioned
  4. 89'
    Yellow Card
    N. Sadiki (Sunderland) cautioned
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces M. Caicedo
  6. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: J. Acheampong replaces M. Gusto
  7. 81'
    Yellow Card
    H. Diarra (Sunderland) cautioned
  8. 73'
    Yellow Card
    G. Xhaka (Sunderland) cautioned
  9. 69'
    Yellow Card
    E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: T. Chalobah replaces P. Neto
  11. 62'
    Red Card
    W. Fofana (Chelsea) sent off for a second yellow card
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: W. Isidor replaces B. Brobbey
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: H. Diarra replaces N. Angulo
  14. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer, assisted by P. Neto
    1-2
  15. 54'
    Yellow Card
    W. Fofana (Chelsea) cautioned
  16. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: R. James replaces J. Hato
  17. 52'
    Yellow Card
    L. Geertruida (Sunderland) cautioned
  18. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sunderland by M. Gusto (o.g.)
    0-2
  19. 42'
    Yellow Card
    N. Angulo (Sunderland) cautioned
  20. 25'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sunderland by T. Hume, assisted by L. O'Nien
    0-1

Sunderland vs. Chelsea: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sunderland vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stadium of Light

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sunderland +250, Chelsea +105, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sunderland: 27.0%
  • Chelsea: 49.1%
  • Draw: 23.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sunderland 1-1 Chelsea (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Sunderland vs. Chelsea? Prediction & correct score

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.1%.

The most likely correct score is Sunderland 1-1 Chelsea.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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