Brighton vs. Manchester United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Manchester United Premier League match on May 24, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Manchester United
3
0
Amex Stadium
Brighton
Amex Stadium
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
Manchester UnitedMNU
P. Dorgu (33')
Soccer ball icon
B. Mbeumo (44')
Soccer ball icon
B. Fernandes (48')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brighton
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Manchester United
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: T. Malacia replaces L. Shaw
  2. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: L. Yoro replaces N. Mazraoui
  3. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: G. Rutter replaces J. Hinshelwood
  4. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Zirkzee replaces B. Mbeumo
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: T. Fletcher replaces M. Mount
  6. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: S. Lacey replaces P. Dorgu
  7. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: C. Kostoulas replaces D. Welbeck
  8. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: S. March replaces D. Gomez
  9. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: C. Baleba replaces J. Milner
  10. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Fernandes, assisted by P. Dorgu
    3-0
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: Y. Minteh replaces M. De Cuyper
  12. 45'
    Yellow Card
    K. Mainoo (Manchester Utd) cautioned
  13. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Mbeumo, assisted by A. Diallo
    2-0
  14. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by P. Dorgu, assisted by B. Fernandes
    1-0

Brighton vs. Manchester United: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Manchester United
  • Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Amex Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton -115, Manchester United +270, draw +333
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-225/+175)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Brighton: 47.6%
  • Manchester United: 29.4%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Brighton 1-1 Manchester United (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Brighton vs. Manchester United? Prediction & correct score

Brighton is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.6%.

The most likely correct score is Brighton 1-1 Manchester United.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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