Murray State vs. Illinois State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Murray State vs. Illinois State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Teams: Murray State vs. Illinois State
• Date: Wednesday, February 18, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: CEFCU Arena

Current Betting Odds

• Spread: Illinois State favored at -1.5
• Total (Over/Under): 157.5
• Moneyline Odds: Murray State +120, Illinois State -137

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Murray State: 40%
• Illinois State: 60%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college basketball matchup is Murray State 75-78 Illinois State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Murray State a win probability of 40%, while Illinois State has a win probability of 60%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Illinois State is more likely to beat Murray State in CBB action at CEFCU Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Murray State vs. Illinois State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

Explore our expert college basketball predictions and the best college basketball bets today for more insights and betting opportunities.

Our in-depth analysis includes college basketball player props and college basketball futures, as well as constantly updated college basketball odds and the latest college basketball news.