Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's Prediction, Picks & Odds
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
ILST | 39 | 0 | 85 |
SMC | 33 | 5 | 90 |
- Illinois State
- Saint Mary's
Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's prediction & analysis
Game overview: Men's college basketball Monday
- Teams: Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's
- Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
- Tip-off: 10:00PM ET
- Venue: University Credit Union Pavilion
Current betting odds
- Spread: Illinois State (+6.5, -102), Saint Mary's (-6.5, -108)
- Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points (-105/-110)
- Moneyline: Illinois State +245, Saint Mary's -285
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Illinois State: 22.9%
- Saint Mary's: 77.1%
Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Illinois State 70 and Saint Mary's 78.
This is a margin of 8 points against a spread of 6.5, and a projected total of 148 points against a market line of 148.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Illinois State a win probability of 22.9%, while Saint Mary's has a win probability of 77.1%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Saint Mary's is more likely to beat Illinois State in the men's college basketball game at University Credit Union Pavilion on Monday.
Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.