Connecticut vs. Duke Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Connecticut vs. Duke NCAAB game on March 29, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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Connecticut CONN
73
72
Capital One Arena
Duke DUKE
Capital One Arena
TEAM12T
CONN
29 44 73
DUKE
44 28 72
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Connecticut
    100%
  • Duke
    0%
Win Probability

Connecticut vs. Duke: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Connecticut vs. Duke
  • Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026
  • Time: 5:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Duke favored at -4.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Connecticut +188, Duke -218

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Connecticut: 27%
  • Duke: 73%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college basketball matchup is Connecticut 67-73 Duke.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Connecticut a win probability of 27%, while Duke has a win probability of 73%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Duke is more likely to beat Connecticut in CBB action at Capital One Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Connecticut vs. Duke predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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