North Carolina vs. SMU Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the North Carolina vs. SMU NCAAB game on January 3, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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North Carolina UNC
Predicted score
75
:
78
Jan 3, 7:15PM Moody Coliseum
SMU SMU
Jan 3, 7:15PM Moody Coliseum
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 7:30PM, Jan 3

Spread

North Carolina UNC
North Carolina + 1.5
Spread
52.6%
47.4%
SMU SMU

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North Carolina vs. SMU: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: North Carolina vs. SMU
  • Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Time: 2:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Moody Coliseum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: SMU favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5
  • Moneyline Odds: North Carolina +100, SMU -110

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • North Carolina: 39%
  • SMU: 61%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college basketball matchup is North Carolina 75-78 SMU.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives North Carolina a win probability of 39%, while SMU has a win probability of 61%.

Summary

According to our analysis, SMU is more likely to beat North Carolina in CBB action at Moody Coliseum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our North Carolina vs. SMU predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

Explore our expert college basketball predictions and the best college basketball bets today for more insights and betting opportunities.

Our in-depth analysis includes college basketball player props and college basketball futures, as well as constantly updated college basketball odds and the latest college basketball news.