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Almeria vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Almeria vs. Real Madrid at the La Liga on August 19, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
3
1
Aug 19, 5:30PM Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería)
Almeria
Aug 19, 5:30PM Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlmeriaALM
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
S. Arribas (3')
Soccer ball icon
J. Bellingham (19')
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J. Bellingham (60')
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Vinicius Junior (73')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALM
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RMA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Lucas replaces F. Valverde
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces Vinicius Junior
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: A. Puigmal replaces S. Arribas
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: Lazaro replaces L. Suarez
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces J. Bellingham
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by J. Bellingham
3-1
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces Rodrygo
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces T. Kroos
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: A. Pozo replaces M. Pubill
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: G. Melero replaces L. Robertone
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: I. Kone replaces L. Ramazani
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by J. Bellingham, assisted by T. Kroos
2-1
59'
Yellow Card
Chumi (Almeria) cautioned
45'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by J. Bellingham
1-1
3'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Almeria by S. Arribas, assisted by L. Robertone
0-1

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Almeria vs. Real Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Almeria vs. Real Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Almeria vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, August 19, 2023
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Almeria +650, Real Madrid -225, draw +420

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Almeria: 17.2%
  • Real Madrid: 63.1%
  • Draw: 19.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Almeria 1-2 Real Madrid, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Almeria is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.2% probability, while Real Madrid sits at 63.1%, with the draw at 19.7%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Almeria vs. Real Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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