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Chelsea vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on December 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
2
1
Dec 27, 5:30PM Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Dec 27, 5:30PM Stamford Bridge
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Joao Pedro (37')
O. Watkins (63')
O. Watkins (84')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
84'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by Y. Tielemans
2-1
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces I. Maatsen
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces B. Kamara
78'
Yellow Card
B. Kamara (Aston Villa) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: Estevao replaces C. Palmer
71'
Yellow Card
M. Caicedo (Chelsea) cautioned
71'
Yellow Card
L. Delap (Chelsea) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces M. Cucurella
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces Joao Pedro
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Gittens replaces A. Garnacho
68'
Yellow Card
T. Chalobah (Chelsea) cautioned
63'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins
1-1
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: O. Watkins replaces E. Buendia
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces D. Malen
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Onana replaces J. McGinn
57'
Yellow Card
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
R. James (Chelsea) cautioned
37'
Goal scored for Chelsea by Joao Pedro, assisted by R. James
0-1
30'
Yellow Card
M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned

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Chelsea vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chelsea -127, Aston Villa +360, Draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-140/+116)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chelsea: 55.3%
  • Aston Villa: 22.1%
  • Draw: 22.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Chelsea 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chelsea a win probability of 55.3%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 22.1%. The chance of a draw is 22.5%.

Summary

Our Chelsea vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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