Newcastle vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Manchester City Premier League match on September 28, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Manchester City
1
:
1
Sep 28, 7:30 AM ET St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Newcastle
Sep 28, 7:30 AM ET St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
A. Gordon (pen.) (57')
Soccer ball icon
J. Gvardiol (35')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Manchester City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
R. Dias (Manchester City) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: J. Doku replaces J. Grealish
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces R. Lewis
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces K. Trippier
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Longstaff replaces S. Tonali
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces H. Barnes
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: P. Foden replaces I. Gundogan
64'
Yellow Card
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
63'
Yellow Card
S. Tonali (Newcastle) cautioned
62'
Yellow Card
J. Grealish (Manchester City) cautioned
60'
Yellow Card
M. Kovacic (Manchester City) cautioned
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Gordon (pen.)
1-1
56'
Yellow Card
Ederson (Manchester City) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Manchester City by J. Gvardiol, assisted by J. Grealish
1-0
32'
Yellow Card
B. Guimaraes (Newcastle) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
F. Schar (Newcastle) cautioned

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Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: St. James' Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle +425, Manchester City -155, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-185/+137)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 19.9%
  • Manchester City: 59.1%
  • Draw: 20.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-2 Manchester City (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Manchester City? Prediction & correct score

Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 59.1%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-2 Manchester City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Newcastle vs. Manchester City, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.